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Most recent poll data from 2024's leading polling agency

Cameron

Politically Correct
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Download July 2025 AtlasIntel Poll

Here's a high-level summary of what I consider to be interesting data:
- Trump's approval rating is about ten points underwater (54.9% disapprove, 44.3% approve)
- 0% of Kamala voters approve of Trump, whereas 6.3% of Trump voters disapprove of him. That alone is probably enough to swing the election if it were held again today.
- Trump's most loyal voting block continues to be Gen Xers.
- Trump is underwater on every single substantive issue, often by 15 points or more.
- People are against the elimination of DEI programs from the federal government by an 11 point margin, with 53% being strongly against it.
- The greatest challenge facing America today is "safeguarding democracy" -- higher than either immigration or inflation/the economy, although those are pretty close.
- By large margins, people are not a fan of the military strikes on Iran, and think Trump has had a net negative effect on the Middle East.
- 53.3% have an "extremely negative" view of the Big, Beautiful Bill.
- People strongly support deporting immigrants with criminal records, but not international college students, not deportations to countries other than immigrants' places of origin, and not without due process.
- People hold negative views of all of Trump's major cabinet members, by a spread of between 12 (Rubio) and 32 (Bondi) points. The spread is getting progressively worse by the month.
- People see Dems as facing a crisis of leadership, not knowing how to effectively oppose Trump's agenda, being out of touch with real issues, and systematically betraying some of their longterm constituents.
- As between law enforcement, universities, the federal reserve, the FBI, SCOTUS, Congress, the mainstream media, and techn companies, the mainstream media had the highest levels of distrust. Law enforcement, universities, and the fed had the highest levels of trust.
- A small majority see rulings by federal judges blocking parts of Trump's agenda as motivated mainly by political bias (51.2-47%)
- People would back a generic Dem over a generic Republican 51.3-42.7% in the midterms.
- People trust Dems more than the GOP on every issue other than taxes, defense, and crime (including immigration).
- Buttigieg is the leading choice for 2028 Dem nominee by about 8% (over AOC in second)
- Vance leads by more than 30 points over DeSantis.
 
Download July 2025 AtlasIntel Poll

Here's a high-level summary of what I consider to be interesting data:
- Trump's approval rating is about ten points underwater (54.9% disapprove, 44.3% approve)
- 0% of Kamala voters approve of Trump, whereas 6.3% of Trump voters disapprove of him. That alone is probably enough to swing the election if it were held again today.
- Trump's most loyal voting block continues to be Gen Xers.
- Trump is underwater on every single substantive issue, often by 15 points or more.
- People are against the elimination of DEI programs from the federal government by an 11 point margin, with 53% being strongly against it.
- The greatest challenge facing America today is "safeguarding democracy" -- higher than either immigration or inflation/the economy, although those are pretty close.
- By large margins, people are not a fan of the military strikes on Iran, and think Trump has had a net negative effect on the Middle East.
- 53.3% have an "extremely negative" view of the Big, Beautiful Bill.
- People strongly support deporting immigrants with criminal records, but not international college students, not deportations to countries other than immigrants' places of origin, and not without due process.
- People hold negative views of all of Trump's major cabinet members, by a spread of between 12 (Rubio) and 32 (Bondi) points. The spread is getting progressively worse by the month.
- People see Dems as facing a crisis of leadership, not knowing how to effectively oppose Trump's agenda, being out of touch with real issues, and systematically betraying some of their longterm constituents.
- As between law enforcement, universities, the federal reserve, the FBI, SCOTUS, Congress, the mainstream media, and techn companies, the mainstream media had the highest levels of distrust. Law enforcement, universities, and the fed had the highest levels of trust.
- A small majority see rulings by federal judges blocking parts of Trump's agenda as motivated mainly by political bias (51.2-47%)
- People would back a generic Dem over a generic Republican 51.3-42.7% in the midterms.
- People trust Dems more than the GOP on every issue other than taxes, defense, and crime (including immigration).
- Buttigieg is the leading choice for 2028 Dem nominee by about 8% (over AOC in second)
- Vance leads by more than 30 points over DeSantis.
Buttigieg and AOC? Christ.

