I think (hope) a war with China is extremely unlikely. It would no doubt be devastating to both nations.
Beijing warns US: 'We will fight back' as battle of words escalates over South China Sea - Asia - World - The Independent
China has upped its military posturing, issuing a strategy paper saying Beijing would “surely counterattack if attacked” by an enemy amid concerns from the US and neighbouring countries over its developments in the South China Sea. The release of the document came shortly after Beijing lodged a complaint against the US for flying a surveillance jet over disputed territory in the South China Sea, where China is building artificial islands. Chinese state media reported that the white paper, issued by the state council, the country’s cabinet, underscored that Beijing was committed to world peace and believed that a world war was unlikely. But it added that “small-scale wars, conflicts and crises are recurrent in some regions”. The state-owned news agency Xinhua highlighted one particular phrase, which appeared in the “Strategic Guideline of Active Defence” section: “We will not attack unless attacked, but we will surely counterattack if attacked.”
Much to the concern of its neighbours and the US, China, the dominant powerhouse in the region, has been building artificial islands and buildings in the disputed South China Sea, where the Philippines, Vietnam, Malaysia, Brunei and Taiwan all have overlapping claims. In one area, the Spratly islands, the US says China has created 2,000 acres of land, with satellite images showing what appears to be an airstrip. The paper said that China’s armed forces would work to “resolutely safeguard China’s sovereignty [and] security and development interests” and work towards “realising the Chinese dream of achieving the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation”. Announcing its release, the People’s Liberation Army spokesman Yang Yujun appeared to be referring to the US when he said that “outside powers” were attempting to “tarnish the Chinese military’s reputation and create an atmosphere of exaggerated tension.” He added: “We cannot eliminate the possibility that this is to create excuses for the actions that certain countries may be planning to take.”
Why do you always do this Jack? Of course "officially" at State we don't, but in practice and indeed, we very much support Taiwanese independence, and were prepared to go to their defence should the PRC threaten it. And the "West Philippines Sea" is certainly NOT appropriate, and was stated by Hillary Clinton while she was still smarting from China's rebuke on Syria. :roll:
As usual you're long on claims and short on facts. "One China" is US policy and it's quite real.
Yeah, "official" policy (wink wink, nod nod) which means nothing. We will go to war with the PLA to defend Taiwan's independence, as you quite well know.and apparently they've been readying themselves.
China's PLA Military Ready To Fight A Modern War: State Report
China's PLA Military Ready To Fight A Modern War: State Report
Our position is that reunification should be peaceful and with the consent of the people of Taiwan.
Which everyone knows will never happen. At any rate, it's yet another subject that the US isn't the decider of.
In Hawaii, where he (Ashton Carter) called on all countries to halt land reclamation in disputed waters and asserted that the U.S. will continue to operate in international waters according to international law and protect freedom of navigation in the region.
Senior Colonel Xiaozhuo Zhao, an official in the Chinese People’s Liberation Army, confronted Carter at the conference Saturday. Zhao completely rejected Carter’s premise and called his remarks about the South China Sea inaccurate and not constructive.
“Freedom of navigation in the South China Sea is not at all an issue because the freedom has never been affected,” he said. “Also, it is wrong to criticize China for affecting regional peace and stability through its construction activities, since China has never taken any proactive measures.”
Which is what I keep saying. People are attempting to legitimize the US inserting itself into a regional dispute that involves six countries, none of which is the US on the merits of its rights to ply international waters. Colonel Zhao was quick to point out the US strawman argument failure because such navigation has not been threatened!
Zhao gave Carter China's view. The U.S. and China have a difference when it comes to land reclamation. While land reclamation might be seen as little for than China unilaterally imposing its terms despite disputes with various other countries, militarization of those disputed territories could give China a capacity to block shipping. That China reportedly has placed a mobile artillery unit on one of the reclaimed islands is a development that can be seen a posing a potential threat to free passage of shipping.
Fortunately, at this point in time, the differences are not insurmountable. An accommodation may yet be found. Whether the parties will ultimately do so remains to be seen.
And Carter gave Zhao the US's view. I don't think that the US is seeking any green lights from China when determined to place artillery units on our territory. And this pre-emptive approach that we've been on since George W Bush came along is not useful whatsoever. Do you really think that China's preparing to interrupt the shipping lanes coming through there, really? And if so, they're going to do it with an artillery piece, that's it. Seems to me any number of nations around it would sink that little island directly. Furthermore, if you'd actually look at the documentation substantiating China's claims, with that of the others, you'd see why China rejects the notion that their claims are disputable.
What China is presently doing is largely symbolic. But in the medium- and longer-term, it would be reckless to assume only the best-case scenario will prevail. No one can be sure that a future Chinese government with the framework in place to impose its will on the South China Sea would, in fact, act benignly. That's why diplomacy in the near-term is so important. It can mitigate the risks in a mutually beneficial fashion.
Freedom of navigation.
Nah its freedom of the US to provoke in this instance. China has not threatened to close any sea lanes
[/B]
To the bolded, it doesn't matter, they MIGHT
The US simply wants a new arms race and China is the first decent contender since the fall of the USSR. Without creating a new existential military threat they cannot justify their colossal arms budgets forever
Just to illustrate relative arms expenditures ......
View attachment 67185048
Without a credible enemy whats this all supposed to be for ?
Then they should have taken it to the courts or settled under he convention.I don't know what further to say to you bud. I've pointed you to China's historic title to the Spratly archipelago, I've shown you a list of of international recognition to China's title to the islands, if I was making the decisions in China, it would look very much as it does now.
Then they should have taken it to the courts or settled under he convention.
Nah its freedom of the US to provoke in this instance. China has not threatened to close any sea lanes
Then why have they placed artillery on their new "island?"
Perhaps its to defend it from further US provocations
What provocation would that be? Flying in international air space?
Well I seriously doubt its for shelling Japanese and South Korean container ships ! :lol:
On the contrary, that's probably its precise intended use.
Absolute nonsense, and I'm pretty sure you already know that :roll:
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