Harris is on track to lose

[ALiberalModerate]

Unless polling is underrepresenting Kamala's support in swing states, she is on track to lose. https://www.realclearpolling.com/st...aining-harris-still-leads-in-nationwide-polls

I think her problems are the following:
1. Inflation. While it has certainly curbed this year, Americans still feel its cumulative effects over the last 4 years. This is particularly the case in groceries and housing.

2. She isn't that great of a candidate. While she absolutely trounced Trump in their debate, on a day-to-day basis, she isn't that great of a candidate.

3. Her 2019 presidential campaign. In 2019, she listened to the cultural left, and as a result, took on positions that well outside of the mainstream of America: A ban on fracking, full decriminalization of illegal immigration, the Green New Deal, Medicare for All, and a ban on Fracking. Sure, she has since changed her position on these, but they have provided plenty of campaign material for the Trump campaign to run ads showing her, often on video, demonstrating her past support.

4. Crime. The political damage done by progressive prosecutors and the far left when it comes to public perceptions of crime has been incalculable. Yes, crime did drop in 2023, however there are many major cities were property crime rates and violent crime is still much higher than it was in the 2010s. If you want to explain the fall off in support from Blacks for Democrats, look no further than this. Regardless of your race or politics, law and order are consistently popular.

5. The Fox News fallacy. You see this one on here a lot. By this, I mean people on the left seem to think that if Fox News or right-wing news source is reporting something, it can't be true and thus it is dismissed out of hand. There is no doubt that Fox News has had credibility problems with its reporting, but, while its reporting is very one sided, and partisan, that doesn't mean that much of what it reports is untrue. For example, their reporting on problems at the border was true.

I think we are all in bubbles, both on the left and the right. I live in an inner ring suburb on the Kansas side of the Kansas City metro (for those of you who don't know, Kansas City itself is in Missouri). When I go out for a run, or take our dog for a walk, the number of Harris signs outnumber the number of Trump signs by 10 to 1. Where I work, in downtown KC, the number of Harris supporters well outnumber the number of Trump supporters. When we go to Mass on Sunday, in the church parking lot, you see lots of Harris bumper stickers, but not a single Trump one. If I look around at my community, workplace, and parish, I can easily think that there is no way that Trump will win. However, he will easily win both Kansas and Missouri, likely by 15 points in both states. Our household income is about 3 times the median household income for our state. We don't feel the financial pain that the average household in our state feels. For example, we feel the increase in grocery and restaurant prices, but while it is a financial annoyance to us, it has been near catastrophic to the median household. The growth in the gap in wealth and income continues unabated: https://apps.urban.org/features/wealth-inequality-charts/

My wife and I live in a modest home (1200 sq foot Cape Cod - which we raised 3 kids out of) and we don't drive expensive cars, so we have made choices that help our disposable income. At the same time, we take several vacations a year. For example, in the last year we have gone to Paris twice, Barcelona, and Canada. The week of the election, we are traveling to Paris for 10 days, and 3 weeks after we return from that trip, our daughter and I will be going to Ecuador for a few days. On top of this, we are able to invest close to 20% of our income in retirement investments, and we have for much of our working lives (both of us are in our late 40s). I grew up in poverty, so I know from experience what poverty feels like, but at the same time, you don't notice that in your day to day lives when you are doing well. We are in that top 20% of Americans that are doing great. The bottom 60% of Americans are not doing great and while I think their support of Trump is wrong, and I don't think he will do anything to help them, I also can understand why many of them support him. They have seen decades of little hope of climbing into a better life.

 

[Ginger Ale]

It seems Christian Nationalism has caught on, and Americans don't like brown migrants. That's the sad truth! We're not immune to Rome falling, no.

I still hold out hope that more men respect women than not, more people desire calm leadership than chaos, and more humans want to live in an inclusive rather then exclusive nation. We will see how correct I am come Nov. I think Kamala will win.

 

[ALiberalModerate]

It seems Christian Nationalism has caught on, and Americans don't like brown migrants. That's the sad truth! We're not immune to Rome falling, no.

I still hold out hope that more men respect women than not, more people desire calm leadership than chaos, and more humans want to live in an inclusive rather then exclusive nation. We will see how correct I am come Nov. I think Kamala will win.

