Another turning point? (1 Viewer)

[Torus34]

I've followed the data from a compilation of forums tracking the approval and disapproval of President Donald Trump since March 7th. The history has been one of periods of stability followed by abrupt changes. One occurred starting March 10th. Another occurred on April 7th. Now, it appears, a third may have started on April 24th. It's yet too soon to know if it's a trend or just a blip.

Past changes have been in the direction of decreased approval and increased disapproval. This possible latest shift is not an exception.

The values as of yesterday, April 23rd, were 44.8% approval and 51.8% disapproval. The values when I first began tracking on March 7th were 48.1% approval and 47.3% disapproval.

Today's values will be worth noting.

Regards, stay safe 'n well . . . informed.

 

[Mycroft]

I've followed the data from a compilation of forums tracking the approval and disapproval of President Donald Trump since March 7th. The history has been one of periods of stability followed by abrupt changes. One occurred starting 3/10. Another occurred on April 7th. Now, it appears, a third may have started on 4/24. It's yet too soon to know if it is a trend or just a blip.

Past changes have been in the direction of decreased approval and increased disapproval. This possible latest is not an exception.

The values as of yesterday, 4/23/2025 were 44.8% approval and 51.8% disapproval.

Today's values will be worth noting.

Regards, stay safe 'n well . . . informed.

shrug...

The influence of the Trump hating media ebbs and flows, depending upon the latest fake news/attacks.

When you get right down to it, that doesn't matter. None of that nonsense will stop Trump.

 

[Simpletruther]

I've followed the data from a compilation of forums tracking the approval and disapproval of President Donald Trump since March 7th. The history has been one of periods of stability followed by abrupt changes. One occurred starting March 10th. Another occurred on April 7th. Now, it appears, a third may have started on April 24th. It's yet too soon to know if it's a trend or just a blip.

Past changes have been in the direction of decreased approval and increased disapproval. This possible latest shift is not an exception.

The values as of yesterday, April 23rd, were 44.8% approval and 51.8% disapproval. The values when I first began tracking on March 7th were 48.1% approval and 47.3% disapproval.

Today's values will be worth noting.

Regards, stay safe 'n well . . . informed.

Approval us kind of like the stock market.

It can swing wildy and makes for poor predictions of the future.

 

[Torus34]

Approval us kind of like the stock market.

It can swing wildy and makes for poor predictions of the future.

Hi, Simpletruther.

Polls have all manner of pitfalls for those attempting to make sense of them. Individual polls at a single point in time tell us very little. Trends over time, though, can be useful indicators. That's why I use the poll compilation data and track it over time. The trends indicated -- a reduction in approval and an increase in disapproval -- are quite solid. I have a background in statistics, having studied it at the graduate level and used it in my profession.

Regards, stay safe 'n well . . . informed.

 

[CaughtInThe]

shrug...

The influence of the Trump hating media ebbs and flows, depending upon the latest fake news/attacks.

When you get right down to it, that doesn't matter. None of that nonsense will stop Trump.

You just fell for the cult of personality because he likes to hate the people you hate. You should do some self-reflection.

 

[Simpletruther]

Hi, Simpletruther.

Polls have all manner of pitfalls for those attempting to make sense of them. Individual polls at a single point in time tell us very little. Trends over time, though, can be useful indicators. That's why I use the poll compilation data and track it over time. The trends indicated -- a reduction in approval and an increase in disapproval -- are quite solid. I have a background in statistics, having studied it at the graduate level and used it in my profession.

Regards, stay safe 'n well . . . informed.

Right. But it still cant predict future trends. It just shows the current trend.

 

[Perotista]

I've followed the data from a compilation of forums tracking the approval and disapproval of President Donald Trump since March 7th. The history has been one of periods of stability followed by abrupt changes. One occurred starting March 10th. Another occurred on April 7th. Now, it appears, a third may have started on April 24th. It's yet too soon to know if it's a trend or just a blip.

Past changes have been in the direction of decreased approval and increased disapproval. This possible latest shift is not an exception.

The values as of yesterday, April 23rd, were 44.8% approval and 51.8% disapproval. The values when I first began tracking on March 7th were 48.1% approval and 47.3% disapproval.

Today's values will be worth noting.

Regards, stay safe 'n well . . . informed.

