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Current House Race Status...Running Tally -- And Fetterman Won The PA Senate Race!!

RIP U.S. Democracy

RIP U.S. Democracy

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Current House Pick-Up Tally, according to the Washington Post:

Republicans: 5 definite pickups (4 in FL, 1 in VA).

Republicans have leads in 9 races in Democratic-held districts: AZ-2, CT-5, IA-3, MI-7, NY-3, NY-17, NY-19, NJ-7, and OR-5.

Democrats: 1 definite pickup (NC-13).

Democrats have leads in 8 races in Republican-held districts: AZ-1, CA-45, CO-3, CO-8, IL-13, OH-1, TX-34, and WA-3.


There are only 6 additional Democratic-held seats left that are potentially still up for grabs. The vote counting is still in the early stages or too close to determine the leader. --

AK-1, NV-1, NV-3, NV-4, MN-2, CA-9, and CA-13

The are also 5 additional Republican-held seats left that are potentially still up for grabs. The vote counting is still in the early stages or too close to determine the leader. --

CA-22, CA-41, MI-3, MT-1, and NY-1
 
Just called -- Fetterman won the PA Senate race!!

YES!!!....Democracy is potentially saved for 2 more years!!
 
Current House Pick-Up Tally, according to the Washington Post:

Republicans: 5 definite pickups (4 in FL, 1 in VA). +3 overall

Republicans have leads in 10 races in Democratic-held districts: AZ-2, CT-5, IA-3, MI-7, NY-3, NY-4, NY-17, NY-19, NJ-7, and OR-5.

Democrats: 2 definite pickups (NC-13 and TX-34).

Democrats have leads in 7 races in Republican-held districts: AZ-1, CA-45, CO-3, CO-8, IL-13, MI-3, OH-1, and WA-3.


There are only 3 additional Democratic-held seats left that are potentially still up for grabs. The vote counting is still in the early stages or too close to determine the leader. --

AK-1, CA-9, and CA-13

There are also 3 additional Republican-held seats left that are potentially still up for grabs. The vote counting is still in the early stages or too close to determine the leader. --

CA-22, CA-41, and MT-1
 
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i would be curious to see how the ground game is for trump looking at how to overturn 2024. i can assure you that's what he's doing right now. ohio, arizona, new mexico, texas and wisconsin look like the key to the fascist authoritarian plot to steal the white house for a felon who hired a neo nazi gang to kill mike pence.

the gop is hard to support when you look at it objectively. maybe if the neo nazis had vaginas?
 
I am not going to do any posting on numbers until the end of the week. Its going to stay fluid, but I personally guess that the GOP takes the house with 10-15 votes to spare and the Senate with a 51-48 majority split + Sanders as an independent caucusing with Dems and Sineca snuggling with Majority Leader McConnell. There will be some leadership challenges for McCarthy, and a struggle to succeed Pelosi as new Dem Minority Leader (Pelosi retires from leadership, maybe from the House too)


Lets see how close I come.
 
AZ-2 is tied at 50%, with only 57% counted. Democrats definitely have a shot of holding that district.

All of the NY races are very close, with around 95% counted.
 

It's looking very much like the GA Senate race is going to a runoff.
 
IL-13 has been called for Democrats by the Washington Post.
 
Current House Pick-Up Tally, according to the Washington Post:

Republicans: 5 definite pickups (4 in FL, 1 in VA). +2 overall

Republicans have leads in 9 races in Democratic-held districts: AZ-2, IA-3, MI-7, NY-3, NY-4, NY-17, NY-19, NJ-7, and OR-5.

Democrats: 3 definite pickups (NC-13, TX-34, and IL-13).

Democrats have leads in 7 races in Republican-held districts: AZ-1, CO-3, CO-8, MI-3, MT-1, OH-1, and WA-3.


There are only 3 additional Democratic-held seats left that are potentially still up for grabs. The vote counting is still in the early stages or too close to determine the leader. --

AK-1, CA-9, and CA-13

There are also 2 additional Republican-held seats left that are potentially still up for grabs. The vote counting is still in the early stages or too close to determine the leader. --

CA-22 and CA-41
 
Admittedly this is much closer than I expected. I expected the Democrats to receive a shellacking due to inflation. It's too bad the GOP went all-in on the whole MAGA fascist personality cult thing. If they'd remained, you know, normal rational fiscal conservatives, they'd have mopped up.
 
