The latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey of Likely U.S. Voters shows Cain attracting 43% support, while Obama earns 41%. Given such a matchup, eight percent (8%) prefer some other candidate, and another eight percent (8%) are undecided.
...Last week, Cain trailed Obama by three. The week before, he was behind by five. “Cain now has the chance to make the case for why he should be the challenger to Mitt Romney,” says Scott Rasmussen, president of Rasmussen Reports. “Many others have auditioned for the role and fallen flat, and it remains to be seen whether Cain’s fate will be similar.”...
That's still a huge toss-up.
Its rasmussen, so we can probably calibrate it to reflect reality by swapping 5 or 6% from Cain to Obama.
Unless Obama was leading, then Rasmussen would be hitting the bullseye. Right?
Unless Obama was leading, then Rasmussen would be hitting the bullseye. Right?
Meanwhile the RCP average has Obama up 6.7% vs. Cain while only averaging up .7% against Romney.That's still a huge toss-up.
meanwhile....
the numbers are reversed with Romney, with Obama winning 43-41
That is only because they use old data, when people didn't know who Cain was.Meanwhile the RCP average has Obama up 6.7% vs. Cain while only averaging up .7% against Romney.
RealClearPolitics - President Obama vs. Republican Candidates
It doesn't really matter though, polls at this point are pretty pointless.
Rasmussen didn't hit in 2010. However they did hit in 2008, RealClearPolitics - Election 2008 - General Election: McCain vs. Obama Also, same time last year, McCain polled 5% below for Obama.
That's still a huge toss-up.
meanwhile....
the numbers are reversed with Romney, with Obama winning 43-41
I believe Rasmussen started showing a significant Republican bias over the last two years just because it uses robocalls. Republicans are much more likely to answer a robopoll because they were more excited about voting and are more likely to own a landline than being cell-phone only. Rasmussen and other pollsters didn't adjust and all but one of the robocallers had a significant Republican lean last election.
Even if it is true, Cain still fares better than the other candidates AND Cain gets a higher percentage of independent voters. So, for today, Cain is the front runner.
Good idea. I am considering it. I would not vote for Romney unless the choice was Romney (Obama-lite) or the Marxist. Then, for me it is anybody but the Marxist.All the more reason Republicans should support Cain.
Go Cain/PAlin!
I wasn't denying that. I'm just saying Rasmussen uses outdated methodology to conduct it polls which gives it significant Republican bias.
That's still a huge toss-up.
meanwhile....
the numbers are reversed with Romney, with Obama winning 43-41[/QUOTE
As a good liberal, I am always looking for opportunities to "conserve"... no point in extraneous keystrokes when the point is the same;
To the reader: just substitute "Cain" where it says "Perry"... the same point applies.
http://www.debatepolitics.com/us-el...y-support-bachman-does-11.html#post1059771936
What outdated methodology is this? And so are you saying that Rasmussen has a positive GOP bias?
Not adjusting to the growing percentage of cell-phone only households. Rasmussen and all other robo-pollsters but one showed a Republican bias in 2010. They were on average, nearly 5% skewed toward the GOP candidate last year, a bias larger than almost all other polling firms.
You mean, compared to the pollsters that openly oversample Democrats?
Good idea. I am considering it. I would not vote for Romney unless the choice was Romney (Obama-lite) or the Marxist. Then, for me it is anybody but the Marxist.
Anyone who gives credence to poll numbers this early is a fool, in my opinion.That's still a huge toss-up.
meanwhile....
the numbers are reversed with Romney, with Obama winning 43-41
Why nominate Romney? His positions on major issues are indistinguisbable from Obama's.
What are elections for if there are no choices?
That all depends on how much you value having a POTUS with an "R" after his name. Either way, the Republicans get a republican in office, its just one would have a 'D' after his name.
Obama is landslidable. Why settle for Romney?
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