Where do we establish the baseline? Trump received 49.8% of the vote last November, his overall job approval was at 49.9% on 1 Feb with 44.7% disapproval. Trump has been in a slow, steady decline on his job performance since 1 Feb. Today he stands at 46.1% approval/51.6% disapproval. He hasn’t lost any republican support, 91% on 1 Feb vs. 90% today. Democrats have always been anti-Trump, on 1 Feb 6% of democrats approved of Trump’s overall job performance, today that stands at 4%. Really no difference when it comes to the views of Trump by both major parties. Where Trump is losing support is among swing voters, independents which approved of Trump overall job performance at 48% back on 1 Feb down to 40% today.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

The trend for Trump’s second term is easy, no losing of support from republicans, no gaining of support from democrats with independents, swing voters souring on Trump. His approval will continue to decline as time goes by caused by swing voters, independents. Which will probably mean big gains for the democrats come the midterms next year.

How Americans view Trump personally, their favorable/unfavorable views of him has pretty much matched his overall job performance. On 1 Feb, 48.9% favorable or positive, 47.7% negative or unfavorable vs. today, 45.5% favorable/positive, 50.9% negative/unfavorable. The change hasn’t come from republicans and democrats but from independents. From a 47% favorable view of Trump on 1 Feb down to 37% favorable today.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump

In today’s modern political era of polarization, the great divide, the super, mega, ultra-high Partisanship, how republicans and democrats view Trump is irrelevant, not important. It’s how swing voters, independents, the non-affiliated, less to non-partisans view him. After all, they’re your election deciders according to Gallup making up 43% of the electorate today as both major parties are shrinking.

 

[Torus34]

Right. But it still cant predict future trends. It just shows the current trend.

Hi again.

Yup! You're right. Any extension of the trend into the future must carry the proviso, "If nothing occurs to reverse this trend."

Regards, stay safe 'n well . . . informed.

 

[Torus34]

Where do we establish the baseline? Trump received 49.8% of the vote last November, his overall job approval was at 49.9% on 1 Feb with 44.7% disapproval. Trump has been in a slow, steady decline on his job performance since 1 Feb. Today he stands at 46.1% approval/51.6% disapproval. He hasn’t lost any republican support, 91% on 1 Feb vs. 90% today. Democrats have always been anti-Trump, on 1 Feb 6% of democrats approved of Trump’s overall job performance, today that stands at 4%. Really no difference when it comes to the views of Trump by both major parties. Where Trump is losing support is among swing voters, independents which approved of Trump overall job performance at 48% back on 1 Feb down to 40% today.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/approval/donald-trump/approval-rating

The trend for Trump’s second term is easy, no losing of support from republicans, no gaining of support from democrats with independents, swing voters souring on Trump. His approval will continue to decline as time goes by caused by swing voters, independents. Which will probably mean big gains for the democrats come the midterms next year.

How Americans view Trump personally, their favorable/unfavorable views of him has pretty much matched his overall job performance. On 1 Feb, 48.9% favorable or positive, 47.7% negative or unfavorable vs. today, 45.5% favorable/positive, 50.9% negative/unfavorable. The change hasn’t come from republicans and democrats but from independents. From a 47% favorable view of Trump on 1 Feb down to 37% favorable today.

https://www.realclearpolling.com/polls/favorability/donald-trump

In today’s modern political era of polarization, the great divide, the super, mega, ultra-high Partisanship, how republicans and democrats view Trump is irrelevant, not important. It’s how swing voters, independents, the non-affiliated, less to non-partisans view him. After all, they’re your election deciders according to Gallup making up 43% of the electorate today as both major parties are shrinking.

Hi, Perotista.

It's relatively easy to check your comment. If the change is coming from swing voters, then there must be a significant decrease in the value 100-(percent approval + percent disapproval). If not, then the change is due to those in the approval camp, well, decamping.

Regards, Stay safe 'n well . . . informed.

 

[Slavister]

Like I said in the other thread on this...

Polls are just fine for Trump being Trump. You can zoom in and claim they are "cratering" but none of it matters because

1. He is already elected (plus see my signature), and

2. Polls are actually good for him if you zoom out - he is still MORE favored and has HIGHER approval than he did back in close 2020 election, i.e. BEFORE his coup attempt and before his Big Lie. Let that sink in.

 

[The AntiDonald]

shrug...

The influence of the Trump hating media ebbs and flows, depending upon the latest fake news/attacks.

When you get right down to it, that doesn't matter. None of that nonsense will stop Trump.

It was the influence of the Trump loving media and Elon's $280M that got him elected. This is politics my friend. Paybacks are a MF.

Keep up the good fight.