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Recent content by Yarn

  1. Yarn

    One Year Out--Who Wins

    I'm guessing, pessimistically, that Trump will win. The polls suggest that Trump is a little ahead. I think whatever support he already has, he is unlikely to lose. Biden, by contrast, doesn't have a clear floor. Prospects seem likely to get worse for him, not better. The economy could...
  2. Yarn

    Biden Wants 100bn for Aid

    That's all that matters. Though I question how you will recover without aid from frequent devastating hurricanes, deal with a disproportionate population of retirees, and deal with significantly less tourism and immigration of wealthy people who made their fortunes elsewhere. Economically...
  3. Yarn

    Developments in the Ukraine War

    Putin is a dictator in the journalist-murder capital of the world, guilty of mass arrest of his internal opposition, guilty of the mass deportation of children, who is hell bent on the seizure of foreign territory out of a desire to reverse the collapse of the Soviet Union, who defines himself...
  4. Yarn

    Developments in the Ukraine War

    The only thing necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing. The 6th of Decembrists want us to go back to pretending we can just mind our business while the rest of the world burns, like we did before Pearl Harbor. It is neither a moral nor a practical strategy. It sure as...
  5. Yarn

    Biden Wants 100bn for Aid

    And if we cut spending, we will also cut taxes, so no benefit to the deficit. If you assume the parties keep doing what they've been doing, there is no solution.
  6. Yarn

    US sends long-range ATACMS missiles to Ukraine

    As long as they don't decouple funding for Israel from funding for Ukraine, I don't think the effect will necessarily be negative. A lot conservatives are selfishly and short sightedly gravitating towards pre-WW2 isolationism, but a lot of them are religious nuts who require that we support...
  7. Yarn

    Developments in the Ukraine War

    Better with Russian ones at the moment. The GOP is to Russia as the Democrats are to Venezuela. Unfortunately, since Russia is vastly more dangerous, being tolerant of its evil is much worse.
  8. Yarn

    Preferred Pronouns Are No Longer Optional

    That's not constitutional. You can't fire me. I am just practicing freedom of speech. Also, if it isn't just what I say that can't get me in trouble, how about when I am supposed to teach a class, I just stand in front of the students while being mute. Reductio ad absurdum You can't run...
  9. Yarn

    Preferred Pronouns Are No Longer Optional

    So if I tell my drill sergeant that his face truly looks like the butt of a walrus, I can take him to the supreme court when he retaliates by ordering me to run 50 laps around the barracks? If, as a teacher, I tell a group of kindergarteners in graphic lurid detail how babies are made, I...
  10. Yarn

    Preferred Pronouns Are No Longer Optional

    The First Amendment applies to punishments like jail time or loss of property. It doesn't apply to conditions of employment, and it would not be practical for it to. If you go around calling people (your boss, your subordinates) ugly, fat, and stupid, that may be factual, but it may get you fired.
  11. Yarn

    Biden Wants 100bn for Aid

    The world was safer for decades due to the collapse of the USSR. The USSR's failure in Afghanistan is commonly cited as one of the major reasons why the USSR collapsed.
  12. Yarn

    Biden Wants 100bn for Aid

    The economy is overheating. The Federal Reserve is struggling to slow it down by raising interest rates to a height not seen in decades - making it difficult to buy houses and strangling the stock market. Taxes slow down the economy. If we are going to deliberately slow the economy anyway...
  13. Yarn

    Preferred Pronouns Are No Longer Optional

    If someone wants you to call them a goblin, call them a goblin. As long as they do their jobs well and don't hurt any one, while they may be absurd, why hurt their feelings? Surgery on a minors is another story, but I don't really care about pronouns. Making a big fuss about them probably...
  14. Yarn

    Lviv Illuminates Monument to Bandera in Colours of the Israeli Flag.

    I think that there are comparisons to be made between Americans who want to venerate founding fathers who were slave owners, or presidents who committed genocide against the Indians, and Ukrainians who want to venerate Bandera. I don't think they should venerate Bandera, and I don't think we...
  15. Yarn

    Ukraine blames slow weapons deliveries why counteroffensive is "out of schedule,"

    If Poland is attacked and the US, or any other NATO country, decides not to intervene, they can't take us to court and say "this treaty says you have to help us", and then have a judge compel us into war because "its the law". Honoring article 5 is a choice. We, NATO, and the EU promised to...
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