There is no doubt that Trump would have no hope of winning if he lost the racist and bigot vote, at the same time, that isn't why he could win. He could win because we have an economy that is great for 20% of Americans and not great for the other 80% of Americans.

 

[CaughtInThe]

 

[ALiberalModerate]

This is illustrative of the kind of in the bubble thinking I am talking about. Regardless of whether Harris wins or loses NC, she will carry the mail in vote.

 

[Bok Tuklo]

North Carolina 2022

 

[noonereal]

Unless polling is underrepresenting Kamala's support in swing states, she is on track to lose. https://www.realclearpolling.com/st...aining-harris-still-leads-in-nationwide-polls

I think her problems are the following:
1. Inflation. While it has certainly curbed this year, Americans still feel its cumulative effects over the last 4 years. This is particularly the case in groceries and housing.

2. She isn't that great of a candidate. While she absolutely trounced Trump in their debate, on a day-to-day basis, she isn't that great of a candidate.

3. Her 2019 presidential campaign. In 2019, she listened to the cultural left, and as a result, took on positions that well outside of the mainstream of America: A ban on fracking, full decriminalization of illegal immigration, the Green New Deal, Medicare for All, and a ban on Fracking. Sure, she has since changed her position on these, but they have provided plenty of campaign material for the Trump campaign to run ads showing her, often on video, demonstrating her past support.

4. Crime. The political damage done by progressive prosecutors and the far left when it comes to public perceptions of crime has been incalculable. Yes, crime did drop in 2023, however there are many major cities were property crime rates and violent crime is still much higher than it was in the 2010s. If you want to explain the fall off in support from Blacks for Democrats, look no further than this. Regardless of your race or politics, law and order are consistently popular.

5. The Fox News fallacy. You see this one on here a lot. By this, I mean people on the left seem to think that if Fox News or right-wing news source is reporting something, it can't be true and thus it is dismissed out of hand. There is no doubt that Fox News has had credibility problems with its reporting, but, while its reporting is very one sided, and partisan, that doesn't mean that much of what it reports is untrue. For example, their reporting on problems at the border was true.

I think we are all in bubbles, both on the left and the right. I live in an inner ring suburb on the Kansas side of the Kansas City metro (for those of you who don't know, Kansas City itself is in Missouri). When I go out for a run, or take our dog for a walk, the number of Harris signs outnumber the number of Trump signs by 10 to 1. Where I work, in downtown KC, the number of Harris supporters well outnumber the number of Trump supporters. When we go to Mass on Sunday, in the church parking lot, you see lots of Harris bumper stickers, but not a single Trump one. If I look around at my community, workplace, and parish, I can easily think that there is no way that Trump will win. However, he will easily win both Kansas and Missouri, likely by 15 points in both states. Our household income is about 3 times the median household income for our state. We don't feel the financial pain that the average household in our state feels. For example, we feel the increase in grocery and restaurant prices, but while it is a financial annoyance to us, it has been near catastrophic to the median household. The growth in the gap in wealth and income continues unabated: https://apps.urban.org/features/wealth-inequality-charts/

My wife and I live in a modest home (1200 sq foot Cape Cod - which we raised 3 kids out of) and we don't drive expensive cars, so we have made choices that help our disposable income. At the same time, we take several vacations a year. For example, in the last year we have gone to Paris twice, Barcelona, and Canada. The week of the election, we are traveling to Paris for 10 days, and 3 weeks after we return from that trip, our daughter and I will be going to Ecuador for a few days. On top of this, we are able to invest close to 20% of our income in retirement investments, and we have for much of our working lives (both of us are in our late 40s). I grew up in poverty, so I know from experience what poverty feels like, but at the same time, you don't notice that in your day to day lives when you are doing well. We are in that top 20% of Americans that are doing great. The bottom 60% of Americans are not doing great and while I think their support of Trump is wrong, and I don't think he will do anything to help them, I also can understand why many of them support him. They have seen decades of little hope of climbing into a better life.

She is a women and black. Bad and worse. You have incredible ignorance allowed to vote. These all work against her.

 

[aociswundumho]

The bottom 60% of Americans are not doing great and while I think their support of Trump is wrong, and I don't think he will do anything to help them, I also can understand why many of them support him. They have seen decades of little hope of climbing into a better life.

