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How Putin plans to deliver killer blow to Ukraine with summer offensive

anatta

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dont be misled by the title. This is a well balanced very good look at the battlefield and resources both sides have.. worth reading the entire article
Lasst month, Russian forces advanced at the fastest pace since last November, seizing an average of 5.5 square miles a day in May – double April’s rate, according to DeepState, a Ukrainian open-source intelligence project.

Commanders are now hoping for breakthrough, particularly in the Donbas – the historically Russian-speaking region central to the Kremlin’s territorial claims. Most of the provinces that make up the region are already under Russian military occupation, with Putin’s forces controlling 99 percent of Luhansk and approximately 77 percent of Donetsk. The capture of Donetsk’s remaining unoccupied cities and industrial heartlands is likely to be the offensive’s main objective

Russia has spent the winter bolstering manpower, addressing technical weaknesses, refining tactics, improving battlefield communications and enhancing the lethality and manoeuvrability of its attack drones.

After being largely pushed out of Russia’s Kursk region in March, Ukrainian forces now face pressure in neighbouring Sumy, where Putin aims to establish a buffer zone to prevent future incursions into Russian territory.

With the help of predominantly female factory workers lured from Africa, Russia has increased production from 300 per month last year to 100 per day this year, a figure Mr Zelensky says that Moscow aims to treble.
Russia has also improved short-range drone capabilities, deploying fibre-optic first-person view (FPV) drones that are immune to jamming.

Russia’s other significant advantage is its ability to enlist new soldiers at a much higher rate than Ukraine. This success largely boils down to financial incentives,

Having resisted Western pressure to conscript men under 25 – a move that would be deeply unpopular – Mr Zelensky’s government has instead launched an “18-24 campaign”, offering financial incentives and zero-interest mortgages to attract young volunteers.

Growing European investment in Ukraine’s defence sector may prove even more important. The country now produces up to 40 percent of its strike capability requirements domestically — a figure that could rise significantly with additional support.

Ukraine’s drone wall​

Ukraine’s biggest home-grown asset, however, is its so-called “drone wall” – a vast fleet of FPV drones that has allowed units to strike Russian forces more than ten miles behind the front.

The drones have disrupted Russian logistics, blunted its artillery advantage and slowed forward troop movements, creating defensive corridors along much of the front line.

Though Moscow is innovating rapidly in response, Ukraine plans to more than double domestic production this year to five million drones, helping preserve its edge.

Even with its drone wall, Ukraine remains largely on the defensive. A counteroffensive is unlikely, leaving Kyiv to wage a campaign of attrition to bleed Russia’s forces and slow their advance.
 
Nearly 6 months after his inauguration, and Trump still hasn't made the phone call he said would put an end to this war. Would somebody please remind him to do it before his next golf outing? It would be nice to finally put these daily updates behind us and schedule our vacations in Crimea after Putin's total withdrawal.

😏
 
Now Russia is doing square kilometers instead of straight line kilometers because the paltry square km figure is not as pathetic as the straight line kilometer figure.

The OP has a 5.5 sq km "advance" across an entire front in one month, May, which at no point amounts to even 1 straight line km anywhere. This is nothing but yet another Russia summertime crawl under the familiar guise of the ever elusive "summer offensive" that despite lots of PR always fails to turn the war around in Russia's favor.

The Russia Fanbois however keep on as the Energizer Bunnies of war propaganda.
 
dont be misled by the title. This is a well balanced very good look at the battlefield and resources both sides have.. worth reading the entire article
Lasst month, Russian forces advanced at the fastest pace since last November, seizing an average of 5.5 square miles a day in May – double April’s rate, according to DeepState, a Ukrainian open-source intelligence project.

Commanders are now hoping for breakthrough, particularly in the Donbas – the historically Russian-speaking region central to the Kremlin’s territorial claims. Most of the provinces that make up the region are already under Russian military occupation, with Putin’s forces controlling 99 percent of Luhansk and approximately 77 percent of Donetsk. The capture of Donetsk’s remaining unoccupied cities and industrial heartlands is likely to be the offensive’s main objective

Russia has spent the winter bolstering manpower, addressing technical weaknesses, refining tactics, improving battlefield communications and enhancing the lethality and manoeuvrability of its attack drones.

