Paris-The Greece debt crisis continues to bring out public and not always amicable efforts among European nations to compromise on a Greece bailout plan, ahead of what was to be a routine EU summit this Thursday – with Germany seeming to hold out on even discussing a crisis that other nations say could harm the euro.
French and Italian leaders are insisting that the Greek debt crisis be discussed – while German Chancellor Angela Merkel insists that Greek leaders have yet to even officially claim that a bailout is needed.
Greek President George Papandreou, meanwhile, is visibly irritated with Ms. Merkel – whose popularity in Germany seems to rise with every “no” to Greek assistance. He is threatening to go to the IMF if the EU can’t help with a crisis that he doesn’t want to call a crisis, for fear of further attacks on Greek market positions.
Mr. Papandreou has made it clear he wishes the EU summit to end with a eurozone package or plan for Greek aid in order to quiet markets....
Naturally and still, not liking any Western currencies, he likes commodities, especially agri and metals.[.....]
The euro is Unlikely to still exist as a currency over the longer term, the pound will fall substantially in the next few years and US Treasurys and some real estate in China are the world's two current bubbles, legendary investor Jim Rogers told CNBC.com Wednesday.
"The euro will probably break up in the next 15 to 20 years," Rogers said in an interview. "Don't get me wrong, I own the euro."
"We've had currency unions in history, they didn't survive, this one won't survive either," he explained.
The euro has been under pressure because of Greece's sovereign debt concerns. But European Union finance ministers agreed to bail out Greece if it will need aid because of its growing public debt, which is forecast to exceed 120% of gross domestic product this year.
"If (the euro zone helps) the Greeks, that weakens the fundamentals of the euro," Rogers warned. "As the next government comes to demand concessions, they weaken the currency from within."
"I would let Greece go bankrupt because then everybody will say the euro is a serious currency," he told "Worldwide Exchange."
The UK pounds problems will be caused by Britain's "gigantic debt and huge trade deficit," he said, adding that he doesn't own sterling.
The country's two fortunes – North Sea oil and London's place as a financial hub – are dwindling and there is nothing on the horizon to replace them.
"Most Western currencies, most currencies everywhere are very suspect," Rogers told "Worldwide Exchange."
[.....]
I want to see all those arguing EU bosses skipping and smiling into the summit building. They wanted economic and political union, selling it to us as a grand utopia in which all nations together can get through any scrape together quite easily.
BRUSSELS (AP) -- Heavily indebted Greece won a major pledge of financial support from the other countries that use the euro and the International Monetary Fund in a deal that aims to halt the government debt crisis undermining Europe's currency union.
The joint eurozone and IMF bailout program comes with strict conditions, making no money available to Greece right now.
It could be tapped only if Greece -- or other financially troubled eurozone members -- cannot raise funds from financial markets and would require the unanimous agreement of the 16 eurozone countries to release the loan funds.
The agreement at a Thursday meeting of European Union leaders was a clear victory for German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who demanded that a rescue for Greece only come when the country runs out of other options. She also insisted that any backstop must include the IMF.
It was also a comedown for the French and the European Central Bank, which had opposed turning to the IMF out of fear it would damage the euro's prestige and show that Europe was unable to solve its own financial woes. The eurozone has never turned to the IMF.
ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said he had wanted a program that emphasized governments' "maximum responsibility" to limit debt, praising the program as a "workable solution" that would "normally not need to be activated.".....
The First euro 3 Billion of Bonds went well.. But 20-30 Billion are coming due in April and May.
The rubber hits the road soon.
Jim Rogers thinks they should let Greece go bankrupt and it would Help the Euro, not hurt it.
Would give credibility to the currency and not at all break it.
Like letting "Idaho" going bankrupt wouldn't hurt the US Dollar.
He said Greece may want to withdraw from the EU after that (not be kicked out).. so let them.
Bloomberg Interview:
Rogers Says Greece Should Not Be Bailed Out: Video -- GuruFocus.com
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and CNBC (Incl. Video)
News Headlines
Naturally and still, not liking any Western currencies, he likes commodities, especially agri and metals.