The political left is what has doomed young people today. The more left wing a US state is, the worse off the young people who live there are. A few examples:

1. Housing. Left wing states intentionally restrict new housing units from being built. When they do allow building, it takes years to get through all of the red tape and environmental bullshit. The supply restrictions mean very high prices, which makes it impossible for young people to afford their own home.

2. Labor cartels. Left wing states are very pro-union. That is very bad for workers in general, because unions create unemployment.

3. General hostility to private businesses. Left wing states make it extremely difficult and expensive to start and operate a business. This makes it difficult for young people to start their own business and reduces their employment opportunities.

4. Taxes. Left wing states tax the shit out of everything.

Harris is a California Democrat, i.e. the worst of the worst. Her plans are to increase demand for housing and healthcare, which is going to make both even more expensive than they are now.

and I don't think he will do anything to help them,

You're right, he won't. He's going to add more and more dumbass tariffs. Protectionism helps rich people and hurts poor people.

 

[MauiMan]

Unless polling is underrepresenting Kamala's support in swing states, she is on track to lose. https://www.realclearpolling.com/st...aining-harris-still-leads-in-nationwide-polls

I think her problems are the following:
1. Inflation. While it has certainly curbed this year, Americans still feel its cumulative effects over the last 4 years. This is particularly the case in groceries and housing.

2. She isn't that great of a candidate. While she absolutely trounced Trump in their debate, on a day-to-day basis, she isn't that great of a candidate.

3. Her 2019 presidential campaign. In 2019, she listened to the cultural left, and as a result, took on positions that well outside of the mainstream of America: A ban on fracking, full decriminalization of illegal immigration, the Green New Deal, Medicare for All, and a ban on Fracking. Sure, she has since changed her position on these, but they have provided plenty of campaign material for the Trump campaign to run ads showing her, often on video, demonstrating her past support.

4. Crime. The political damage done by progressive prosecutors and the far left when it comes to public perceptions of crime has been incalculable. Yes, crime did drop in 2023, however there are many major cities were property crime rates and violent crime is still much higher than it was in the 2010s. If you want to explain the fall off in support from Blacks for Democrats, look no further than this. Regardless of your race or politics, law and order are consistently popular.

5. The Fox News fallacy. You see this one on here a lot. By this, I mean people on the left seem to think that if Fox News or right-wing news source is reporting something, it can't be true and thus it is dismissed out of hand. There is no doubt that Fox News has had credibility problems with its reporting, but, while its reporting is very one sided, and partisan, that doesn't mean that much of what it reports is untrue. For example, their reporting on problems at the border was true.

I think we are all in bubbles, both on the left and the right. I live in an inner ring suburb on the Kansas side of the Kansas City metro (for those of you who don't know, Kansas City itself is in Missouri). When I go out for a run, or take our dog for a walk, the number of Harris signs outnumber the number of Trump signs by 10 to 1. Where I work, in downtown KC, the number of Harris supporters well outnumber the number of Trump supporters. When we go to Mass on Sunday, in the church parking lot, you see lots of Harris bumper stickers, but not a single Trump one. If I look around at my community, workplace, and parish, I can easily think that there is no way that Trump will win. However, he will easily win both Kansas and Missouri, likely by 15 points in both states. Our household income is about 3 times the median household income for our state. We don't feel the financial pain that the average household in our state feels. For example, we feel the increase in grocery and restaurant prices, but while it is a financial annoyance to us, it has been near catastrophic to the median household. The growth in the gap in wealth and income continues unabated: https://apps.urban.org/features/wealth-inequality-charts/

My wife and I live in a modest home (1200 sq foot Cape Cod - which we raised 3 kids out of) and we don't drive expensive cars, so we have made choices that help our disposable income. At the same time, we take several vacations a year. For example, in the last year we have gone to Paris twice, Barcelona, and Canada. The week of the election, we are traveling to Paris for 10 days, and 3 weeks after we return from that trip, our daughter and I will be going to Ecuador for a few days. On top of this, we are able to invest close to 20% of our income in retirement investments, and we have for much of our working lives (both of us are in our late 40s). I grew up in poverty, so I know from experience what poverty feels like, but at the same time, you don't notice that in your day to day lives when you are doing well. We are in that top 20% of Americans that are doing great. The bottom 60% of Americans are not doing great and while I think their support of Trump is wrong, and I don't think he will do anything to help them, I also can understand why many of them support him. They have seen decades of little hope of climbing into a better life.

