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Behold, folks, the Trumpian Blink. In a spectacle befitting a Shakespearean farce, President Trump has once again pirouetted on the precipice of fiscal disaster, only to retreat under the weight of his own bluster. Having previously threatened to dismiss Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell and to impose draconian tariffs on Chinese imports--measures that would have effectively severed trade ties with the world's second-largest economy--Trump now appears to be backpedaling, perhaps recognizing that even his most ardent supporters blanch at the prospect of empty store shelves and plummeting markets.
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, in a moment of candor, acknowledged to investors that the existing 145% tariff on Chinese goods functions as a de facto trade embargo. Yet, in a move that suggests a newfound appreciation for economic interdependence, the administration has signaled a willingness to de-escalate tensions with China and has paused reciprocal tariffs for 90 days in hopes of negotiating deals with 75 other countries. This sudden shift, reminiscent of a gambler folding a losing hand, underscores the administration's recognition that its aggressive trade policies have sown chaos in global markets and imperiled domestic industries.
The so-called "Trump put"--a metaphor for the president's tendency to intervene in markets to prevent losses--remains alive, but its efficacy is waning. As Apollo's chief economist Torsten Slok notes, the complexity of negotiating numerous trade deals could stall global trade, echoing disruptions similar to those during the COVID-19 pandemic. Manufacturing sectors are already feeling the strain, and the broader economic consequences are poised to unfold in the coming months.
In this theater of the absurd, where policy is dictated by impulse rather than strategy, the American economy teeters on the edge, held hostage by the whims of a president who equates unpredictability with strength. One can only hope that reason will prevail before the curtain falls on this tragicomedy.
Read all about it:
Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, in a moment of candor, acknowledged to investors that the existing 145% tariff on Chinese goods functions as a de facto trade embargo. Yet, in a move that suggests a newfound appreciation for economic interdependence, the administration has signaled a willingness to de-escalate tensions with China and has paused reciprocal tariffs for 90 days in hopes of negotiating deals with 75 other countries. This sudden shift, reminiscent of a gambler folding a losing hand, underscores the administration's recognition that its aggressive trade policies have sown chaos in global markets and imperiled domestic industries.
The so-called "Trump put"--a metaphor for the president's tendency to intervene in markets to prevent losses--remains alive, but its efficacy is waning. As Apollo's chief economist Torsten Slok notes, the complexity of negotiating numerous trade deals could stall global trade, echoing disruptions similar to those during the COVID-19 pandemic. Manufacturing sectors are already feeling the strain, and the broader economic consequences are poised to unfold in the coming months.
In this theater of the absurd, where policy is dictated by impulse rather than strategy, the American economy teeters on the edge, held hostage by the whims of a president who equates unpredictability with strength. One can only hope that reason will prevail before the curtain falls on this tragicomedy.
Read all about it: