New Study: 130,000 Americans Dead Unnecessarily
We noted above that it took Donald Trump a grand total of 3 seconds to tell his first lie at last night's debate. We did not explain what the lie was, but we shall now remedy that. What he said—and this is yet another of his oft-repeated talking points—was that early projections for the COVID-19 pandemic had 2.2 million Americans dead, and thanks to his administration's strong action, "only" 230,000 are dead. Consequently, he should be credited for saving nearly 2 million American lives.
This is yet another of those lies that doesn't pass even a preliminary smell test. First of all, that 2.2 million was the most dire estimate of all the estimates that were floating around back in March and April. Second, it was made when much about COVID-19 was unknown. Third, it was a "worst-case scenario" estimate that tried to predict what would happen if: (1) COVID-19 was as contagious and deadly as it could plausibly be, and (2) Americans did absolutely nothing to combat the disease. In other words, the number-crunchers were trying to guesstimate a worst-worst-worst case ceiling, and not trying to predict what might actually happen.
Now, some number-crunchers at Columbia have decided to take a look at this question from a different angle, and to ascertain what might have happened if the White House had handled the pandemic better. Needless to say, they are working with better data than was available back in Spring. And their
conclusion is damning: 130,000 COVID-19 dead would be alive today, but for more effective leadership from the Trump administration.
And actually, that's the least bad estimate in the study, based on what might have happened if the U.S. had responded to the pandemic in the same manner that Canada did. If the U.S. had followed Germany's lead, it might have saved 179,000 lives. And if the U.S. had followed in the footsteps of South Korea, it might have saved 210,000 lives.
[emphasis added]
[from
ElectoralVote.com] interesting.
You can read the whole of "
130,000 – 210,000 AVOIDABLE COVID-19 DEATHS – AND COUNTING – IN THE U.S.” by Irwin Redlener, MD; Jeffrey D. Sachs, PhD; Sean Hansen, MPA; Nathaniel Hupert, MD, MPH (October 21, 2020)
HERE. (It's only 13 pages long.)
It's those "130,000 to 210,000" that people blame Mr. Trump's lack of leadership for.
You might also find the fact that, without considering any other factors
a randomly selected person in the "G-8 + China" group of countries, an (aggregated) "Europe", or an (aggregated) "World", has a lower chance of dying (which is a compination of "chance or contracting" plus "chance of dying if contracted") from COVID-19 than does a randomly selected person in the US. The UK comes closest to the US number and the UK is currently at 94.66%.
If you start to factor in "ability to pay" (using PPP GDP per capita as an indicator) and "prior healthcare spending per capita", the numbers make the US performance look even worse.
Mind you, I will concede that the US is NOT DOING THE WORST in the world.
When you look at this table
you can clearly see that there are 10 absolute international powerhouse nations that have a higher "Cases / Million" rate than the US does.
And when you look at this table
you can clearly see that there are 9 absolute international powerhouse nations that have a higher "Deaths / Million" rate than the US does.
PS - You might not have noticed it, but the Vatican City has had absolutely ZERO deaths from COVID-19. If you aren't a Roman Catholic, you might want to think about what that actually means.