Headlines in Climate Science

LowDown said:

Here are the headlines you don't see in the mainstream media:

New paper shows lack of hockey stick in temperature record of Nordic seas.

New paper finds that climate models are unable to reproduce the known climate of the past 6000 years.

Danish Meteorological Institute: Arctic Ice now 1,700,000 square km over last year.

Antarctic Sea Ice hits another record: 900,000 square kilometers above average

New paper finds more evidence the Medieval Warming Period was global — Published in Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology and Palaeoecology

Quietest Hurricane Season On Record To Date: ’8 years since a major hurricane hit the US, the longest such period since the Civil War. Obama has had the fewest hurricanes of any president’

Sea Level Rose Three Times Faster From 1930 To 1948: ‘According to the most bloated alarmist numbers, sea level is currently rising 3 mm/year. But from 1930 to 1948, sea level rose almost 9 mm/ year’

Solar Cycle 24 Weakest In Almost 200 Years – Shows Signs Of An Even Weaker Upcoming Cycle 25

New paper finds climate sensitivity to CO2 is ‘close to zero’ — Study ‘finds there is no agreement between observations and climate model predictions during the last two decades of the 20th century’

New paper finds climate change over decades primarily determined by the oceans — Published in journal Nature

No Trend In US July Temperatures Since 1895: ‘July was the 59th coolest on record in the US, and was almost 2C cooler than 1934, 1901 and 1983′

Tornados at next to record low levels.

New paper calls into question global sea surface temperature measurements.

HT: climatedepot.com

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Unitedwestand13 said:

Siberia ablaze: Raging forest fires engulf five Russian regions ? RT News

Warm Weather Kills Hatchery Chinook Near Petersburg | Alaska Public Media

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jmotivator said:

Local weather isn't global warming.

If it helps, think back to all the times the weather was unseasonably cold at the International Climate summits and how we were all instructed not to conclude anything from that local weather.

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Lord of Planar said:

What I found amusing was year after year, colder weather seemed to attack these summits.

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LowDown said:

Here are the headlines you don't see in the mainstream media:

<snip>

New paper finds climate sensitivity to CO2 is ‘close to zero’ — Study ‘finds there is no agreement between observations and climate model predictions during the last two decades of the 20th century’

<snip>

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The fingerprint method consists of comparing the patterns of observed temperature
trends and those derived from greenhouse models [Hasselmann 1993]. Such a
comparison was first applied in a consistent way in Chapter 8 (“Detection and
Attribution”) of the Second Assessment Report (SAR) of the IPCC [1996], with B.D.
Santer as lead author. This chapter claimed that the patterns of temperature trends of
observations and models were “consistent.” However, Michaels and Knappenberger
[1996] discovered that it was the choice of a particular observational period that
accounted for the claimed positive temperature trend in the troposphere. When the
complete data set is used, the consistency with models disappeared. [NOTE #9]

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Chapter 8 of the IPCC-SAR is also notorious because, after its approval by the
chapter authors, B.D. Santer, its lead author, removed several sentences and
paragraphs and altered others that threw doubt on the human cause of observed
warming [Singer 1996]. It was later discovered that these changes were made between
the time the chapter was approved in

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On the basis of the discussion points listed in Section 5, one may conclude that the
claim, i.e., that observed and modeled trends are “consistent” cannot be considered as
valid. Specifically, the “new observational evidence” presented in Santer does not hold
up to scrutiny. The claimed uncertainties of the modeled temperature trends, although
seemingly supported by elaborate statistical analysis, fail to consider the more
important chaotic and structural uncertainties.
Of course, this demonstrated lack of consistency does not ‘disprove’ AGW; it is
always possible that either models or observations are completely wrong. But burden
of proof is on those who argue that consistency ‘proves’ AGW and then advocate farreaching
actions of mitigation.
I hope that my critique will serve to avoid the kind of disastrous mistakes that led
to the 1997 Kyoto Protocol. NOTE #9 details the several distortions that produced an
IPCC conclusion that “the balance of evidence” supports anthropogenic global
warming – which provided a scientific basis for Kyoto.

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jmotivator said:

Local weather isn't global warming.

If it helps, think back to all the times the weather was unseasonably cold at the International Climate summits and how we were all instructed not to conclude anything from that local weather.

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jmotivator said:

We call it the "Al Gore" effect. That dude seems to bring cold weather everywhere he goes.

