- Apr 13, 2011
- Reaction score
- Political Leaning
Every now and then in American politics, political parties enter their presidential nominating conventions deeply, deeply divided. And when they are deeply divided, they lose.
Conventions, rather than being coronations, turn into battles between rival factions, each with a legitimate hope that it will somehow come away from the convention with its candidate as the nominee. But in the end, the party can only choose one nominee, and thus only one faction can win. That means the other faction goes home dejected and angry. Some of them will vote for another candidate. Some won't vote at all.
This is the Republicans' problem in 2016. At this point in the game, it's increasingly clear the Republican's July convention will be a barnburner of fights to rival the most bitter of conventions, with wounds that will probably take years, not months or weeks, to heal. And whomever the delegates ultimately choose, there is no consensus candidate left. The divisions have grown too deep.
Read more @: Why Republicans are very, very likely to lose the presidency in 2016
If we look back at history and see that almost every time a party is incredibly divided, like the GOP is now, that party looses the presidential election. Are there some exceptions, sure, but very few. But the historical precedent shows us that because of the major division in the GOP they will most likely loose the election in 2016.