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Absolutely BRUTAL poll for the president - from an excellent pollster

gbg3

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It would be hard for this to be worse.

Some of what is in this link:

"President Biden's job approval ratings declined from 39% in November to 33% in early December, marking a new 35-month low. "

Screenshot 2023-12-03 213248.webp


"Overall, one-half (55%) give Biden a “D” or “F” for his handling of the economy. Only 24% give him good grades.

Biden does not even get good grades from a majority of Democrats. Only 47% give him good grades, a testament to his poor performance. Republicans (81%) and independents (63%) give him failing grades."

"Biden has neglected the influx of migrants on the southern border. Estimates say as many as seven million have crossed the border under Biden’s watch. It is not an exaggeration to state that there is an invasion at the southern border, and the crisis results from President Biden's weak immigration policies.

Americans consider immigration the second-most important issue facing the country, following the economy. Even Democratic politicians in several states have declared states of emergency due to the border crisis."

"A segment of Americans thinks that the $6 billion Biden gave to Iran has helped fund Hamas’s terrorist activities. Biden’s efforts to slow Iran's acquisition of a nuclear bomb have not been effective.

Nearly one-half (49%) give him failing grades, while one-fifth (19%) give him good grades."

"In summary, December 2023 marks a turning point for the Biden presidency. Recent polls consistently show Trump leading over Biden, further supporting this notion. The approval rating below 35% is worrisome. Despite the advantages of incumbency, Biden may have reached a point of no return, and his chances of reelection appear grim."


 
It would be hard for this to be worse.

Some of what is in this link:

"President Biden's job approval ratings declined from 39% in November to 33% in early December, marking a new 35-month low. "

View attachment 67481100


"Overall, one-half (55%) give Biden a “D” or “F” for his handling of the economy. Only 24% give him good grades.

Biden does not even get good grades from a majority of Democrats. Only 47% give him good grades, a testament to his poor performance. Republicans (81%) and independents (63%) give him failing grades."

"Biden has neglected the influx of migrants on the southern border. Estimates say as many as seven million have crossed the border under Biden’s watch. It is not an exaggeration to state that there is an invasion at the southern border, and the crisis results from President Biden's weak immigration policies.

Americans consider immigration the second-most important issue facing the country, following the economy. Even Democratic politicians in several states have declared states of emergency due to the border crisis."

"A segment of Americans thinks that the $6 billion Biden gave to Iran has helped fund Hamas’s terrorist activities. Biden’s efforts to slow Iran's acquisition of a nuclear bomb have not been effective.

Nearly one-half (49%) give him failing grades, while one-fifth (19%) give him good grades."

"In summary, December 2023 marks a turning point for the Biden presidency. Recent polls consistently show Trump leading over Biden, further supporting this notion. The approval rating below 35% is worrisome. Despite the advantages of incumbency, Biden may have reached a point of no return, and his chances of reelection appear grim."


What makes tipp insights polling "excellent"?

Be specific.
 
It would be hard for this to be worse.

Some of what is in this link:

"President Biden's job approval ratings declined from 39% in November to 33% in early December, marking a new 35-month low. "

View attachment 67481100


"Overall, one-half (55%) give Biden a “D” or “F” for his handling of the economy. Only 24% give him good grades.

Biden does not even get good grades from a majority of Democrats. Only 47% give him good grades, a testament to his poor performance. Republicans (81%) and independents (63%) give him failing grades."

"Biden has neglected the influx of migrants on the southern border. Estimates say as many as seven million have crossed the border under Biden’s watch. It is not an exaggeration to state that there is an invasion at the southern border, and the crisis results from President Biden's weak immigration policies.

Americans consider immigration the second-most important issue facing the country, following the economy. Even Democratic politicians in several states have declared states of emergency due to the border crisis."

"A segment of Americans thinks that the $6 billion Biden gave to Iran has helped fund Hamas’s terrorist activities. Biden’s efforts to slow Iran's acquisition of a nuclear bomb have not been effective.

Nearly one-half (49%) give him failing grades, while one-fifth (19%) give him good grades."