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Unitedwestand13 said:

I am talking about climate change, which is happening in Siberia with hotter then normal temperatures.

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Unitedwestand13 said:

I am talking about climate change, which is happening in Siberia with hotter then normal temperatures.

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jmotivator said:

Local weather isn't global warming.

If it helps, think back to all the times the weather was unseasonably cold at the International Climate summits and how we were all instructed not to conclude anything from that local weather.

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Climate scientists in the United States say extreme weather events and warming temperatures are the new norm.[/B]The American Meteorological Society has released its annual snapshot of the world's climate, which concludes disastrous weather events like Hurricane Sandy in the US and droughts and floods in Australia, Africa and South America will become more frequent.

The report lists a raft of indicators that show a continuously warming planet where ice sheets and glaciers will keep shrinking, and sea and land temperatures will keep rising to record levels.

Last year was a record-breaking year for the world's climate, with new extremes for sea levels, temperatures, snow coverage and ice melts.

Arctic ice levels reached record lows in 2012, and the polar region is warming at twice the rate of the rest of the planet, however on a positive note at the other end of the world, Antarctica's climate remained relatively stable and sea ice cover reached a record maximum.

The report also stated the world's highest levels of greenhouse gases were released by burning fossil fuels last year.

Some 384 scientists from 54 countries contributed to the report, covering all aspects of the planet, from the depths of the oceans to the stratosphere.

Last year was among the top 10 on record for global land and surface temperature since modern data collection began.

'Planet as whole becoming warmer place'

"The findings are striking," Kathryn Sullivan, acting administrator of the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) told AFP.

"Our planet as a whole is becoming a warmer place."

Michael Mann, a leading US climatologist at Pennsylvania State University who was not involved in the research, added: "It's hard to read the report and not be led to the conclusion that the task of reducing carbon emissions is now more urgent than ever."

Globally, 2012 ranked as the eighth or ninth warmest year since records began in the mid-to-late 1800s, according to four independent analysts cited by the study.

"Surface temperatures in the Arctic are increasing at a rate about two times faster than the rest of the world," Jackie Richter-Menge, research civil engineer with the US Army Corps of Engineers, said.

Meanwhile, permafrost temperatures reached record highs in northern Alaska and 97 per cent of the Greenland ice sheet showed some form of melt, four times greater than the average melt for this time of year.

The melt is also contributing to rising sea levels.

Average global sea level reached a record high in 2012, 3.5 centimetres above the 1993 to 2010 average.

"Most recently, over the past seven years or so, it appears that the ice melt is contributing more than twice as much to the global sea level rise compared with warming waters," Jessica Blunden, climatologist at NOAA's National Climatic Data Center, said.

Scientists say the data should be of concern to people living in coastal areas and that weather patterns from the past can no longer be used to predict the future.

The peer-reviewed report did not go into the causes for the trends but experts said it should serve as a guide for policymakers as they prepare for the effects of rising seas and warming weather on communities and infrastructure.

The amount of carbon dioxide emissions from burning fossil fuels also hit new highs, after a slight decline in recent years that followed the global financial crisis.

For the first time, in Spring 2012, the atmospheric CO2 concentration exceeded 400 parts per million (ppm) at seven of the 13 Arctic observation sites, the report said.

Global average carbon dioxide reached 392.6 ppm, a 2.1 ppm increase from 2011, it said.

Droughts and unusual rains struck different parts of the globe last year and the the worst drought in the past three decades was noted in north-eastern Brazil.

The Caribbean observed a very wet dry season and the Sahel had its wettest rainy season in 50 years, according to the report.

Dr Sullivan said the findings "caution us, perhaps, to be looking at a likely future where extremes and intensity of some extremes are more frequent and more intense than what we have accounted for in the past."

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marywollstonecraft said:

true

but this year there have been record heat waves across Europe, Asia and the US. Earlier, Australia had its hottest summer on record .... so these are not isolated local events.

but even if the whole globe went through unusually hot weather for a couple of years, that wouldn't even be evidence of global climate change.

you need to look at the trends - and only the ignorant try to deny the trends.


Climate report warns extreme weather events are now the norm - ABC News (Australian Broadcasting Corporation)

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KLATTU said:

'Extreme wethar events' are almost impossible to quantify due to the lack of a reliable baseline.
Hurricanes, for example The measuering techniques used now are not the same as they were even 25 years ago . Thus a 'Category 4' is not the same.


