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I don't think so, as the nomination will make it hard to nominate candidates who will appeal to minorities. Also, many young voters today will never vote republican despite how much they change.I would like to see the Republicans replaced by the Libertarians (because I agree with them on most non-economic matters) but my guess is the Republicans will adapt.
Republican party adopts platform changes to appeal to new demographics, balance is maintained
Latinos Part of Demographic Shift That Will Define Politics | Fox News Latino
One of the stories that people are finally beginning to notice is the implication of long term demographic shifts in the US. From my personal view point, the older culture of the US is dying out and is being replaced by a new culture that is more diverse and the recent political fights are largely a result of people realizing that the older ways of live and increasingly becoming less popular due to these shifts.
In terms of political parties, what do you think is likely to happen?
I expect the Republican Party to eventually adapt. As the number of social conservatives shrink, the less necessary it will be to appeal to them to turn out the base. I think this will eventually lead to whiter blue states like Wisconsin, Iowa, Minnesota to trend Republican. I also think its possible for there to be some Republican resurgence in the Northeast in the future as New Hampshire, Connecticut, and Maine get wealthier and the controversial social issues get downplayed. There will be more Republicans in the same vein as Olympia Snowe, Susan Collins, Judd Gregg, and Chris Shays.
At the same time I expect the Democrats will create a stranglehold in the Southwest. California, Nevada, New Mexico, Colorado, Arizona, and eventually Texas will become blue states in the coming decades. The other area becoming slowly more Democratic is the coastal South, where Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Georgia, and Florida are becoming more diverse and sympathetic to Democrats.
By 2040-2050 I expect we could see an electoral map look something like this:
View attachment 67136211
Sorry your map is wrong Wiscsonin, Minnesota and Iowa are blue now and blue then. These states have progressive roots and midwestern common sense. I also think considering the strenght of unions in Ohio it will remain blue.
Georgia is never going to be blue. Its in thier blood. nor is south carolina it goes against their nature.
Beyond that it looks ok.
I think once Hispanic voters figure out that the Democratic party,
is the party of victims and economic slavery,
They will find another party closer to their values.
If the Republicans are not up to receiving them with open arms, some other party will.
Latinos Part of Demographic Shift That Will Define Politics | Fox News Latino
One of the stories that people are finally beginning to notice is the implication of long term demographic shifts in the US. From my personal view point, the older culture of the US is dying out and is being replaced by a new culture that is more diverse and the recent political fights are largely a result of people realizing that the older ways of live and increasingly becoming less popular due to these shifts.
In terms of political parties, what do you think is likely to happen?
Latinos Part of Demographic Shift That Will Define Politics | Fox News Latino
One of the stories that people are finally beginning to notice is the implication of long term demographic shifts in the US. From my personal view point, the older culture of the US is dying out and is being replaced by a new culture that is more diverse and the recent political fights are largely a result of people realizing that the older ways of live and increasingly becoming less popular due to these shifts.
In terms of political parties, what do you think is likely to happen?
One of the big fallacies you hear coming out of the left is that somehow long term demographics favor them.
As someone who has lived in South America for many years, I can tell you unequivocally that latinos are no more likely to vote for the left than they are for the right.
Actually, they're a lot more like the WASPS that vote Republican than you'd like to see.
The only reason more latinos vote democrat today is because many of them haven't made their way up the social ladder yet. As they integrate to American society and become wealthier and more established, I think the Democrats will be unpleasantly surprised to know that Latin Americans are going to abandon them in droves.
Latinos have right-wing DNA. They are generally religious, conservative, and believe in the value of hard work.
One of the big fallacies you hear coming out of the left is that somehow long term demographics favor them.
As someone who has lived in South America for many years, I can tell you unequivocally that latinos are no more likely to vote for the left than they are for the right.
Actually, they're a lot more like the WASPS that vote Republican than you'd like to see.
The only reason more latinos vote democrat today is because many of them haven't made their way up the social ladder yet. As they integrate to American society and become wealthier and more established, I think the Democrats will be unpleasantly surprised to know that Latin Americans are going to abandon them in droves.
Latinos have right-wing DNA. They are generally religious, conservative, and believe in the value of hard work.
I remember reading something showing that even wealthy latinos support the Democratic party overwhelmingly, though not by as much as the poorer Latin Americans. I think it has to do with how the parties are perceived. Ignoring whether its true or not, the Democratic party is perceived as the party of minorities by a lot of the country.
Ok maybe the rhetoric was a bit harsh.I don't go for the partisan rhetoric but that's mostly accurate.
Hispanics, etc. will become wealthier as they become more established in this country and wonder why so much of their hard earned income is being redistributed to the poor.
The fallacy stems from the belief that Hispanics vote Democrat because Republicans are racist.
The reality is Hispanics vote Democrat because they cater to the poor; which most first generation Hispanics are.
Hispanics will become more financially secure as they become established and the idea of voting for their race will be seen as silly as an Irish-American voting one party because he is Irish-American.
I remember reading something showing that even wealthy latinos support the Democratic party overwhelmingly, though not by as much as the poorer Latin Americans. I think it has to do with how the parties are perceived. Ignoring whether its true or not, the Democratic party is perceived as the party of minorities by a lot of the country.
Don't believe it.
Look at where most of them come from - Mexico. Over the last 50 years, Mexico has largely voted right wing, and largely been a conservative country.
You want rich latinos living in the USA? OK, take a look at Miami. Take a look at the state of Florida. The hispanic vote is 50% Republican, 50% Democrat in Miami, and Romney will probably win in Florida.
Latinos see themselves as white, they don't consider themselves a minority any more than Italians are a minority.
Precisely. People forget that most of them are here in the first place because they were fleeing a brutal regime in cahoots with the Soviets - resulting in a not-terribly fiscally liberal culture.Miami's largest Hispanic group is Cuban though. Cubans tend to vote Republican. The Hispanic vote in the Southwest though, the one's voting 69% Democratic in New Mexico, 76% in Nevada, 75% in California, and 61% in Colorado, that's going to be hard to change. You don't see sudden shifts in the electorate by demographic very often. They will never be a monolithic voting block like African Americans, but I don't think you'll be seeing Republicans winning the Latio vote for a long time.
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