She is going to win, and Trump will spend the rest of his life in court and prison.

 

[Paradoxical]

It seems Christian Nationalism has caught on, and Americans don't like brown migrants. That's the sad truth! We're not immune to Rome falling, no.

I still hold out hope that more men respect women than not, more people desire calm leadership than chaos, and more humans want to live in an inclusive rather then exclusive nation. We will see how correct I am come Nov. I think Kamala will win.

This is not a female problem or the color of ones skin. I would vote for Angelina Luna, Candice or any black Republican. We need to get out od this stoopid mindset that this is about a female of color and out of the crazy lie that it is racist to criticize a female of c=olor. She is the most grating and annoying person i have ever seen in my life. She is also a Communist and at minimum a radical leftist who compared ICE to the KK, wants to defund police, wants to give money for houses and businesses, and believes we are comprised of communities instead of a United country and we all know what the code "community" means. She believes in equity instead of personal choices and responsibility, and a "holistic" approach but never says what that means. She is an empty suit with an empty head.

 

[reflechissez]

The political left is what has doomed young people today. The more left wing a US state is, the worse off the young people who live there are. A few examples:

1. Housing. Left wing states intentionally restrict new housing units from being built. When they do allow building, it takes years to get through all of the red tape and environmental bullshit. The supply restrictions mean very high prices, which makes it impossible for young people to afford their own home.

2. Labor cartels. Left wing states are very pro-union. That is very bad for workers in general, because unions create unemployment.

3. General hostility to private businesses. Left wing states make it extremely difficult and expensive to start and operate a business. This makes it difficult for young people to start their own business and reduces their employment opportunities.

4. Taxes. Left wing states tax the shit out of everything.

Harris is a California Democrat, i.e. the worst of the worst. Her plans are to increase demand for housing and healthcare, which is going to make both even more expensive than they are now.



You're right, he won't. He's going to add more and more dumbass tariffs. Protectionism helps rich people and hurts poor people.

Opinions noted.

 

[RaleBulgarian]

The political left is what has doomed young people today. The more left wing a US state is, the worse off the young people who live there are.

The majority of the poorest and most crime ridden states are RED.

Get a f’n clue.

Poorest U.S. States 2025

Discover population, economy, health, and more with the most comprehensive global statistics at your fingertips.

worldpopulationreview.com

Crime Rate by State 2025

Discover population, economy, health, and more with the most comprehensive global statistics at your fingertips.

worldpopulationreview.com

 

[Ginger Ale]

This is not a female problem or the color of ones skin. I would vote for Angelina Luna, Candice or any black Republican. We need to get out od this stoopid mindset that this is about a female of color and out of the crazy lie that it is racist to criticize a female of c=olor. She is the most grating and annoying person i have ever seen in my life. She is also a Communist and at minimum a radical leftist who compared ICE to the KK, wants to defund police, wants to give money for houses and businesses, and believes we are comprised of communities instead of a United country and we all know what the code "community" means. She believes in equity instead of personal choices and responsibility, and a "holistic" approach but never says what that means. She is an empty suit with an empty head.

Bullshit! You had a chance with Haley, who was clearly less of a ****ed up mess than Trump and probably would have won this election handily but you picked the old womanizing criminal. The primary said all anyone needs to know. It's too late you try to clean up that mess, don't waste your time!

 

[VySky]

Bullshit! You had a chance with Haley, who was clearly less of a ****ed up mess than Trump and probably would have won this election handily but you picked the old womanizing criminal. The primary said all anyone needs to know. It's too late you try to clean up that mess, don't waste your time!

And according to CNN, Kamala is "struggling" against Trump which shows how on point @Paradoxical comments are.

Harris- Struggles to restore momentum in a neck-and-neck race to Election Day.

Yea, she peaked to soon. The more voters learn about Harris the less they like. Look at what CNN says about Trump and Harris is struggling? LMAO... That tells us everything. OMG, why does she "struggle" in the face of such evil? :ROFLMAO: :ROFLMAO: :ROFLMAO: Could it be voters are not...

debatepolitics.com

 

[Ginger Ale]

And according to CNN, Kamala is "struggling" against Trump which shows how on point @Paradoxical comments are.