After being largely pushed out of Russia’s Kursk region in March, Ukrainian forces now face pressure in neighbouring Sumy, where Putin aims to establish a buffer zone to prevent future incursions into Russian territory.

With the help of predominantly female factory workers lured from Africa, Russia has increased production from 300 per month last year to 100 per day this year, a figure Mr Zelensky says that Moscow aims to treble.
Russia has also improved short-range drone capabilities, deploying fibre-optic first-person view (FPV) drones that are immune to jamming.

Russia’s other significant advantage is its ability to enlist new soldiers at a much higher rate than Ukraine. This success largely boils down to financial incentives,

Having resisted Western pressure to conscript men under 25 – a move that would be deeply unpopular – Mr Zelensky’s government has instead launched an “18-24 campaign”, offering financial incentives and zero-interest mortgages to attract young volunteers.

Growing European investment in Ukraine’s defence sector may prove even more important. The country now produces up to 40 percent of its strike capability requirements domestically — a figure that could rise significantly with additional support.

Ukraine’s drone wall​

Ukraine’s biggest home-grown asset, however, is its so-called “drone wall” – a vast fleet of FPV drones that has allowed units to strike Russian forces more than ten miles behind the front.

The drones have disrupted Russian logistics, blunted its artillery advantage and slowed forward troop movements, creating defensive corridors along much of the front line.

Though Moscow is innovating rapidly in response, Ukraine plans to more than double domestic production this year to five million drones, helping preserve its edge.

Even with its drone wall, Ukraine remains largely on the defensive. A counteroffensive is unlikely, leaving Kyiv to wage a campaign of attrition to bleed Russia’s forces and slow their advance.
Why do you continue to side with the guy who is murdering children every day?

Is that not something that they went over with people in your schools growing up?
 
Nearly 6 months after his inauguration, and Trump still hasn't made the phone call he said would put an end to this war. Would somebody please remind him to do it before his next golf outing? It would be nice to finally put these daily updates behind us and schedule our vacations in Crimea after Putin's total withdrawal.

😏

He's busy having a pubic quarrel with his drugged-up former friend.
 
Why do you continue to side with the guy who is murdering children every day?

Is that not something that they went over with people in your schools growing up?
Putin worshipers reject the teaching and practice of American values, norms, mores and the Laws of War.

Putin worshipers are not lambs that need to be saved or rescued from Russian barbarism. Putin worshipers are not ignorant of our objections to the Russian barbarism in Ukraine and domestically in Russia.

Putin worshipers are the same as Putin is and that Trump is and this has been true since 2015, to include before then. Putin worshipers actively reject outright everything America is/was in favor of everything that is the antithesis of America.

Putin worshipers are conscious and willful predators, not lambs who need to be rescued from some supposed error of their ways to finally see the proverbial light. These people are and have long been active, committed and dedicated fascists of the 21st century.
 
dont be misled by the title. This is a well balanced very good look at the battlefield and resources both sides have.. worth reading the entire article
Lasst month, Russian forces advanced at the fastest pace since last November, seizing an average of 5.5 square miles a day in May – double April’s rate, according to DeepState, a Ukrainian open-source intelligence project.

Commanders are now hoping for breakthrough, particularly in the Donbas – the historically Russian-speaking region central to the Kremlin’s territorial claims. Most of the provinces that make up the region are already under Russian military occupation, with Putin’s forces controlling 99 percent of Luhansk and approximately 77 percent of Donetsk. The capture of Donetsk’s remaining unoccupied cities and industrial heartlands is likely to be the offensive’s main objective

Russia has spent the winter bolstering manpower, addressing technical weaknesses, refining tactics, improving battlefield communications and enhancing the lethality and manoeuvrability of its attack drones.

