I've been skeptical that Trump is falling, but this latest series of polls gives me some hope. It's only a slight slip, but it's a slip nevertheless. Given how polarized we are, I suspect that *any* slippage in polling means his base is weakening and floor lowering. He's not the kind of incumbent who's going to make anyone even moderately predisposed to dislike him to suddenly convert and think, "Hmm, maybe he wasn't so bad after all." In term one? When he had adults in the room and when he hadn't taken a wrecking ball to the system? Sure, he had crossover voters. Much less likely now, IMO.
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Key data points for me: His 'approve' high is 48 in the most recent polls. His recent low is 37. Midpoint is 42.5 if my math is right. If my memory is right, he's down by 3 percentage points. I don't think it gets better for him heading into the fall when his tariff and immigration policies start hitting blue collar MAGAs in the balls.
*I don't consider RMG Research a legit poll. I barely consider Rasmussen legit but it's necessary to counter progressive-lean bias. RMG was likely paid for by MAGA propagandists.