Biden Ahead in All Battleground States - Even Florida!

[lurchadams]

Look who's ahead in all battleground states according to RCP. I guess being a superspreader of covid doesn't help a presidential candidate. Finally, something Americans can agree upon!!!



Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona



RCP National Average | Top Battlegrounds vs. 2016 Top Battlegrounds
RCP Electoral Map | Changes in Electoral Count | Map With No Toss Ups | No Toss Up Changes | Latest Polls
Top Battlegrounds: Trump vs. Biden

RCP Average	Date	Biden (D)	Trump (R)	Spread
Top Battlegrounds	10/6	49.2	44.8	Biden +4.4
Florida	October 6th	48.2	44.7	Biden +3.5
Pennsylvania	October 6th	50.7	44.2	Biden +6.5
Michigan	October 6th	48.6	42.8	Biden +5.8
Wisconsin	October 6th	50.2	44.6	Biden +5.6
North Carolina	October 6th	48.4	46.9	Biden +1.5
Arizona	October 6th	49.0	45.6	Biden +3.4

RCP POLL AVERAGE
Top Battlegrounds: Trump vs. Biden

49.2 Biden (D)+4.4

44.8 Trump (R)

Biden 48.7
Trump 45.0

Sep 30, 2020
Biden +3.7

 

[Rogue Valley]

After 4 years, most Americans aren't falling for the lies and distortions of Commander Clorox anymore.

 

[Slavister]

Look who's ahead in all battleground states according to RCP.

Hmm... Looking at one of your links in the OP, it appears Clinton was doing about the same in the polls at this point vs Trump (0.1 better)...

 

[lurchadams]

Hmm... Looking at one of your links in the OP, it appears Clinton was doing about the same in the polls at this point vs Trump (0.1 better)...

View attachment 67298168

Biden is not Clinton. Clinton had many more negatives and more baggage.

 

[Slavister]

Biden is not Clinton. Clinton had many more negatives and more baggage.

Yes, so should not Biden poll better than Clinton?

 

[noonereal]

Yes, so should not Biden poll better than Clinton?

what were the October polls in 2016... before Comey and Putin put Trump in the white House.

 

[ReubenSherr]

Look who's ahead in all battleground states according to RCP. I guess being a superspreader of covid doesn't help a presidential candidate. Finally, something Americans can agree upon!!!



Top Battlegrounds: Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina, Florida, Arizona



RCP National Average | Top Battlegrounds vs. 2016 Top Battlegrounds
RCP Electoral Map | Changes in Electoral Count | Map With No Toss Ups | No Toss Up Changes | Latest Polls
Top Battlegrounds: Trump vs. Biden

RCP Average	Date	Biden (D)	Trump (R)	Spread
Top Battlegrounds	10/6	49.2	44.8	Biden +4.4
Florida	October 6th	48.2	44.7	Biden +3.5
Pennsylvania	October 6th	50.7	44.2	Biden +6.5
Michigan	October 6th	48.6	42.8	Biden +5.8
Wisconsin	October 6th	50.2	44.6	Biden +5.6
North Carolina	October 6th	48.4	46.9	Biden +1.5
Arizona	October 6th	49.0	45.6	Biden +3.4

RCP POLL AVERAGE
Top Battlegrounds: Trump vs. Biden

49.2 Biden (D)+4.4

44.8 Trump (R)

Biden 48.7
Trump 45.0

Sep 30, 2020
Biden +3.7

???

Some of these are improvements for Trump.

If your point is that Biden has small leads, this has been true for months.

What is true, though, is that the battleground trends don’t match the narrative CNN is trying to push, that Biden is accelerating rapidly ahead of Trump.

 

[Binary_Digit]

Hmm... Looking at one of your links in the OP, it appears Clinton was doing about the same in the polls at this point vs Trump (0.1 better)...

View attachment 67298168

From what I've read in other polls, it was the first debate and COVID handling that have turned many away from Trump. I can't see COVID or its history going away in the next month, and I can't see Trump politely waiting his turn during the next debates. I suspect he thinks all his interruptions will be seen as "standing his ground" and showing strength, but it's a big turnoff for a lot more people than he realizes.

 

[Slavister]

what were the October polls in 2016... before Comey and Putin put Trump in the white House.

Well, according the link in my post (which is one of the links in the OP too), it was 4.5 over Trump across the 6 battleground states. Biden is 4.4.

 

[lurchadams]

???

Some of these are improvements for Trump.

If your point is that Biden has small leads, this has been true for months.

What is true, though, is that the battleground trends don’t match the narrative CNN is trying to push, that Biden is accelerating rapidly ahead of Trump.

I don't recall anyone saying rapidly, but that graph included with my link shows which direction trump is headed, relative to trump in approval.

 

[lurchadams]

Yes, so should not Biden poll better than Clinton?

Yes, right into the election, depending on what "October surprise" the trump administration has planned. Probably the Durham report.