• This is a political forum that is non-biased/non-partisan and treats every person's position on topics equally. This debate forum is not aligned to any political party. In today's politics, many ideas are split between and even within all the political parties. Often we find ourselves agreeing on one platform but some topics break our mold. We are here to discuss them in a civil political debate. If this is your first visit to our political forums, be sure to check out the RULES. Registering for debate politics is necessary before posting. Register today to participate - it's free!

Donald Trump's Approval Rating Slumps With College Grads

Rogue Valley

Lead or get out of the way
DP Veteran
Joined
Apr 18, 2013
Messages
111,308
Reaction score
101,645
Location
Barsoom
Gender
Male
Political Leaning
Independent

8.30.25
President Donald Trump is facing steep challenges with college-educated voters, as new polling shows his approval rating among the group steadily declining throughout the summer. In June, just 34 percent of college graduates approved of Trump's job performance, while 63 percent disapproved, according to Gallup polling. That margin widened in July, with approval slipping to 32 percent against 66 percent disapproval. By August, Trump hit a new low with only 28 percent approving and 70 percent disapproving. College-educated voters are a growing and influential bloc in U.S. elections, particularly in suburban areas that often decide swing states. Historically aligned with Democrats, their dissatisfaction with Trump could further weaken Republican chances of flipping or holding swing seats in 2026, shaping the balance of power in Congress.

As of early 2025, adults aged 25 and above with a bachelor's degree or higher had a low unemployment rate of 2.3 percent, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. But younger graduates are struggling: just 69.6 percent of recent bachelor's recipients aged 20–29 were employed in late 2024, with unemployment among 23–27-year-old degree holders rising to nearly 6 percent, well above the national average of 4.2 percent. Those challenges are reflected in polling. A Gallup survey found that 39 percent of college graduates describe the nation's economic conditions as "poor," far outpacing the share who see them positively. Meanwhile, 64 percent reported struggling to find a job.

Trump..... underwater with the educated. Who in their right mind can support Donald Trump and his loathsome administration?

Yesterday the Federal Appeals Court ruled that the Trump tariffs are illegal. The Trump administration also has a secret deal to transfer US deportees to the Kingdom of Swaziland in Africa. wtf?
 



Trump..... underwater with the educated. Who in their right mind can support Donald Trump and his loathsome administration?

Yesterday the Federal Appeals Court ruled that the Trump tariffs are illegal. The Trump administration also has a secret deal to transfer US deportees to the Kingdom of Swaziland in Africa. wtf?
Now you know whey trump stated he loves the uneducated.
 
None of this really matters as it's all very small movements that don't add up to much. Trump is still in the same range he's always been.

When the black line in graph below goes under 33%... then there is something to start talking about... though even 33% is way too high for the guy who wants to end the country as we know.

ss1.webp

source
 
None of this really matters as it's all very small movements that don't add up to much. Trump is still in the same range he's always been.

When the black line in graph below goes under 33%... then there is something to start talking about... though even 33% is way too high for the guy who wants to end the country as we know.

View attachment 67586804

source
Throw Republicans and Democrats out of the equation and you're left with Independents.

Think the trend since election is significant. I'm including trends among Independents on a range of issues and specifically Hispanics who helped Trump last election cycle. Using Real Clear Politics and Nate Silver's averages.
 
He managed to grab them for a minute by promising food would be cheap but then he ****ed that all up so now they're jumping ship.

I predict that the only people on this thread who will be the least bit surprised will be MAGAs, whom Taco convinced that every demographic was on the GOP's side "because of trans and the border."

Nope, Nov. 2024 was about CoL, LOL. As usual.
 
He managed to grab them for a minute by promising food would be cheap but then he ****ed that all up so now they're jumping ship.

I predict that the only people on this thread who will be the least bit surprised will be MAGAs, whom Taco convinced that every demographic was on the GOP's side "because of trans and the border."

Nope, Nov. 2024 was about CoL, LOL. As usual.
Trump and his Admin has regressed since the election. Generic Polling is indicative of the regression along with polling on specific issues.
 
Throw Republicans and Democrats out of the equation and you're left with Independents.

Everyone votes. Ds, Rs, Is. Graph I showed is the only one that matters to approximate national support.

Unless the site lies (which it can) and you can present an alternative one that includes everyone... Trump is bouncing will within the same support level range he has for many (all tracked) years now.
 
Everyone votes. Ds, Rs, Is. Graph I showed is the only one that matters to approximate national support.

Unless the site lies (which it can) and you can present an alternative one that includes everyone... Trump is bouncing will within the same support level range he has for many (all tracked) years now.
Right, but Independents are the growing segment and have become more important in deciding elections.

Not taking issue with your graph. Again, think the trend is more important than any one poll finding. Also, Trump won't be on ballot going forward, so don't see his personal polling as important.
 
Right, but Independents are the growing segment and have become more important in deciding elections.

