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NOAA issues highest-ever May forecast for the coming hurricane season

mrjurrs said:
Approaching June, the area east of San Francisco has yet to experience a 90 degree day. Unusual...
My heart breaks for tornado alley and hurricane zones, it's going to be a long summer.
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Summer in central florida started a few weeks ago. We have already had many days of ninety or above, this weekend is supposed to be mid ninety hot in the shade.
 
I feel for the people in the coastal areas and hope the major hurricanes go out to sea. We left South Florida in 2005 after two major hurricanes. We lived 25 miles from the coast and were still hit hard. When you get all the way up to Wilma in the alphabet you know it has been a bad hurricane season.
 
Florida will be fine. I hear RdS has borrowed Trumps hurricane deflecting sharpie. What is sad, but in some ways fair, is that the states most likely to be badly hit by an extreme hurricane season are in many cases those states that continue to elect climate change denying politicians. What is rather ironic though is that many states that have comparatively little to fear from hurricanes are the ones doing the most to try and reduce mans contribution to climate change.
 
LOL more chicken little stuff

1-99.webp
 
mrjurrs said:
Approaching June, the area east of San Francisco has yet to experience a 90 degree day. Unusual...
My heart breaks for tornado alley and hurricane zones, it's going to be a long summer.
Click to expand...
It’s been strange how it’s warmer here in South Bay than East Bay rather frequently. It’s usually the opposite. It does feel like a “weird weather” summer and fall ahead of us.
 
The NBC headline is obviously a lie. The link to NOAA says differently.

Typical, sensationalism. Lies to get ratings. Their headline is "NOAA predicts above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season."

The upcoming Atlantic hurricane season is expected to have above-normal activity due to a confluence of factors, including near-record warm ocean temperatures in the Atlantic Ocean, development of La Nina conditions in the Pacific, reduced Atlantic trade winds and less wind shear, all of which tend to favor tropical storm formation.​

1716832374026.png

www.noaa.gov

NOAA predicts above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season

La Nina and warmer-than-average ocean temperatures are major drivers of tropical activity
www.noaa.gov www.noaa.gov

Look at that. They are predicting an 85% chance they will be above normal.
 
Phys251 said:
www.nbcnews.com

NOAA issues highest-ever early forecast for the coming hurricane season

Agency forecasters predict an exceptionally busy year for storms, with eight to 13 hurricanes.
www.nbcnews.com www.nbcnews.com

Whoa! Buckle up, folks on the East and Gulf coasts, it may be a bumpy ride this season!
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Was it raining heavily in your part of Georgia today?

It got me while I was out at a local veterans' park after going for a long walk.

We're near Atlanta.

The lightning was incredibly loud too.

This after it was so hot you could barely walk without breaking into a sweat.
 
Lord of Planar said:
The NBC headline is obviously a lie. The link to NOAA says differently.

Typical, sensationalism. Lies to get ratings. Their headline is "NOAA predicts above-normal 2024 Atlantic hurricane season."
Click to expand...
Nope!! You are wrong yet again, Lord.

From the NBC article:

“The forecast for named storms, hurricanes and major hurricanes is the highest NOAA has ever issued for the May outlook,” Rick Spinrad, the agency's administrator, said in a news conference. “This season is looking to be an extraordinary one in a number of ways.”
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From the transcript of the briefing:

Of note, the forecast for named storms, hurricanes, and major hurricanes is the highest NOAA has ever issued for the May outlook.
Click to expand...

And you wonder why nobody, except other denialists, takes anything you say seriously.
 
Buzz said:
Nope!! You are wrong yet again, Lord.

From the NBC article:



From the transcript of the briefing:



And you wonder why nobody, except other denialists, takes anything you say seriously.
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I had to give you one so you would appear if you were still kicking.

You tend to stay way for a long time after I prove you wrong.
 
Lord of Planar said:
I had to give you one so you would appear if you were still kicking.

You tend to stay way for a long time after I prove you wrong.
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Oh, please... you didn't give me anything. You just made a fool of yourself again with your lazy assumptions.

And where did you prove me wrong? Oh, that's right... you didn't. You're just lying again.
 
As more and more record high temperatures occur, the present El Nino will wane and be replaced by La Nina. This in the next two years or so, will result in a reduction in temperature rise but also may increase the prevalence of hurricanes.

The effects of La Nina are temporary. the ocean cycle will continue with the path of overall average temperature unchanged.

Regards, stay safe 'n well . . . informed.
 
May's just about gone and all's quiet on the Atlantic front.




And tomorrow, June 1st, all Hell will break loose out there because i just jinxed the hell out of things.
 
Roadvirus said:
May's just about gone and all's quiet on the Atlantic front.




And tomorrow, June 1st, all Hell will break loose out there because i just jinxed the hell out of things.
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NOAA repeatedly makes wild-ass predictions that never come true. During the 2023 hurricane season, for example NOAA predicted between 14 and 21 named storms. There were a total of seven. During the year 2022 NOAA also predicted between 14 and 21 named storms. There were a total of eight.