Buttigieg graduated from Harvard magna cum laude and Phi Betta Kappa, then attended Oxford University as a Rhodes Scholar. Pete joined the navy and served as an intelligence officer. He's bloody brilliant.

In 2007 AOC came in second in the microbiology category of the Intel International Science and Engineering Fair. In a show of appreciation for her efforts, the MIT Lincoln Laboratory named a small asteroid after her: 23238 Ocasio-Cortez. She graduated with Honors from Boston University with a double major in international relations and economics. This is a well rounded young lady.

Obviously both these people are, approximately, 8,000 times smarter than Trump, and neither will be president. Mayor Pete is gay, Ms. Ocasio-Cortez was a member of the Democratic Socialists of America. Plus she looks Hispanic. Plus MAGA beat the last two female candidates.

We need to get real.
 
I read this as dems can shore up a lot of support by going left on economic issues to focus on working class concerns while campaigning more middle of the road on social ones.
 
Buttigieg and AOC? Christ.

Buttigieg graduated from Harvard magna cum laude and Phi Betta Kappa, then attended Oxford University as a Rhodes Scholar. Pete joined the navy and served as an intelligence officer. He's bloody brilliant.

In 2007 AOC came in second in the microbiology category of the Intel International Science and Engineering Fair. In a show of appreciation for her efforts, the MIT Lincoln Laboratory named a small asteroid after her: 23238 Ocasio-Cortez. She graduated with Honors from Boston University with a double major in international relations and economics. This is a well rounded young lady.

Obviously both these people are, approximately, 8,000 times smarter than Trump, and neither will be president. Mayor Pete is gay, Ms. Ocasio-Cortez was a member of the Democratic Socialists of America. Plus she looks Hispanic. Plus MAGA beat the last two female candidates.

We need to get real.
Those two are very real, in my opinion you are letting republican bitching sway your choice of candidates. I hope Pete runs again.
 
Those two are very real, in my opinion you are letting republican bitching sway your choice of candidates. I hope Pete runs again.
Was I not clear? Either would be a vast improvement over Trump but they're unelectable. Sorry, they are. And we can't risk women or gay people at this point. The American voting public is racist, anti-LGBTQ, and doesn't trust women in power.

How do you think Trump won twice? He beat a well-qualified white woman by winning the Electoral College. He beat a well-qualified woman of color outright. He lost to an old white guy. We need a younger white guy to beat MAGA. We lose another one we'll be living in 1984.
 
Buttigieg and AOC? Christ.

Buttigieg graduated from Harvard magna cum laude and Phi Betta Kappa, then attended Oxford University as a Rhodes Scholar. Pete joined the navy and served as an intelligence officer. He's bloody brilliant.

In 2007 AOC came in second in the microbiology category of the Intel International Science and Engineering Fair. In a show of appreciation for her efforts, the MIT Lincoln Laboratory named a small asteroid after her: 23238 Ocasio-Cortez. She graduated with Honors from Boston University with a double major in international relations and economics. This is a well rounded young lady.

Obviously both these people are, approximately, 8,000 times smarter than Trump, and neither will be president. Mayor Pete is gay, Ms. Ocasio-Cortez was a member of the Democratic Socialists of America. Plus she looks Hispanic. Plus MAGA beat the last two female candidates.

We need to get real.

Yeah, intelligence isn't going to win the next election, as 2024 showed us, just look at America to find out why.
 