Not taking issue with your graph. Again, think the trend is more important than any one poll finding. Also, Trump won't be on ballot going forward, so don't see his personal polling as important.

This thread is about Trump approval ratings. So whether important or not, that's what's being discussed - perhaps as an indication of MAGA approval overall.

You can try to look for trends in various pockets but I am just pointing out none of those trends are moving the needle.

All these discussions just serve as false hope just like they did before 2024 election when overall trend was clear - Biden, and then Harris were far behind Trump compared to where Biden was in 2020 when he barely won. (here and here and here)
 
Right, but Independents are the growing segment and have become more important in deciding elections.

Not taking issue with your graph. Again, think the trend is more important than any one poll finding. Also, Trump won't be on ballot going forward, so don't see his personal polling as important.

It is of top importance to the GOP. Right now, the GOP IS Taco. What he says, goes. What he hates, they all hate. What he sticks up for, they all stick up for. What he does, no matter how horrific, they all make excuses for and claim it's the best thing ever done by anyone.

How voters see Taco means everything to 2026 and 2028.

Until he's gone (one day, like a miracle), Taco's approval and how people see the job he's doing will make or break the GOP.
 
This thread is about Trump approval ratings. So whether important or not, that's what's being discussed - perhaps as an indication of MAGA approval overall.

You can try to look for trends in various pockets but I am just pointing out none of those trends are moving the needle.

All these discussions just serve as false hope just like they did before 2024 election when overall trend was clear - Biden, and then Harris were far behind Trump compared to where Biden was in 2020 when he barely won. (here and here)
Ok, can see you want to focus on Trump's overall approval rating which is far less interesting to me. Exiting the discussion with you based your narrow focus.
 
Ok, can see you want to focus on Trump's overall approval rating which is far less interesting to me. Exiting the discussion with you based your narrow focus.

That's funny because yours was the narrow focus. Mine was focused on the whole big picture.
 

Dude has his highest poll rating this year from AP news.

Yikes.
 
That's funny because yours was the narrow focus. Mine was focused on the whole big picture.
How is expanding the conversation to include more polling on more issues limiting?
 
How is expanding the conversation to include more polling on more issues limiting?

Subject of the thread is "Donald Trump's Approval Rating Slumps With College Grads", i.e. Trump approval rating among a subset of population.

Focusing on a slice of population which does not affect overall pictures is fun perhaps, but people start losing forest of the trees - it does NOT affect the big picture as I've shown.
 
Subject of the thread is "Donald Trump's Approval Rating Slumps With College Grads", i.e. Trump approval rating among a subset of population.

Focusing on a slice of population which does not affect overall pictures is fun perhaps, but people start losing forest of the trees - it does NOT affect the big picture as I've shown.
Right, but was referring to you wanting to stick with the thread topic, that narrows the convo to Trump's popularity polling. Which is fine, but as I stated it's less interesting to me and is limiting the convo.

Think my focus on Independents is correct. With fewer registered Democrats, Independent opinions and their votes become more important. Polling indicates Increased disapproval of Trump and his Admin policies. That's the big picture as I see it.
 
Think my focus on Independents is correct. With fewer registered Democrats, Independent opinions and their votes become more important. Polling indicates Increased disapproval of Trump and his Admin policies. That's the big picture as I see it.

If it were the big picture, we'd see its effects on the graph I posted. But we don't. Because it's more wishful thinking and not the big picture.

We can speculate on the reasons why it's not (e.g. Independents is not a static set - Republicans have been gaining in registrations while Dems have been losing for example and people come and go from Independents set; or perhaps the fact that 6% "slump" quoted by the article among independents amounts to less than 3% for general population; or ...) but in any case, the big picture remains that this "slump" is not even noticeable if you truly look at the big picture.
 
If it were the big picture, we'd see its effects on the graph I posted. But we don't. Because it's more wishful thinking and not the big picture.

We can speculate on the reasons why it's not (e.g. Independents is not a static set - Republicans have been gaining in registrations while Dems have been losing for example and people come and go from Independents set; or perhaps the fact that 6% "slump" quoted by the article among independents amounts to less than 3% for general population; or ...) but in any case, the big picture remains that this "slump" is not even noticeable if you truly look at the big picture.
Ok, we'll just have to disagree. The trend is away from Trump and his Admin from election day numbers. Whether the trend continues can't say.
 
Ok, we'll just have to disagree. The trend is away from Trump and his Admin from election day numbers. Whether the trend continues can't say.

Yes, a small trend is exactly what you said. If you look at his first 4 years (see post #7), he had the same small trend then and it continued for a year. And then it rebounded. And through all of it, he always had support from 37%+ of population, and never more than 50%.
 
Yes, a small trend is exactly what you said. If you look at his first 4 years (see post #7), he had the same small trend then and it continued for a year. And then it rebounded. And through all of it, he always had support from 37%+ of population, and never more than 50%.
Elections have been close, so 4 point movements can be significant.
 
Back
Top Bottom