American,
et al,
Yes, I have heard that before.
(COMMENT)
Whether you are talking about the Military side or the Diplomatic side, I still don't have much faith in them. They are, if you ignore the arrogance, good people at heart, but ineffective. They want a honorable outcome, but simply don't have the ability to get the job done. And the system, being the way it is, will allow an endless parade of these leaders to pompously strut around and allow the situation to unfold until time and money run-out, or we luck into a favorable window of opportunity.
(I personally don't believe the "luck" is with us on this one.)
- I use to sit and talk with the various staffs, mostly listening. Trying to understand their perspective. Whether it was GEN Casey, Petraeus, or Odierno, they all suggested that we were on track and making progress.
- And I was never impressed with the caliber of the Foreign Service leadership, whether you were with Ambassador Negroponte, Khalilzad, Crocker, Hill, or Jeffrey (formerly the DCM in 04-05).
I have watched them all, on-site, deny, dismiss, and distort the ground truth to present a rosey picture that best advances their position. I can understand one or two major failures, a setback or two, but I (personal opinion) have never seen so many leaders foul-up so much and come-out with a straight face and tell the American People about our success.
Please excuse my negative attitude, but I wouldn't put your faith in with this basket. While they may be much more intellectually superior to some one like me (and they will tell you how smart they are), eminent Generals and Senior FSOs tend to be more arrogant and confident than other serving officers, analyst and the genral hired help. As a consequence they are especially vulnerable to confirmation bias and faulty conclusions; and are anything but perpetually vigilant of the political operational picture. Mounting pressures on these personalities
(military & diplomatic) to conduct single-agenda driven operations and diplomacy is a ready made recipe for unexpected consequences and unintended outcomes that were nothing close to the expectation; held at the beginning.
No, I appreciate your positive attitude and sincerely hope that I am wrong. But I have lost my faith and confidence in this generation of leaders.
Most Respectfully,
R