Download July 2025 AtlasIntel Poll

Here's a high-level summary of what I consider to be interesting data:
- Trump's approval rating is about ten points underwater (54.9% disapprove, 44.3% approve)
- 0% of Kamala voters approve of Trump, whereas 6.3% of Trump voters disapprove of him. That alone is probably enough to swing the election if it were held again today.
- Trump's most loyal voting block continues to be Gen Xers.
- Trump is underwater on every single substantive issue, often by 15 points or more.
- People are against the elimination of DEI programs from the federal government by an 11 point margin, with 53% being strongly against it.
- The greatest challenge facing America today is "safeguarding democracy" -- higher than either immigration or inflation/the economy, although those are pretty close.
- By large margins, people are not a fan of the military strikes on Iran, and think Trump has had a net negative effect on the Middle East.
- 53.3% have an "extremely negative" view of the Big, Beautiful Bill.
- People strongly support deporting immigrants with criminal records, but not international college students, not deportations to countries other than immigrants' places of origin, and not without due process.
- People hold negative views of all of Trump's major cabinet members, by a spread of between 12 (Rubio) and 32 (Bondi) points. The spread is getting progressively worse by the month.
- People see Dems as facing a crisis of leadership, not knowing how to effectively oppose Trump's agenda, being out of touch with real issues, and systematically betraying some of their longterm constituents.
- As between law enforcement, universities, the federal reserve, the FBI, SCOTUS, Congress, the mainstream media, and techn companies, the mainstream media had the highest levels of distrust. Law enforcement, universities, and the fed had the highest levels of trust.
- A small majority see rulings by federal judges blocking parts of Trump's agenda as motivated mainly by political bias (51.2-47%)
- People would back a generic Dem over a generic Republican 51.3-42.7% in the midterms.
- People trust Dems more than the GOP on every issue other than taxes, defense, and crime (including immigration).
- Buttigieg is the leading choice for 2028 Dem nominee by about 8% (over AOC in second)
- Vance leads by more than 30 points over DeSantis.
What do you think this actually means?
I don't think Harris wins, even if it were held today. Some other candidate? Possibly.

Do you not think that Democrat leadership is in crisis? What chances do you give Buttgieg OR AOC? Say it is vs Vance

Midterms are a different animal, much more local voting.
 
Was I not clear? Either would be a vast improvement over Trump but they're unelectable. Sorry, they are. And we can't risk women or gay people at this point. The American voting public is racist, anti-LGBTQ, and doesn't trust women in power.

How do you think Trump won twice? He beat a well-qualified white woman by winning the Electoral College. He beat a well-qualified woman of color outright. He lost to an old white guy. We need a younger white guy to beat MAGA. We lose another one we'll be living in 1984.
I think Buttigieg could win despite his sexual orientation, unless he has some gay-related skeletons in his closet we don't know about. He is very articulate, family and service oriented, and seems down to earth--much like Obama. A bigger problem for him, IMO, is his reputation for being weak with Black people. I think he would be a much better choice than a milquetoast straight while male candidate like Beshear or a controversial Dem from a solid blue state like Newsom. There is an equivalent or greater level of risk with all the other likely candidates, IMO.
 
Was I not clear? Either would be a vast improvement over Trump but they're unelectable. Sorry, they are. And we can't risk women or gay people at this point. The American voting public is racist, anti-LGBTQ, and doesn't trust women in power.

How do you think Trump won twice? He beat a well-qualified white woman by winning the Electoral College. He beat a well-qualified woman of color outright. He lost to an old white guy. We need a younger white guy to beat MAGA. We lose another one we'll be living in 1984.
I'll vote for who I please and it will certainly be a Democrat.
 
I'm not telling you who to vote for. I'm telling you who can win.
And that is your opinion, no? My opinion before the last election, trump CAN'T WIN just spouting hatred everywhere. He couldn't even fill a high school auditorium when Harris was bringing down packed houses. Trump won.
 
And that is your opinion, no? My opinion before the last election, trump CAN'T WIN just spouting hatred everywhere. He couldn't even fill a high school auditorium when Harris was bringing down packed houses. Trump won.
Yes. Me too. So I learned. We need a straight white male to beat MAGA. I'm not happy about it, but there it is. I posted a story today about a statue of a Confederate general in DC that was torn down in 2020. They're putting it back up. That's what we're dealing with.

 
Yes. Me too. So I learned. We need a straight white male to beat MAGA. I'm not happy about it, but there it is. I posted a story today about a statue of a Confederate general in DC that was torn down in 2020. They're putting it back up. That's what we're dealing with.

I saw that. Sad, it's like they enjoy giving the rest of America the middle finger.
 
...Trump's approval rating... (54.9% disapprove, 44.3% approve)...
44% approve? That percentage just doesn't change much, does it. Apparently they see the one issue they like (immigration or abortion or, gasp, transsexuals) and they heedlessly ignore the thoughtless decimation of practically all the departments of this nation's government.
 
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