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Dual nationals, Russian & whatever are subject to mobilizationI awoke this morning to the increasingly serious news that Belorussia is "mobilizing" under the euphemism of "testing military capabilities" - this maybe the reason that Americans are being urged to leave Russia immediately. Previously I discounted the concern because there was no upside for Belorussia. There still is not but it may be that Putin issued an ultimatum to Lukashenko to do it or be liquidated by FSB agents.
NS2 will never go online, it was a industrial ruin. NS1 was very questionable, becoming operational again, a probable industrial ruin. Germany has secured LNG contracts in Arabia.We'll show the world! We'll blow up our own pipe lines!
Actually to me it looks like Russia wanted to show the world what they can do to pipelines, but blew their own pipeline to not step over the line. Might blow the other country's pipelines if they are losing even worse than they are now and become desperate? Or not?
Not hard at all.How hard is it to get a hold of that kind of bomb?
If true, and they attack Ukraine, could result in a coup
Reports I have read, the vast majority of people do not support the war in Ukraine
Those HIMARs are part of a 1.1B dollar package, only approved in the last day or two. They are not there yet and, if past behavior is repeated, they will arrive in "penny packets" of four units, every two or three weeks. And that is also unclear, because in the past the US military has only been training in batches to fit those packets.
So, it might take 10 to 12 weeks from now before all are shipped.
On the other hand, should the Pentagon believe that the surplus training provided to date (more were trained than needed) they might ship them much more rapidly, feeling Ukraine can now train their own.
The good news is that if there was a fear of a missile shortage, they wouldn't be doubling the number of HIMARS in battle.
That would be very difficult to hide, coastal radar would detect a stationary ship at the pipeline location. The ship would have to use GPS for finding the pipeline.Not hard at all.
As I mentioned at the time, possible sabotage
Ship can easily lower an explosive package near the pipeline
4 leaks, outside national waters, Putin sending a message on how easy it is to disrupt energy supplies
I thought I read somewhere Russia can imbed robots inside the pipes for checking for damage etc. Could they have attached an explosive to a robot and remotely detonated?That would be very difficult to hide, coastal radar would detect a stationary ship at the pipeline location. The ship would have to use GPS for finding the pipeline.
200 to 300kg, or Spiegels 500kg, would be very hard to come by, by a none government actor. Besides the enormous cost of a ship, that could deliver and drop the bombs.
Russia has Navy SF in Kaliningrad, that are able to work from subs
Made the comments about a ship, as some experts said it could be easily done.That would be very difficult to hide, coastal radar would detect a stationary ship at the pipeline location. The ship would have to use GPS for finding the pipeline.
200 to 300kg, or Spiegels 500kg, would be very hard to come by, by a none government actor. Besides the enormous cost of a ship, that could deliver and drop the bombs.
Russia has Navy SF in Kaliningrad, that are able to work from subs
I still don't believe it was Russia. Sorry, I want to believe it as much as you al, but I can't. It makes absolutely no sense. Someone talked about that the pipelines were unserviceable due to corrosion anyway. But missed the fact that the corrosion is due to the explosions which will evidently make salty water to enter the pipes, that will render the whole of both pipelines irreversibly damaged. They can never be used again. If, in some future Russia wants to export gas to Germany, they will have to use the pipelines through Poland and/or the Baltic's or Ukraine. or put down new pipelines, from start to finish. .Not hard at all.
As I mentioned at the time, possible sabotage
Ship can easily lower an explosive package near the pipeline
4 leaks, outside national waters, Putin sending a message on how easy it is to disrupt energy supplies
Putin thought he was more in danger of being overthrown if his successor could quickly reestablish energy transfers to Europe.I still don't believe it was Russia. Sorry, I want to believe it as much as you al, but I can't. It makes absolutely no sense. Someone talked about that the pipelines were unserviceable due to corrosion anyway. But missed the fact that the corrosion is due to the explosions which will evidently make salty water to enter the pipes, that will render the whole of both pipelines irreversibly damaged. They can never be used again. If, in some future Russia wants to export gas to Germany, they will have to use the pipelines through Poland and/or the Baltic's or Ukraine. or put down new pipelines, from start to finish. .
There is a lot of economic and/or political winnings for those countries and only costs for Russia.
Well, unfortunately, I will probably never know. This will, unless it really was Russia, be classified for 50 years or so.
I still don't believe it was Russia. Sorry, I want to believe it as much as you al, but I can't. It makes absolutely no sense. Someone talked about that the pipelines were unserviceable due to corrosion anyway. But missed the fact that the corrosion is due to the explosions which will evidently make salty water to enter the pipes, that will render the whole of both pipelines irreversibly damaged. They can never be used again. If, in some future Russia wants to export gas to Germany, they will have to use the pipelines through Poland and/or the Baltic's or Ukraine. or put down new pipelines, from start to finish. .
There is a lot of economic and/or political winnings for those countries and only costs for Russia.
Well, unfortunately, I will probably never know. This will, unless it really was Russia, be classified for 50 years or so.