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ISW - Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, November 15 (1 Viewer)

Rogue Valley

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Key Takeaways

Russian forces conducted the largest set of missile strikes against Ukrainian critical infrastructure since the start of the war.
Polish officials announced that a likely “Russian-made missile” landed in Poland within six kilometers of the international border with Ukraine.
Russian military commanders reportedly ignored existing plans for offensive operations in the Vuhledar direction and committed poorly trained reinforcements to costly assaults on Pavlivka.
Russian officials continued to set conditions to force the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to recognize Russian control over the Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Power Plant (ZNPP).
Russians are increasingly turning to various platforms on social media to express their dissatisfaction with mobilization problems.
Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensives in the direction of Svatove and Kreminna.
Russian forces continued ground attacks near Bakhmut, Avdiivka, and Vuhledar.
Premature reports of Ukrainian forces capturing territory on the left bank of the Dnipro River provoked backlash in the Russian information space.
Russian logistics routes from Crimea into southern Ukraine are likely highly degraded.
Russian forces are continuing to supply their diminishing supplies with Belarusian military equipment.
Russian officials continued to minimize the role of proxy officials in occupied territories in favor of Russian officials.


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Overall, Russia suffered 630 KIA/WIA yesterday along with 10 tanks, 24 APC's, 10 artillery systems, 1 anti-air system, 9 trucks, and 14 UAV's destroyed by UKR forces.




It now appears that this event was probably an errant Ukrainian interceptor missile protecting Lviv and Yavoriv.

Still, this would not have occurred without the Russian invasion of Ukraine in February.


14 Russian jets fired 112 missiles at Ukraine energy infrastructure across the country, killing 3 civilians.


A spearhead south from northern Zaporizhzhia Oblast could bisect Russian forces in southern Ukraine.


This aid to Ukraine needs to be passed while Congress is still in its lame duck session.


While Ukraine has the most “battle-hardened” army in Europe right now, it is important not to dismiss the EU’s support.

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