Zimbabwe: a ticking timebomb

[Masterhawk]

If you study african history, you will notice a pattern among african nations. They were all decolonized by the end of the 60s but they went through the same phases at different times. The first phase is a relatively short lived (in some, it's skipped) democracy riddled with corruption. Then the military gets tired of the democracy so they take over the country in a usually bloodless coup. This phase lasts for decades. Eventually, the people are restless with the regime for several reasons involving corruption, sectarianism, or even a crisis. This leads to a civil war. Some countries become stable democracies once the regime is overthrown but most go through a period of instability.

Zimbabwe is in the 2nd phase and its "president", Robert Muggabe, is older than bernie sanders. When he does die, it will likely lead to a power vacuum which will lead to a surge in corruption which will make the people angry which will lead to a civil war. After the civil war is over, there will be president who promises to abide by a constitution and only do 2 terms but he'll try to ammend it and run a third. This will rile up the people again leading to violent protests which may lead to more instability

 

[Grand Mal]

If you study african history, you will notice a pattern among african nations. They were all decolonized by the end of the 60s but they went through the same phases at different times. The first phase is a relatively short lived (in some, it's skipped) democracy riddled with corruption. Then the military gets tired of the democracy so they take over the country in a usually bloodless coup. This phase lasts for decades. Eventually, the people are restless with the regime for several reasons involving corruption, sectarianism, or even a crisis. This leads to a civil war. Some countries become stable democracies once the regime is overthrown but most go through a period of instability.

Zimbabwe is in the 2nd phase and its "president", Robert Muggabe, is older than bernie sanders. When he does die, it will likely lead to a power vacuum which will lead to a surge in corruption which will make the people angry which will lead to a civil war. After the civil war is over, there will be president who promises to abide by a constitution and only do 2 terms but he'll try to ammend it and run a third. This will rile up the people again leading to violent protests which may lead to more instability

'...likely lead to a,power vacuum..."
Or not. There's probably a lot of jockeying for position now and a vacuum-filler will be in the wings.
And it's hard to see how corruption could surge in Zimbabwe- it's probably running at maximum capacity now.

 

[dimensionallava]

is there a question of some kind?

 

[Glen Contrarian]

If you study african history, you will notice a pattern among african nations. They were all decolonized by the end of the 60s but they went through the same phases at different times. The first phase is a relatively short lived (in some, it's skipped) democracy riddled with corruption. Then the military gets tired of the democracy so they take over the country in a usually bloodless coup. This phase lasts for decades. Eventually, the people are restless with the regime for several reasons involving corruption, sectarianism, or even a crisis. This leads to a civil war. Some countries become stable democracies once the regime is overthrown but most go through a period of instability.

Zimbabwe is in the 2nd phase and its "president", Robert Muggabe, is older than bernie sanders. When he does die, it will likely lead to a power vacuum which will lead to a surge in corruption which will make the people angry which will lead to a civil war. After the civil war is over, there will be president who promises to abide by a constitution and only do 2 terms but he'll try to ammend it and run a third. This will rile up the people again leading to violent protests which may lead to more instability

Yeah, that's the likelihood. It may not turn out that way - Zimbabwe may get lucky - but that's the likelihood.

 

[Skeptic Bob]

I lived and worked in Zimbabwe for nearly a year. Beautiful country and nice people. But yeah, the future doesn't look pretty.

 

[Masterhawk]

I lived and worked in Zimbabwe for nearly a year. Beautiful country and nice people. But yeah, the future doesn't look pretty.

syria was a popular tourist attraction before the arab spring, now it's the most dangerous country in the world