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End of the oil age and the rise of renewables/nuclear/new sources.

Is this the end of the age of oil?


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That is concentrated solar/thermal solar. Barely anyone builds them anymore basically since solar panels/photovoltaics are way cheaper overall.
 

California must be nice then, it is around 10 years in Estonia, may be a bit longer nowadays with the electricity companies catching on and more people actually installing them. This is very good for first adopters but as more people adopt solar panels on their houses and start selling, the more you run in to the problem that grid is oversaturated more often during very sunny days so the market price falls basically to almost 0. So yeah technically you don't pay much or collect credits to pay off later but with more adoption it kinda gets worse.
 
The current laws in California require PGE (or whatever your electric company is) to purchase from the solar generator excess power created at the same rate they would charge you to supply it. It’s called “time of use” whereby electricity at peak demand periods is more expensive.
It’s a bit more complicated than that because understandably the power companies are always trying to reduce the repayment rate. I got in early so I’m in something called “NEM2” which pays a decent amount for the excess power my panels make. Those in NEM 1 do better; those in NEM 3 not nearly as good-but it’s still a good deal if you also get storage batteries. Typically the panels generate more kw than the installers tell you because they don’t want to have to come back and install more panels for free because their system isn’t producing the power promised. My system promised 6900 kw but delivered 7884 kw last year.
 
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It is good to not post nonsense if you want to communicate

I still have no clue what you mean except that your posts seem like a chant of homage to 2 Doll.

i don't have time to get into it: very busy today.

just a news article regarding the Insanity that germans are living with, and the inability of many to even pay their electric bills.

the Oligarchs want the same for usa, oh joy.


i post what i know at the time and let some one else handle the rest of the details. that is what most of us do because we are NOT walking Encyclopedias.

the germans are hosed, don't be like germany. forget renewables there is no net gain from them, as in wind energy.

do a Deep Dive and find out for yourself.


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germans are hosed, don't be like germany. forget renewables there is no net gain from them, as in wind energy.

do a Deep Dive and find out for yourself.
Who is hosed?
 

Do you have a graph of black outs and brown outs for the morons of the rotters continent?
 
And motorcycles are going electric.
 
i mean we can go forward or pretend fossil fuel giants didnt know we were correct a couple decades before i was born lol.
 

using more electricity = burning more fossil fuels
 
And motorcycles are going electric.

and Harley can't sell theirs. common knowledge: Harley riders like their old gas bikes with the Thumpa sound and power.
Harley could make smaller electric bikes that are practical for urban riders; but their Corporate elite would rather makes Motorcycles that Harley riders do not like and do not buy. typical of so much Green stuff. groan.
people that make Fat Paychecks can't seem to figure out how to make Practical stuff; i could easily suggest how to make better products but the Corporate Elite know it all.
Laptops for example, Apple used to make replaceable ram and hard drives. no more, now the Thin Garbage and no repair is how they make things.
Windows watched that and they said we can make Junk Laptops too. so now all their stuff is Soldered in, dumb de dum dumb. but the Sheep bought them groan.
even Lenovo made their last 'great Lenovo' T480 with replaceable everything.......no more.
so i bought a refurb which will be in tomorrow.....LW
do you see the Pattern yet? probably not, usually wealthy people just throw money at things..........i don't


i wanted an electric bicycle and was going to build one, but parts are not generic. the electric bike companies go out of business fast; the bikes become disposable if they work at all. or go on fire, ask those who lost their apartments in NYC fires.

i was going to buy a Trek bike on sale, till i found out the batteries can only be replaced high price at the shop.

well now i am back to pedaling. as they say: the Devil is in the details; don't get yur info from those pushing Electric.

another one: 'First time users are losers'.

for the Starry Eyed, get one of these CHEAP....


.

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and i happen to like Electric every thing, but when the Air Heads get into the business, then Practical people like me head for the exits.

same with Everything in Life: Politics.....meh we're screwed. Religion? mostly hosed Tariffs? who knows

The Economy? meh send it to china, cause work is beneath us

Banking? create funny printable money that inflates.

Laws? Ignorance of the Law IS an excuse said one cop who was a Law Expert.


how are we doing sheeeep?




Why are Harley-Davidson dealerships struggling to sell certain bikes? In this video, we break down 7 Harley-Davidson Motorcycles Dealers Can’t Sell—and explore the surprising reasons why. From overhyped performance models to overpriced touring machines, some bikes just don’t connect with buyers the way Harley hoped.We’ll take a deep dive into each model, including the Softail Standard, Street Rod, Road Glide CVO, Sportster S, LiveWire, Pan America 1250, and Nightster. Find out where they went wrong, what riders really think, and why some of these bikes might be sitting in showrooms a lot longer than expected.Whether you're a longtime Harley fan, a potential buyer, or just love motorcycle industry insights, this is a video you don’t want to miss.