"In summary, December 2023 marks a turning point for the Biden presidency. Recent polls consistently show Trump leading over Biden, further supporting this notion. The approval rating below 35% is worrisome. Despite the advantages of incumbency, Biden may have reached a point of no return, and his chances of reelection appear grim."


That's funny. The better everything gets, the worse his approval seems to get. Clearly something is seriously wrong in the polling data.

Still no recession.
Mortgage rates drop - again.
Price of gas drops - again.
Markets are soaring.
Dollar is strong.
Inflation continues to subside.
Shelves are full.
Employment still near record highs.
Biden approval ...... down !??! Based on ... what?

This does not compute. Sounds like a deliberate media contrivance to me.
 
What makes tipp insights polling "excellent"?

Be specific.
They rate an A- from 538.

That's pretty good since only 14 are higher and a large number of universities are lower.

This says more about their commentary than their polling.

Reading the article it's about right. It stresses the points that will appeal to conservatives. That does not mean that the numbers are off.
 
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They rate an A- from 538.

That's pretty good since only 14 are higher and a large number of universities are lower.
I've just read this....BUT there's a yuuuuuuuuuuuge qualifier which you've either missed or have deliberately left out:


...How accurate are the polls from TIPP Insights?

Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade....

```````````````````

In other words, NAH. TIPP Insights polls are not rated A- for this kind of poll (non-election) and this far out from an election.
 
Much respect, wise and patriotic man. 🇺🇸
I'm working on the wise part. As for patriotic, I'm finding that to be multi-faceted. I do want the best for my country, so that's where I'm currently at.
 
I've just read this....BUT there's a yuuuuuuuuuuuge qualifier which you've either missed or have deliberately left out:

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/tipp-insights/

...How accurate are the polls from TIPP Insights?

Polls conducted within 21 days of an election (based on the poll’s median date) are used to determine the pollster’s grade....

In other words, NAH. TIPP Insights polls are not rated A- for this kind of poll and this far out from an election.
That's 538's standard practice.

Here is one of the 4 A+ rated pollsters. You see the same statement.

Speaking 538, Their composite has Biden more than 3% below Trump at the same point in their respective terms. If you look at the net, it's over 6%
.
 
Okay.

The chart is from the 2nd link (WaPo). Not only did they nail the 2020 election, but they were also one of the very best in the elections of 2004, 2008, 2012, and 2016.



View attachment 67481104
This is one of those pollsters that pop out bullshit until close to the election and then publish real results so they look ‘accurate’.

Well known phenomenon.
 
This thread is not about Tipp news and commentary. It's about their polls. This bit about their polling success was in your source but you didn't show this part.

"The TIPP poll has a high success rate in determining winners of elections. According to FiveThirtyEight, they have called 79% of races correctly, earning an A- rating. They were also one of only a few pollsters who accurately called Donald Trump to win the 2016 Presidential Election."
 
Does general polling like this give us much insight into how the ELECTORAL votes will be distributed?
 
This thread is not about Tipp news and commentary. It's about their polls. This bit about their polling success was in your source but you didn't show this part.

"The TIPP poll has a high success rate in determining winners of elections. According to FiveThirtyEight, they have called 79% of races correctly, earning an A- rating. They were also one of only a few pollsters who accurately called Donald Trump to win the 2016 Presidential Election."
But this poll isn't one about an election.

Remember, fivethirtyeight's rating is based ONLY on election polls taken within 21 days of an election.

So, the A- rating doesn't apply to the instant poll you've cited in the OP.

Too bad you didn't read the rest of the page.
 
Does general polling like this give us much insight into how the ELECTORAL votes will be distributed?
I wouldn't think so, this far out.

But, mine is an opinion from an anonymous poster in cyberspace who doesn't have even amateur status re polling, so....
 
In other words, NAH. TIPP Insights polls are not rated A- for this kind of poll (non-election) and this far out from an election.
"In other words" - I'm assuming these quoted words above are your words? If so and if they make you feel good or confident - you can certainly use your words to provide whatever justification you'd like. ;)
 
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