Harris- Struggles to restore momentum in a neck-and-neck race to Election Day.

Yea, she peaked to soon. The more voters learn about Harris the less they like. Look at what CNN says about Trump and Harris is struggling? LMAO... That tells us everything. OMG, why does she "struggle" in the face of such evil? :ROFLMAO: :ROFLMAO: :ROFLMAO: Could it be voters are not...

debatepolitics.com

I'd be pretty stupid to bet on what you or @Paradoxical say on here and I'm not so, shew!

 

[Paradoxical]

Bullshit! You had a chance with Haley, who was clearly less of a ****ed up mess than Trump and probably would have won this election handily but you picked the old womanizing criminal. The primary said all anyone needs to know. It's too late you try to clean up that mess, don't waste your time!

No one likes the war monger Haley. This is a new Republican party. We leave the wars up to the Democrats now. Haley is for sure smarter than Commyla but very unlikable.

PS. Republicans don't pick someone just because they identify as female or "of color".

We leave that to Biden.

 

[VySky]

No one likes the war monger Haley. This is a new Republican party. We leave the wars up to the Democrats now. Haley is for sure smarter than Commyla but very unlikable.

PS. Republicans don't pick someone just because they identify as female or "of color".

We leave that to Biden.

And look what they are stuck with because Biden had to have a DUI......err I mean DEI hire.

 

[Lursa]

Unless polling is underrepresenting Kamala's support in swing states, she is on track to lose. https://www.realclearpolling.com/st...aining-harris-still-leads-in-nationwide-polls

I think her problems are the following:
1. Inflation. While it has certainly curbed this year, Americans still feel its cumulative effects over the last 4 years. This is particularly the case in groceries and housing.

2. She isn't that great of a candidate. While she absolutely trounced Trump in their debate, on a day-to-day basis, she isn't that great of a candidate.

3. Her 2019 presidential campaign. In 2019, she listened to the cultural left, and as a result, took on positions that well outside of the mainstream of America: A ban on fracking, full decriminalization of illegal immigration, the Green New Deal, Medicare for All, and a ban on Fracking. Sure, she has since changed her position on these, but they have provided plenty of campaign material for the Trump campaign to run ads showing her, often on video, demonstrating her past support.

4. Crime. The political damage done by progressive prosecutors and the far left when it comes to public perceptions of crime has been incalculable. Yes, crime did drop in 2023, however there are many major cities were property crime rates and violent crime is still much higher than it was in the 2010s. If you want to explain the fall off in support from Blacks for Democrats, look no further than this. Regardless of your race or politics, law and order are consistently popular.

5. The Fox News fallacy. You see this one on here a lot. By this, I mean people on the left seem to think that if Fox News or right-wing news source is reporting something, it can't be true and thus it is dismissed out of hand. There is no doubt that Fox News has had credibility problems with its reporting, but, while its reporting is very one sided, and partisan, that doesn't mean that much of what it reports is untrue. For example, their reporting on problems at the border was true.

I think we are all in bubbles, both on the left and the right. I live in an inner ring suburb on the Kansas side of the Kansas City metro (for those of you who don't know, Kansas City itself is in Missouri). When I go out for a run, or take our dog for a walk, the number of Harris signs outnumber the number of Trump signs by 10 to 1. Where I work, in downtown KC, the number of Harris supporters well outnumber the number of Trump supporters. When we go to Mass on Sunday, in the church parking lot, you see lots of Harris bumper stickers, but not a single Trump one. If I look around at my community, workplace, and parish, I can easily think that there is no way that Trump will win. However, he will easily win both Kansas and Missouri, likely by 15 points in both states. Our household income is about 3 times the median household income for our state. We don't feel the financial pain that the average household in our state feels. For example, we feel the increase in grocery and restaurant prices, but while it is a financial annoyance to us, it has been near catastrophic to the median household. The growth in the gap in wealth and income continues unabated: https://apps.urban.org/features/wealth-inequality-charts/

My wife and I live in a modest home (1200 sq foot Cape Cod - which we raised 3 kids out of) and we don't drive expensive cars, so we have made choices that help our disposable income. At the same time, we take several vacations a year. For example, in the last year we have gone to Paris twice, Barcelona, and Canada. The week of the election, we are traveling to Paris for 10 days, and 3 weeks after we return from that trip, our daughter and I will be going to Ecuador for a few days. On top of this, we are able to invest close to 20% of our income in retirement investments, and we have for much of our working lives (both of us are in our late 40s). I grew up in poverty, so I know from experience what poverty feels like, but at the same time, you don't notice that in your day to day lives when you are doing well. We are in that top 20% of Americans that are doing great. The bottom 60% of Americans are not doing great and while I think their support of Trump is wrong, and I don't think he will do anything to help them, I also can understand why many of them support him. They have seen decades of little hope of climbing into a better life.