Tornadoes-forget it, no reliable baseline.
Floods . Same.

Droughts. Possible but only for localized areas .

Thus, you get the usual warmist tactic of coming to the conclusion FIRST, and then backfilling it with cherry picked facts.

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humbolt said:

Anything to support the apocalyptic view being sold.

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polgara said:

Good morning, humbolt. :2wave:

There was an interesting article on Yahoo this morning..."Sun will flip its magnetic field soon." Apparently we might be in for a stormy Fall this year, an event that happens once every eleven years.. It's going to be interesting to see how the Climate Change group handles this one, since everyone knows that all the apocalyptic problems are caused by everyone but Al Gore and his followers! I wonder what the good folks on the planet Pluto think? :shock:

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jmotivator said:

The trouble is, you can always find regions that are setting records to push that narrative even when the global aggregate (ie. climate) is not spectacular. This summer has also been the coldest on record in the Arctic circle.

Extreme weather events are always the norm when you know where to look each year.

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KLATTU said:

'Extreme wethar events' are almost impossible to quantify due to the lack of a reliable baseline.
Hurricanes, for example The measuering techniques used now are not the same as they were even 25 years ago . Thus a 'Category 4' is not the same.


Tornadoes-forget it, no reliable baseline.
Floods . Same.

Droughts. Possible but only for localized areas .

Thus, you get the usual warmist tactic of coming to the conclusion FIRST, and then backfilling it with cherry picked facts.

Click to expand...

marywollstonecraft said:

so what you are saying is that you prefer to pretend scientists are liars and keep your head in the sand

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marywollstonecraft said:

or, on the other hand, you get the anti science perspective of the denialist brigade.

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marywollstonecraft said:

or, on the other hand, you get the anti science perspective of the denialist brigade.

Click to expand...

marywollstonecraft said:

so what you are saying is that you prefer to pretend scientists are liars and keep your head in the sand

Click to expand...

marywollstonecraft said:

true

but this year there have been record heat waves across Europe, Asia and the US. Earlier, Australia had its hottest summer on record .... so these are not isolated local events.

but even if the whole globe went through unusually hot weather for a couple of years, that wouldn't even be evidence of global climate change.

Click to expand...

polgara said:

Good morning, humbolt. :2wave:

There was an interesting article on Yahoo this morning..."Sun will flip its magnetic field soon." Apparently we might be in for a stormy Fall this year, an event that happens once every eleven years.. It's going to be interesting to see how the Climate Change group handles this one, since everyone knows that all the apocalyptic problems are caused by everyone but Al Gore and his followers! I wonder what the good folks on the planet Pluto think? :shock:

Click to expand...

marywollstonecraft said:

so what you are saying is that you prefer to pretend scientists are liars and keep your head in the sand

Click to expand...

LowDown said:

Here are the headlines you don't see in the mainstream media:

New paper shows lack of hockey stick in temperature record of Nordic seas.

New paper finds that climate models are unable to reproduce the known climate of the past 6000 years.

Danish Meteorological Institute: Arctic Ice now 1,700,000 square km over last year.

Antarctic Sea Ice hits another record: 900,000 square kilometers above average

New paper finds more evidence the Medieval Warming Period was global — Published in Palaeogeography, Palaeoclimatology and Palaeoecology

Quietest Hurricane Season On Record To Date: ’8 years since a major hurricane hit the US, the longest such period since the Civil War. Obama has had the fewest hurricanes of any president’

Sea Level Rose Three Times Faster From 1930 To 1948: ‘According to the most bloated alarmist numbers, sea level is currently rising 3 mm/year. But from 1930 to 1948, sea level rose almost 9 mm/ year’

Solar Cycle 24 Weakest In Almost 200 Years – Shows Signs Of An Even Weaker Upcoming Cycle 25

New paper finds climate sensitivity to CO2 is ‘close to zero’ — Study ‘finds there is no agreement between observations and climate model predictions during the last two decades of the 20th century’

New paper finds climate change over decades primarily determined by the oceans — Published in journal Nature

No Trend In US July Temperatures Since 1895: ‘July was the 59th coolest on record in the US, and was almost 2C cooler than 1934, 1901 and 1983′

Tornados at next to record low levels.

New paper calls into question global sea surface temperature measurements.

HT: climatedepot.com

Click to expand...