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Institute for the Study of War
Leaked US intelligence accessed by The Washington Post indicates that Wagner Group financier Yevgeniy Prigozhin offered to disclose the locations of Russian positions to Ukrainian intelligence in exchange for Bakhmut. The Washington Post reported on May
Key Takeaways
- Leaked US intelligence Yevgeniy Prigozhin offered to disclose the locations of Russian positions to Ukrainian intelligence in exchange for Bakhmut.
- Ukrainian officials acknowledged limited Ukrainian battlefield successes during recent localized counterattacks in and around Bakhmut.
- Russian milbloggers uniformly attacked a proposal for “military censorship,” further indicating that the community is highly motivated to defend its privileged position.
- The Russian Ministry of Defense (MoD) claimed that it intercepted a Ukrainian Storm Shadow missile for the first time on May 15.
- The Kremlin has reportedly banned high-ranking officials from resigning during the war in Ukraine.
- Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky met with French President Emmanuel Macron and UK Prime Minister Rishi Sunak on May 14 and 15 confirming the provision of more Western military aid.
- Russian sources claimed that Russian forces captured Masyutivka, Kharkiv Oblast but ISW has observed no visual confirmation of these claims.
- Russian forces continued to launch ground assaults in and around Bakhmut and conducted limited offensive operations near Donetsk City.
- Ukrainian intelligence reported that approximately 152,000 Russian military personnel in southern Ukraine continue defensive efforts ahead of a possible Ukrainian counteroffensive.
- Russian authorities continue efforts to take advantage of migrant labor and incentivize foreigners into contract military service.
- Russian officials and occupation authorities continue to set conditions to forcibly relocate Ukrainians from occupied territories to Russia. (doing so is a war crime)
- Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko received a briefing from Belarusian generals on May 15 following recent speculation about his possible illness or death.

Interactive Map: Russia's Invasion of Ukraine
This interactive map complements the static control-of-terrain maps that ISW daily produces with high-fidelity.


Invasion Day 446 – Summary
The summary of the situation of Russian re-invasion to Ukraine covering the last 48 hours, as of 15th May 2023 – 22:00 (Kyiv time). includes the area of between Oskil and Aydar river Ukrainian General…
militaryland.net
Ukraine's defense forces killed about 199,460 Russian invaders between February 24, 2022 and May 15, 2023, including 580 in the past day alone.
In the spotlight.....

Ukrainian Soldiers Risk Their Lives to Keep Weapons From the Black Market
They can’t track every shell, but at a time of heightened scrutiny in Washington they know they can ill afford slips with the big ticket items.
Ukraine has exploited Russia's monthslong 'Bakhmut fixation' as it reclaims territory and sends Russian soldiers running from the 'meat grinder,' military expert says
Russia has suffered 100,000 casualties just since the year began, including 20,000 deaths, according to The White House.

"Exploiting it has led to Ukrainian casualties, but at the end of the day, war isn't about absolutes. It's about relative advantages."

Russia's "eroded" ground forces have run into "big problems"—U.S. general
"They've lost a lot of people, they've lost a lot of equipment," General Christopher G. Cavoli told the Lennart Meri Conference.

"The ground forces are greatly eroded, they have run into big problems."

Russia's ground forces poorly trained and using antiquated equipment: U.K.
Many of the units making up Russia's Combined Grouping of Forces are "severely under-strength," the British Defense Ministry said on Sunday.

"Ukraine... Our troops are gradually advancing in two directions in the suburbs of Bakhmut."

Russia loses 48 artillery systems in two days: Ukraine
The war in Ukraine "has become an artillery war," the U.S.-based Center for International and Strategic Studies said earlier this year.

"Since May 8, 106 Russian artillery systems were reportedly lost to Moscow's forces."

U.K. pledges "hundreds" of long range air defense missiles to Ukraine
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is in the U.K. on his latest leg of a European tour as Kyiv gears up for its long awaited counteroffensive.

"These weapons mark a "very substantial development" because they allow Ukraine to access targets much further behind the front lines."

France to give Ukraine more tanks, Macron and Zelenskyy announce
The surprise Paris visit comes after a spate of high-level meetings in Berlin and Rome.
"France will train and equip several battalions with tens of armored vehicles and light tanks, including AMX-10RCs.”