After being largely pushed out of Russia’s Kursk region in March, Ukrainian forces now face pressure in neighbouring Sumy, where Putin aims to establish a buffer zone to prevent future incursions into Russian territory.

With the help of predominantly female factory workers lured from Africa, Russia has increased production from 300 per month last year to 100 per day this year, a figure Mr Zelensky says that Moscow aims to treble.
Russia has also improved short-range drone capabilities, deploying fibre-optic first-person view (FPV) drones that are immune to jamming.

Russia’s other significant advantage is its ability to enlist new soldiers at a much higher rate than Ukraine. This success largely boils down to financial incentives,

Having resisted Western pressure to conscript men under 25 – a move that would be deeply unpopular – Mr Zelensky’s government has instead launched an “18-24 campaign”, offering financial incentives and zero-interest mortgages to attract young volunteers.

Growing European investment in Ukraine’s defence sector may prove even more important. The country now produces up to 40 percent of its strike capability requirements domestically — a figure that could rise significantly with additional support.

Ukraine’s drone wall​

Ukraine’s biggest home-grown asset, however, is its so-called “drone wall” – a vast fleet of FPV drones that has allowed units to strike Russian forces more than ten miles behind the front.

The drones have disrupted Russian logistics, blunted its artillery advantage and slowed forward troop movements, creating defensive corridors along much of the front line.

Though Moscow is innovating rapidly in response, Ukraine plans to more than double domestic production this year to five million drones, helping preserve its edge.

Even with its drone wall, Ukraine remains largely on the defensive. A counteroffensive is unlikely, leaving Kyiv to wage a campaign of attrition to bleed Russia’s forces and slow their advance.
That is a lot of words to say Trump is a massive failure.
 
Now Russia is doing square kilometers instead of straight line kilometers because the paltry square km figure is not as pathetic as the straight line kilometer figure.

The OP has a 5.5 sq km "advance" across an entire front in one month, May, which at no point amounts to even 1 straight line km anywhere. This is nothing but yet another Russia summertime crawl under the familiar guise of the ever elusive "summer offensive" that despite lots of PR always fails to turn the war around in Russia's favor.

The Russia Fanbois however keep on as the Energizer Bunnies of war propaganda.
YES!!! someone actually responded to the Ukr/Russia strategic balance of power and the land war.
Kudos for not posting TDS type responses like the rest of this thread!
 
more on that "drone wall"
The only thing keeping Ukrainian lines in the shape they are right now is drones, FPV, and bomber drones; without them, it would be very bad.”

That’s the stark assessment of Ukraine’s frontline reality by Konrad Muzyka, a military analyst and director of Rochan Consulting. With troop numbers dwindling and US aid in question, Ukraine is relying more than ever on unmanned aerial systems to plug the gaps and hold the line. The country’s defense increasingly depends not just on boots on the ground, but on a web of cheap but lethal machines in the sky.

Russian forces are advancing at their fastest pace this year, having opened a new front in Sumy, captured several villages near the border, and amassed an estimated 50,000 troops in the region in part to prevent Ukraine from redeploying units toward Donetsk, where the main push is anticipated.

What is emerging is a new kind of layered defense, which Ukrainian officials call a “drone line” and some analysts refer to as a “drone wall:” a continuous defensive corridor of drones along Ukraine’s most vulnerable positions.


Ukrainian forces now use drones for everything from reconnaissance and strike missions to logistics, evacuation, and mine-laying. In some areas, they’ve become a substitute for infantry altogether.
“The frontline is fragmented,” said Muzyka, “there aren’t enough soldiers to man their defensive positions, so they use drones.”


First-person view (FPV) drones are launched at a scale unseen anywhere else in modern conflict, often by small units operating close to the line of contact. Their aim isn’t just to harass Russian troops, but to delay and disrupt advances long enough for Ukrainian forces to reposition or counterattack.
 
dont be misled by the title. This is a well balanced very good look at the battlefield and resources both sides have.. worth reading the entire article
Lasst month, Russian forces advanced at the fastest pace since last November, seizing an average of 5.5 square miles a day in May – double April’s rate, according to DeepState, a Ukrainian open-source intelligence project.