I still find it hard to believe that that many Americans are that stupid or easily mislead.

I have a theory that the mainstream media is continuing to state that the races are neck and neck...in order to motivate as many Harris/undecided voters as possible to get out and vote. And not take anything for granted the way the Dems ****ed up in 2016.

Just IMO

 

[VySky]

I still find it hard to believe that that many Americans are that stupid or easily mislead.

I have a theory that the mainstream media is continuing to state that the races are neck and neck...in order to motivate as many Harris/undecided voters as possible to get out and vote. And not take anything for granted the way the Dems ****ed up in 2016.

Just IMO

NBC and CBS both were showing how in their polls Kamala's 5 point lead has vanished.

What did she do this time?

 

[Lursa]

NBC and CBS both were showing how in their polls Kamala's 5 point lead has vanished.

What did she do this time?

Prove to us again that your reading skills are sub par. You entirely missed the point of my post.

 

[ScrambledEggs]

I still find it hard to believe that that many Americans are that stupid or easily mislead.

I have a theory that the mainstream media is continuing to state that the races are neck and neck...in order to motivate as many Harris/undecided voters as possible to get out and vote. And not take anything for granted the way the Dems ****ed up in 2016.

Just IMO

Given how off polls have been in every election since 2016 who really knows anymore

 

[Rexedgar]

NBC and CBS both were showing how in their polls Kamala's 5 point lead has vanished.

What did she do this time?

“Live like you’re dying…..” - Tim McGraw

 

[ALiberalModerate]

She is going to win, and Trump will spend the rest of his life in court and prison.

We can hope she wins at least.

 

[Ginger Ale]

No one likes the war monger Haley. This is a new Republican party. We leave the wars up to the Democrats now. Haley is for sure smarter than Commyla but very unlikable.

PS. Republicans don't pick someone just because they identify as female or "of color".

We leave that to Biden.

Of course! You just like them more if they're male and white. Your party is 90% white and dominated by males for a reason, regardless of you acting like it's just an accident. You aren't fooling anyone.

 

[Paradoxical]

I'd be pretty stupid to bet on what you or @Paradoxical say on here and I'm not so, shew!

Commyla was all smiles when she boarded the Titanic along with her affluent friends who all could easily afford the first-class tickets. The media "Joy"fully went along for the ride and Max Factor was there along with hundreds of consultants and focus groups orchestrating exactly what she would say and how they would allow her to avoid any tough questions. They gave her a makeover that any staged TV show would be proud of and all of the positions she used to have she all of a sudden didn't have and they created the phrase "I still have my values" and no one dared ask her just what that meant because they didn't get past what she would say if asked a follow up question such as "Why did you value no fracking before but now say that you never said that"" or "Why did you excoriate the head of ICE as being equivalent to the KKK and value people coming over here so how can your value that ICE was the KKK have changed?"

It went well for her and the sailing was smooth with every anchor running interference on lifeboats making sure that the icebergs in her way were all obliterated by Max Factor and Mainstream media" and they even had Trump aboard for a setup interview called a debate where they agreed they would sneakily fact check him but not her. Trump left the ship in his helicopter, and they waved "BUH Bye" cackling that they once again "got Trump" like the media did in 2020 and they would surely reach their destination safely now.

Then they heard a clunk and the ship shaking and teetering. "What's that? Blacks are jumping into life rafts? Hispanics are no longer shining their shoes and doing their hair? Where'd they all go? Men are not partying with them on the ships dance floor unless they are effeminate like Walz (who I now see are reports he's gay). "Oh, damn. The ship is sinking. Water is coming in. Somebody do something." They sent Barak out to get life rafts and he comes back empty handed. They called the NY Times and were told they are no longer willing to help. They reached Biden on shore, and he hung up on Kamala.