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Would British taxpayers be funding a possible bailout?
Jim Rogers is anything but a "moron".He is a moron. For a so called expert his views are very unrealistic. Bet he has shorted Euros so he is pushing for the Euro to nose dive so he can earn a bundle.
Jim Rogers is anything but a "moron".
I believe he is short the Euro... and.. SO WHAT.
He is Long wheat too.
One invests on the side of profit, and he is quite public with his opinions and why.
And that's how this "moron" got rich and is one of the most admired investors on the Planet.
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You've got Cause-and-effect Backwards.
Hence he has a vested interest in driving down the Euro.. ups... that is something called bias.. I know you yanks dont understand such things but hey!
You've got Cause-and-effect Backwards.
(And this isn't a EUer problem, but clearly poster-specific/obtuse)
He's short BECAUSE he sees fundamental problems.
It's not something he inherited or is stuck with and has to shill.
Get Over it!
If someone wants to short the US dollar because of Our deficits (Or any/all currency in favor of commodities)... Hey, I don't blame them!
It's the right thing to do.
He's been right for years and will be rightER. One can only be thankful he shares his knowledge publicly/always has.
Only a Dolt would take it personally.
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As I said, and you have not refuted, he has the position because he believes in it.So you dont think a well known "economist" with a lot of money in the market... speculating as he is... can not form an opinion based on his personal investments? It happens all the time, and is one of the problems with this whole episode and many others.. including the 150 dollar oil a year ago.
These "talking heads" have a vested interest for either their clients or themselves in a certain outcome and will do anything, even overstating a problem or understating, to gain an advantage.
Now that does not mean I dont agree Greece is a problem, but it is a 2% of the Eurozone.. it would be like Rhode Island brining down the US for god sake.
As I said, and you have not refuted, he has the position because he believes in it.
Because his beliefs are right so often, he is Asked/Begged to talk on them publicly-- so let's blame him!
And HE said (BEFORE your "Rhode Island"), the EU Should let Greece go because it was like the US letting "Idaho" go Bankrupt/would NOT affect the US currency significantly!
AS I summarized/specifically mentioned in My Post #4
DUH!
He also doesn't like the Pound NOR Dollar.
You really are not only Absurdly Wrong calling him a Moron, but you haven't even read the string and know NOTHING about economics.. just an overly sensitive defender/Euro-Xeno of a system you don't understand as well as he.
I suggest you read and listen to as much of him as you can (at least what I presented) instead of making yourself look stupendously goofy.
His record and success speaks for itself.
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All investors are speculators.
The entire idea of investing in anything is to increase ones holdings.
Someone better buy someone out or all is lost. I dont understand why Greece isnt stabalised.
British banks allowed Soros to borrow 15 billion pounds. He bought dmarks which gave the pound an extra push downwards and he returned the loan. It's an epic story but the pound was coming down anyway, also without Soros his help.I like both Rogers and Soros
But when either talk about currency's in a negative way, expect that both probably have shorted it
I believe they were working together when Soros's Tiger fund shorted the Pound, and helped drive the pound lower (as it was going to move anyway) and they made billions from that move
When Soros was talking down Gold a few months ago, saying it was the ultimate bubble, he was buying gold. He probably bought it cheaper from his talking it down some.
But overall you have to take into consideration their self interest (economic) when ever they are talking about investment opportunities
because you believe in the why, the reasoning behind their strategy.
Likewise I think you grossly exaggerate the influence anyone could have on these markets. The market for euros is simply too big to make this story stick.People base a lot of their buying and selling on what "experts" like these two do. Hence their direct and indirect power to influence the market is far far larger than you dare admit. And they do it often.. voice their "opinions" about things and more than often you can see an effect on the markets especially when more than one "expert" says the same. Does not mean that the "expert" is correct in any way. "Experts" tried to push Spain into the same box as Greece early on and that failed badly because not even the mass media bought into that lie. What it did do, was to push up the interest rate on what Spain can loan for a while and now it is back to its normal low.. lower than the US and UK.
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