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Current House Pick-Up Tally, according to the Washington Post:

Republicans: 5 definite pickups (4 in FL, 1 in VA). +1 overall

Republicans have leads in 9 races in Democratic-held districts: AZ-2, IA-3, MI-7, NY-3, NY-4, NY-17, NY-19, NJ-7, and OR-5.

Democrats: 4 definite pickups (NC-13, TX-34, IL-13, and OH-1).

Democrats have leads in 6 races in Republican-held districts: AZ-1, CO-3, CO-8, MI-3, MT-1, and WA-3.


There are only 2 additional Democratic-held seats left that are potentially still up for grabs. The vote counting is still in the early stages or too close to determine the leader. --

CA-9 and CA-13

There are also 2 additional Republican-held seats left that are potentially still up for grabs. The vote counting is still in the early stages or too close to determine the leader. --

CA-22 and CA-41
 
Slotkin (D) is favored to win the MI-7 race, but it will be close. That is the only recent update.
 
There is no doubt that had neither democracy nor Roe been on the ballot, there would have been a red tsunami. Between increased GOP control of state legislatures and the electoral map, and inflation, gas prices, Congressional dysfunction, and Biden being a less than charasmatic figure, we have no business coming remotely close to keeping either body.
 
I predict whoever wins the House will only have a razor thin majority. Right now it still looks like it might be GOP, but we'll see, the Dems come out stronger than anticipated. The Senate is going to be as tied as ever, might even just end with 50-50 again.
 
Current House Pick-Up Tally, according to the Washington Post:

Republicans: 5 definite pickups (4 in FL, 1 in VA). +1 overall

Republicans have slight leads in 9 races in Democratic-held districts: AZ-2, CA-13, IA-3, NY-3, NY-4, NY-17, NY-19, NJ-7, and OR-5.

Democrats: 4 definite pickups (NC-13, TX-34, IL-13, and OH-1).

Democrats have slight leads in 6 races in Republican-held districts: AZ-1, CO-3, CO-8, MI-3, NM-2, and WA-3.


There is only 1 additional Democratic-held seat left that is potentially still up for grabs. The vote counting is still in the early stages or too close to determine the leader. --

CA-9

There are also 2 additional Republican-held seats left that are potentially still up for grabs. The vote counting is still in the early stages or too close to determine the leader. --

CA-22 and CA-41
 
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Lauren Boebert is losing 51% - 49% in CO-3, which would be a surprise upset win for Democrats. She is down 3,500 votes with 93% counted.
 
The NV and AZ Senate races are still razor thin.

The Washington Post predicts that Mark Kelly will hold onto AZ for the Democrats. They also predict that Cortez Masto will win in NV for the Democrats, but she is slightly behind at the moment.


Ron Johnson is expected to barely win the WI Senate race, but Barnes (D) still has a chance.
 
They haven't been, you know, normal rational fiscal conservatives since Reagan, when full Monty deficit spending with BushII...

Overturning Roe v Wade, draconian voter restrictions, not kicking white nationalists out, trying the gazpacho police thugs crap way too many times, continuing to support tRump lies can't be waved away with an airy hand....

The GOP may have a very difficult time getting the MAGA crazies out of the national political picture due to highly gerrymandered districts where on the most radical make it to the general election....
 
Remember how Trumpworld laughed at Biden's speech about democracy being in danger? I don't see many in Trumpworld laughing this morning.
 
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Who'da thunk Johnson, a key player in the MAGA lie machine would be so seriously challenged??? Looks like MAGA is only safe in the deep south. Telling dontcha think???
 

Gerrymandering is one of the worse things that has ever happened in this country.

That's why the GOP hasn't kicked out the crazies -- because they can still win the House, thanks to gerrymandering.

DeSantis' gerrymandering in FL may have been enough for the Repugs to barely take the House. What an asshole.
 
According to the Washington Post, Kari Lake is slightly favored to win the AZ governor race, although she is behind at the moment.

God help us.
 
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