Chapters: 0:00 – Intro1:10 – #7 Softail Standard3:20 – #6 Street Rod5:00 – #5 Road Glide CVO7:00 – #4 Sportster S9:00 – #3 LiveWire11:00 – #2 Pan America 125013:00 – #1 Nightster15:00 – Final Thoughts
 
Dunno about replacing generations ago, but we'd be well into it now if that's when the work had started.

It's probably a hundred year transition if you look at the shift from burning wood and dung to coal, then from coal to oil and petroleum.

But with reneables, we lost the first thirty years to lobbyists and litigation so it's been much slower than it should.
 
Apart from a handful of enthusiasts the Harley draws antisocial types who get off on making a noise to intimidate or at least inconvenience others.

Nice to see the makers are trying to change but the only way to to get their legacy bikes ff the road s legislation. That's a way off.
 
Do you have a graph of black outs and brown outs for the morons of the rotters continent?

Besides the recent blackout in Spain, we didn't really have anything serious in the last 20 years I think that is why it was a story in the first place. I don't even remember any blackouts even happening in my lifetime besides perhaps the most recent one.
 
i mean we can go forward or pretend fossil fuel giants didnt know we were correct a couple decades before i was born lol.

The economics of renewables and EVs have changed so much especially in recent years. Not sure what you are referring to but renewables/EVs weren't exactly that good lets say 20 years ago or even 10 years ago.
 
The economics of renewables and EVs have changed so much especially in recent years. Not sure what you are referring to but renewables/EVs weren't exactly that good lets say 20 years ago or even 10 years ago.
Lets just say lots of those same manufacturers refused to even start on it. Im talking about how big oil knew about climate change decades before i was born.
 
Lets just say lots of those same manufacturers refused to even start on it. Im talking about how big oil knew about climate change decades before i was born.

I mean, sure but that hardly changes anything for renewables pro or against them. Mass adoption only comes when it is economically viable/profitable in comparison to something else. Irrelevant what industry and for what reason we are doing something, if that happens there is no stopping it and private investment will pump it to the moon with money.

Hence why MAGA or anybody else complaining about it or trying to shut it down is irrelevant. They won't be able to. Money flows to where money is made efficiently.
 
Apart from a handful of enthusiasts the Harley draws antisocial types who get off on making a noise to intimidate or at least inconvenience others.

so does Chevrolet and Ford


my friends ride Harleys, so do our Pastors at church. maybe update your opinion.

(i rode motorcycles for 40 years, and yes the noise is Retarded and unsafe. some mods are really stupid, but the price of freedom like the silly Ape hangers, groan. give me handling or give me death, duh)


Nice to see the makers are trying to change but the only way to to get their legacy bikes ff the road s legislation. That's a way off.

no, we need to have more Civilized gubment, work, church, families, forums and whatever else i forgot.

i notice people on this forum very one sided.

well i pray for the Orange, even though i know eventually they have a certain Dark Maga agenda in mind.

.
 


You'd be the handful of enthusiasts then?
 
I believe the global economy will transition away from fossil fuels, and it's a process that is already underway, but as it stands right now, petroleum use is projected to be higher this year than it ever has in history.

https://www.eia.gov/outlooks/steo/report/global_oil.php

And that's okay. We can continue to use our current resources while we plan for the future. It doesn't have to be an either or proposition. My wife is on her second Cayenne hybrid, I work for Shell.
 

The drop will probably start in 1-2 years and accelerate in 5 if the trend on EVs continues or at least stays the same.

There are 40 million EVs in the world right now, 14 million we added last year. Average car consumes 12 barrels of oil per year give or take for an average driver. 40 000 000 * 12 / 365 = 1 315 000 barrels per day we save because of them. And if we continue adding 14 000 000 vehicles per year that is 460 000 barrels per day saved additionally every year.
 
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The drop will probably start in 1-2 years and accelerate in 5 if the trend on EVs continues or at least stays the same.

It's currently projected to increase in 2026 as well.

I think you're just guessing at the future here, or mabye you have some good insight. I don't know.
 
It's currently projected to increase in 2026 as well.

I think you're just guessing at the future here, or mabye you have some good insight. I don't know.

I am guessing but it is a calculated guess that has some logic to back it up.
 
I am guessing but it is a calculated guess that has some logic to back it up.

Saw your edit. You're assuming every new EV means one less ICE vehicle. That isn't the case. That number continues to grow, albiet more slowly.
 
Saw your edit. You're assuming every new EV means one less ICE vehicle. That isn't the case. That number continues to grow, albiet more slowly.

That is true. There is a break point though at a certain number where that won't matter. By the looks of it, we have passed it already, the number of ICE vehicles sold peaked in 2017 or something like that and just keeps dropping heavily and being replaced with Electric. ICE car sales dropped to the level 2000-2005 so went 20-25 years back. Mostly because of Electric vehicles and to some degree because of Covid and inflation.
 
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