With what we see of planning and attacks repelled, 3 to 1 is lowYup. That's one of the reasons why I followed that section that you quoted with:
They are probably much worse than we are at getting their people medical care, however. If we assume three-to-one, though, that's still a baseline of 20,000 troops who became casualties in the first two weeks out of an initial invasion force of, what, about 150k? So we are looking at somewhere between, call it, 15-25% of the initial invasion force is likely already out of commission, and, good chunks of the rest probably aren't interested in mass-murdering Ukrainians with Russia's traditional mass-fire doctrine.According to modern COIN doctrine, to face off against an insurgency you need 20 soldiers for every 1,0000 inhabitants. Ukrainian population is about 43 million, figure, probably you lose a few million to fleeing out of country, for a nice round number call it 40 mil, and say that Russia does twice as good as U.S. doctrine in terms of efficiency per capita (excuse me while I take a second to chuckle at that), and Russia needs a million troops..... but they've got somewhere between 100K and 130K left.And, on top of that, the Russian army is having to fight a conventional war at the same time?No wonder Putin is grabbing up mercenaries from out of town.
Do you think it's likely to be even higher than 3-1?
More or less. I love how she just swats at him and he starts back pedaling. Shoo, now."I just got off the phone with your mother; she is disappointed in you; she wants you to go home!"
Goldman Sucks was a big fraudster that led to the subprime crash.
I went back, thank you thoughThe twitter thread, with analysis, that you linked.
Hey Putzin: Go sit and spin!Significant development?:
- Russia issues warning to US that it would fire on weapon shipments to Ukraine, raising the risk of direct confrontation between Moscow and a NATO country.
March 12, 2022 Russia-Ukraine news
Russian forces are expanding their offensive in Ukraine to the west for the first time. Major cities, including Dnipro and Lutsk, were struck Friday, Ukrainian officials said, as fighting intensified closer to Kyiv. Follow here for live news updates.www.cnn.com
Admittedly through a dusty lens from thousands of miles off, but this looks like Putin and Co. declaring, '**** it, let's see who wants to have a hot war.'Hey Putzin: Go sit and spin!
And for what.
And yet Bozo Biden doesn't want to "escalate things" by giving Ukraine MIGs.Admittedly through a dusty lens from thousands of miles off, but this looks like Putin and Co. declaring, '**** it, let's see who wants to have a hot war.'
Someone needs to beat him into submission. The murdering prick.That's what Putin does; he targets civilian targets to beat the population into submission.
I am talkin about Kyiv. I think the Ukrainians have made it a Leningrad. You would think that Russia would remember Leningrad.I do not think that was the case. Ukraine did not have enough forces in the south and if this was genuinely all to plan, they wouldn't have lost Kherson considering its vital location on the Dnieper
In the north, yes that was probably the strategyI am talkin about Kyiv. I think the Ukrainians have made it a Leningrad. You would think that Russia would remember Leningrad.
"Bozo Biden" is YOUR President. Now bozo Putin would be American.And yet Bozo Biden doesn't want to "escalate things" by giving Ukraine MIGs.
It's like Putin won't be happy until we join the war. Why?Significant development?:
- Russia issues warning to US that it would fire on weapon shipments to Ukraine, raising the risk of direct confrontation between Moscow and a NATO country.
March 12, 2022 Russia-Ukraine news
Russian forces are expanding their offensive in Ukraine to the west for the first time. Major cities, including Dnipro and Lutsk, were struck Friday, Ukrainian officials said, as fighting intensified closer to Kyiv. Follow here for live news updates.www.cnn.com
One of the reasons I was furious about that was because I knew Putin would draw us in anyway. Didn't take him long.And yet Bozo Biden doesn't want to "escalate things" by giving Ukraine MIGs.
He's threatening us to try to keep us from sustaining Ukrainian resistance. It may have worked with the MiGs.It's like Putin won't be happy until we join the war. Why?
NATO is a defensive alliance. That is the only thing that keeps us out of a world war.One of the reasons I was furious about that was because I knew Putin would draw us in anyway. Didn't take him long.
It obviously worked with the MIG's, but there is no way we'll stop sending supplies to Ukraine. It would be the worst optics of the century.He's threatening us to try to keep us from sustaining Ukrainian resistance. It may have worked with the MiGs.
The lethal aid will still flowHe's threatening us to try to keep us from sustaining Ukrainian resistance. It may have worked with the MiGs.
Yes, and Ukraine is defending itself and we are providing them with weapons as we have for years. What's the problem?NATO is a defensive alliance. That is the only thing that keeps us out of a world war.
There seem to be two basic options, both of which would fit the known facts:
1. The administration isn't being effectively led, and, even senior policymakers are confused and uncoordinated when it comes to major policy decisions, including those which involve escalating an ongoing conflict with a nuclear power.2. Russia called and threatened him, and so he backed down.
Neither of those options are great
Lol its not going to happen, unless Poland changes their mind.
as long as he is fighting Ukraine, it's almost a family quarrel...It's like Putin won't be happy until we join the war. Why?
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