NOAA is always over-predicting by at least double and often triple. This is what happens when you have politicians pushing an irrational agenda and deliberate lies, they are willing to irrevocably corrupt what should be a trustworthy agency. How can anyone trust what NOAA publishes when they knowingly and willfully publish false information?

www.noaa.gov

NOAA predicts above-normal 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Ongoing La Niña, above-average Atlantic temperatures set the stage for busy season ahead
www.noaa.gov www.noaa.gov

NOAA Releases Updated 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

Due to current ocean and atmospheric conditions, such as record-warm sea surface temperatures, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
www.nesdis.noaa.gov www.nesdis.noaa.gov

So it should not come as a shock to once again see NOAA predict between 14 and 21 named storms for 2024. That seems to be NOAA's go to prediction when they really don't have the vaguest clue and they are just making it all up for propaganda purposes.

People should really check the accuracy of these wild-ass predictions by NOAA before they gullibly swallow government propaganda.
 
Last edited:
Glitch said:
NOAA repeatedly makes wild-ass predictions that never come true. During the 2023 hurricane season, for example NOAA predicted between 14 and 21 named storms. There were a total of seven. During the year 2022 NOAA also predicted between 14 and 21 named storms. There were a total of eight.

NOAA is always over-predicting by at least double and often triple. This is what happens when you have politicians pushing an irrational agenda and deliberate lies, they are willing to irrevocably corrupt what should be a trustworthy agency. How can anyone trust what NOAA publishes when they knowingly and willfully publish false information?

www.noaa.gov

NOAA predicts above-normal 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Ongoing La Niña, above-average Atlantic temperatures set the stage for busy season ahead
www.noaa.gov www.noaa.gov

NOAA Releases Updated 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

Due to current ocean and atmospheric conditions, such as record-warm sea surface temperatures, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
www.nesdis.noaa.gov www.nesdis.noaa.gov

So it should not come as a shock to once again see NOAA predict between 14 and 21 named storms for 2024. That seems to be NOAA's go to prediction when they really don't have the vaguest clue and they are just making it all up for propaganda purposes.

People should really check the accuracy of these wild-ass predictions by NOAA before they gullibly swallow government propaganda.
Click to expand...
We also need to understand that criteria for naming storms has changed, as well as our ability to see storms that never impact land.
It means that we are not comparing apples to apples. Within the scope of the current criteria, we will know how many name storms there were in 2024 at the end of November.
 
Glitch said:
NOAA repeatedly makes wild-ass predictions that never come true. During the 2023 hurricane season, for example NOAA predicted between 14 and 21 named storms. There were a total of seven.
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Nope! Glitch is wrong. There were 20 named storms.
Glitch said:
During the year 2022 NOAA also predicted between 14 and 21 named storms. There were a total of eight.
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Glitch is wrong yet again. There were 14 named storms.

People should really check the accuracy of known climate change denialists like Glitch before they gullibly swallow their propaganda because they all make stuff up or just outright lie. And @longview should be ashamed of himself for liking such obvious BS.
 
Roadvirus said:
May's just about gone and all's quiet on the Atlantic front.
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You might have misunderstood. It says this is the highest May forecast for the whole upcoming season, not just for month of May. OP article has more details.
 
Slavister said:
You might have misunderstood. It says this is the highest May forecast for the whole upcoming season, not just for month of May. OP article has more details.
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It will be interesting to see how accurate it is.
 
Phys251 said:
www.nbcnews.com

NOAA issues highest-ever early forecast for the coming hurricane season

Agency forecasters predict an exceptionally busy year for storms, with eight to 13 hurricanes.
www.nbcnews.com www.nbcnews.com

Whoa! Buckle up, folks on the East and Gulf coasts, it may be a bumpy ride this season!
Click to expand...

I kinda cringe at these types of forecasts, even though they're useful, because if they don't turn out to be quite as extreme as models would suggest, people immediately seize it as an example of how models and forecasting are wrong and we should therefore be skeptical of climate models.
 
Glitch said:
NOAA repeatedly makes wild-ass predictions that never come true. During the 2023 hurricane season, for example NOAA predicted between 14 and 21 named storms. There were a total of seven. During the year 2022 NOAA also predicted between 14 and 21 named storms. There were a total of eight.

NOAA is always over-predicting by at least double and often triple. This is what happens when you have politicians pushing an irrational agenda and deliberate lies, they are willing to irrevocably corrupt what should be a trustworthy agency. How can anyone trust what NOAA publishes when they knowingly and willfully publish false information?

www.noaa.gov

NOAA predicts above-normal 2022 Atlantic Hurricane Season

Ongoing La Niña, above-average Atlantic temperatures set the stage for busy season ahead
www.noaa.gov www.noaa.gov

NOAA Releases Updated 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season Outlook

Due to current ocean and atmospheric conditions, such as record-warm sea surface temperatures, NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center.
www.nesdis.noaa.gov www.nesdis.noaa.gov

So it should not come as a shock to once again see NOAA predict between 14 and 21 named storms for 2024. That seems to be NOAA's go to prediction when they really don't have the vaguest clue and they are just making it all up for propaganda purposes.

People should really check the accuracy of these wild-ass predictions by NOAA before they gullibly swallow government propaganda.
Click to expand...

Instead of spewing anti-government rhetoric, why don't you join NOAA and improve their prediction models?
 
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