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- Jul 3, 2019
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The Iranian people/Persians are smart enough to differentiate between the people and the action of their government. They hate their own theocratic government and tried to overthrow it. They would love to have a more western-style government as they had under Mossedeq before we overthrew him in 1954. We should treat them likewise. Iran could be a very powerful ally for the US.Regarding China, the US - and democracy - is much their bigger enemy than Russia. Russia is much more their 'enemy of their enemy'. The Chinese government is constantly telling its people the US is their enemy. Iran is more complicated - we've given them a lot of reason to hate the US government, but the Iranian people seem to like the US people a lot.
We would not wait to see where it landed before we launched a nuclear counter strike. It would be too late. Putin knows that would be a suicide mission. We have nuclear weapons in the gulf and the Med' that would obliterate Russia and he knows that. Israel, plus India, and Pakistan are all members of the nuclear club would not wait. Saudi might have nukes as well.It seems to me the most likely ways this ends are:
- Putin is overthrown
- Putin decided to have humiliation and withdraw, trying to extract whatever face-saving concessions he can form the west for doing so, a bit like Khrushchev's withdrawal from Cuba.
- Putin uses nuclear blackmail to try to force the west to accept concessions
- Nuclear catastrophe
I wrote a post earlier for discussion I didn't post asking, what if Putin launched one nuclear missile at an unpopulated area as a start to escalating nuclear blackmail? How would the west respond?
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