Political black swans

lwf said:

I think middle voters who don't have strong opinions about either candidate will be unusually rare this election season.

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Simpletruther said:

Another credible sexual allegation on either one of them at the last minute could be the difference. A small group of voters are always last minute, and vote with their emotions of the day.

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Simpletruther said:

There is plenty of time for and event to swing the polls either way.


I still remember how hurricane sandy seemed to be a higher factor in shifting the polls for Obama in 2012.

And then that’s fat basterxd Chris Cristy hugged obama in an emotional moment about the hurricane. that hug May have gave Obama the win.

It will be interesting. Seeing things unfold. The wrong riot, the wrong death, or. the wrong right wing counter action that turns people off might turn the election at the last minute.


And power brokers on both sides are probably trying to manufacture black swans as we speak.

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