"According to the Siena Research Institute poll commissioned by Hearst Newspapers... 66% of Americans think the country is ready for a woman president, up from 64% last year and 62% in 2005. A fraction of the 27% who say the country is not yet ready say it will never be.
However, 81% overall say they would vote for a woman president, up from 79% last year. "There is some question whether people who are answering the 81% are saying to themselves, 'I'm willing to vote for a woman but my neighbor may not be,"' Lonnstrom said.
The telephone survey of 1,120 registered voters nationwide was conducted from Feb. 5-9. Its margin of error was 2.9 percentage points."
link
Any female candidate is at a distinct disadvantage right out of the gate, since apparently a full 19% of the US population would refuse to vote for any female candidate ever, no matter how qualified, merely on the grounds that such candidates lack penises.
Despite this, the Siena Research Institute poll also found that "if the election were held today, overall 45% would back Clinton compared with 44% for McCain, while 45% would back Giuliani compared with 44% for Clinton".
If a woman candidate ever had a chance or ever will, it's Clinton, and it's now, for reasons outlined in the article I've linked to.
Americans are fed up with the war and with conservative social policy; those polled indicate a belief that a woman would be less likely to aggressively continue to pursue the unpopular war in the middle east, and would be "better than a man" at responding to natural disasters and at handling domestic issues like health, education, social security, and energy policy.
In other words, they feel a woman would address humanitarian issues better than the Bush Administration has.
This is the perfect time for a female candidate.
And Clinton is the perfect candidate, because of her instant recognizability, as former First Lady and Senator from New York.
I don't think she'll win (although political analysts far more savvy than I seem optimistic).
I think that 19% who would never, under any circumstances, consider voting for any presidential candidate who didn't have a penis will prove to be an insurmountable obstacle.
But I think she'll run, and I think it will be a close race.
And that's very good, it sets a precedent that will be very beneficial to women in the long run.
It will set the stage for other women to run in the future; someday, when our society has evolved a little more, perhaps one of them will win.