Commanders are now hoping for breakthrough, particularly in the Donbas – the historically Russian-speaking region central to the Kremlin’s territorial claims. Most of the provinces that make up the region are already under Russian military occupation, with Putin’s forces controlling 99 percent of Luhansk and approximately 77 percent of Donetsk. The capture of Donetsk’s remaining unoccupied cities and industrial heartlands is likely to be the offensive’s main objective

Russia has spent the winter bolstering manpower, addressing technical weaknesses, refining tactics, improving battlefield communications and enhancing the lethality and manoeuvrability of its attack drones.

After being largely pushed out of Russia’s Kursk region in March, Ukrainian forces now face pressure in neighbouring Sumy, where Putin aims to establish a buffer zone to prevent future incursions into Russian territory.

With the help of predominantly female factory workers lured from Africa, Russia has increased production from 300 per month last year to 100 per day this year, a figure Mr Zelensky says that Moscow aims to treble.
Russia has also improved short-range drone capabilities, deploying fibre-optic first-person view (FPV) drones that are immune to jamming.

Russia’s other significant advantage is its ability to enlist new soldiers at a much higher rate than Ukraine. This success largely boils down to financial incentives,

Having resisted Western pressure to conscript men under 25 – a move that would be deeply unpopular – Mr Zelensky’s government has instead launched an “18-24 campaign”, offering financial incentives and zero-interest mortgages to attract young volunteers.

Growing European investment in Ukraine’s defence sector may prove even more important. The country now produces up to 40 percent of its strike capability requirements domestically — a figure that could rise significantly with additional support.

Ukraine’s drone wall​

Ukraine’s biggest home-grown asset, however, is its so-called “drone wall” – a vast fleet of FPV drones that has allowed units to strike Russian forces more than ten miles behind the front.

The drones have disrupted Russian logistics, blunted its artillery advantage and slowed forward troop movements, creating defensive corridors along much of the front line.

Though Moscow is innovating rapidly in response, Ukraine plans to more than double domestic production this year to five million drones, helping preserve its edge.

Even with its drone wall, Ukraine remains largely on the defensive. A counteroffensive is unlikely, leaving Kyiv to wage a campaign of attrition to bleed Russia’s forces and slow their advance.

So, not interested in a peace negotiation. What a surprise. That must kill you guys. :D
 
Its increased drone production is extraordinary. It went from producing 1.5 to 2 million drones, to a projected 4.5 million this year. The country has also made impressive advances across drone software, hardware adaptation, and domestic production, now producing 30% of its own weapons domestically.

Chinese-Russian engineering teams are now producing standardized products at a huge scale — Ukrainian experts now fear Russia could send 1,000 Shaded-type drones against its defenses every night.
 
If it spells the end of war, putting Ukraine under Putin's heel could qualify Trump for that elusive Nobel Peace Prize for which he's labored so long and hard. Congrats, Big Fella!
 
If it spells the end of war, putting Ukraine under Putin's heel could qualify Trump for that elusive Nobel Peace Prize for which he's labored so long and hard. Congrats, Big Fella!
both articles i posted show Ukraine has a path to "attrit" Russia using drones. Also Ukr is very innovative like the drone attack on Russian bombers.
Also Russia has been tapping Russia's National Wealth Fund (NWF), "a key source of financing for its war effort, is facing a significant decline in liquid assets"

Both articles are worth a full read to get a true sense of the balance of power
 
dont be misled by the title. This is a well balanced very good look at the battlefield and resources both sides have.. worth reading the entire article


An informative article. Its focus on what the inventories are for all involved I believe can be of much use especially to the pro Kyiv side of the aisle. An entrenched impression in the western world at large, and in dp as well is that the inventories of the west are bottomless, while the inventories of Russia are empty. The inventories of the west are huge, but not bottomless. The Russian inventories were meager, but they have also managed way above expectations. The article does a good job
 
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