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UN nuclear watchdog chief says Iran could again begin enriching uranium in ‘matter of months’

MAGAnificent said:
I know you badly want the mission to have been a failure; however you will just have to accept that it was a success.
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That's missing the point in spectacularly grand fashion. The easiest thing you can point to is any comment that I've made where I've stated anything about wishing the mission be a failure, but since that doesn't exist, I'll save you the time. Now that I think the mission was a bit silly considering it didn't take out Iran's nuclear program and still leaves the administration with some kind of negotiated deal to make is a different story, but even that doesn't imply I wished the mission to be a failure.

I can understand why you want to deflect in this manner, which is really just a projection of what you're doing, which is taking the wish for success and ignoring the basic fact no one is certain what the facts on the ground are.
 

June 29, 2025

Iran could be producing enriched uranium in a few months, the head of the U.N. nuclear watchdog Rafael Grossi was quoted as saying on Sunday, raising doubts about how effective U.S. strikes to destroy Tehran's nuclear programme have been....

"The capacities they have are there. They can have, you know, in a matter of months, I would say, a few cascades of centrifuges spinning and producing enriched uranium, or less than that," Grossi told CBS News in an interview.

"Frankly speaking, one cannot claim that everything has disappeared and there is nothing there," he added, according to the transcript of an interview on "Face the Nation" with Margaret Brennan due to air on Sunday....

Grossi, who heads the Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency, said the strikes on sites in Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan had significantly set back Iran's ability to convert and enrich uranium.

However, Western powers stress that Iran's nuclear advances provide it with an irreversible knowledge gain, suggesting that while losing experts or facilities may slow progress, the advances are permanent.

"Iran is a very sophisticated country in terms of nuclear technology," Grossi said. "So you cannot disinvent this. You cannot undo the knowledge that you have or the capacities that you have."...


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In other words, the joint Israeli-US attack on Iran cannot be said to have "obliterated" or "eliminated" or "destroyed" Iran's ability to produce nuclear weapons.

It was not a "successful mission".
 
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ElChupacabra said:
Exactly, but even that is a guess as is the depth of Fordo, which is why actual confirmation is needed.
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I doubt there will be anything definitive on the exact extent of the damage. Maybe they can use ground penetrating radar *beats me* because no one is going to pay to dig out bunt out crater. blast and fire (heat) damage have cooked/scarred those facilities. dysfunctional obliteration
 
Mycroft said:

UN nuclear watchdog chief says Iran could again begin enriching uranium in ‘matter of months’​


Doesn't matter.

If they restart, Trump shuts it down. It's as simple as that.
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He hasn't yet shut it down. That's the point. You can obliterate something only a few times before people start catching on. :oops:
 
ElChupacabra said:
Now that I think the mission was a bit silly considering it didn't take out Iran's nuclear program and still leaves the administration with some kind of negotiated deal to make is a different story, but even that doesn't imply I wished the mission to be a failure.
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I am sure the Iranian regime appreciates your support.
ElChupacabra said:
I can understand why you want to deflect in this manner, which is really just a projection of what you're doing, which is taking the wish for success and ignoring the basic fact no one is certain what the facts on the ground are.
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It appears that you are having an argument with yourself.
 
MAGAnificent said:
I am sure the Iranian regime appreciates your support.
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They would if that's what I'd given, but I'm sure they're smart enough not to come to the ridiculous conclusion you did based on anything I wrote.

MAGAnificent said:
It appears that you are having an argument with yourself.
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You're the one flailing on relying on magical thinking.
 
MAGAnificent said:
ROFLMAO!!!!!!!!!! It would take far longer than that just to clear the debris and get started.
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As previously stated, the experts disagree. Why should anyone listen to you on the matter?
 
MAGAnificent said:
What experts? CNN? Motherjones.com? MSDNC?
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Those are not experts. The US and Israeli intelligence agencies and the UN are the experts that have concluded that the US strike on Iran's nuclear facilities set back Iran's nuclear program by a factor of months.
 
Pyrite said:

June 29, 2025

Iran could be producing enriched uranium in a few months, the head of the U.N. nuclear watchdog Rafael Grossi was quoted as saying on Sunday, raising doubts about how effective U.S. strikes to destroy Tehran's nuclear programme have been....

"The capacities they have are there. They can have, you know, in a matter of months, I would say, a few cascades of centrifuges spinning and producing enriched uranium, or less than that," Grossi told CBS News in an interview.

"Frankly speaking, one cannot claim that everything has disappeared and there is nothing there," he added, according to the transcript of an interview on "Face the Nation" with Margaret Brennan due to air on Sunday....

Grossi, who heads the Vienna-based International Atomic Energy Agency, said the strikes on sites in Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan had significantly set back Iran's ability to convert and enrich uranium.

However, Western powers stress that Iran's nuclear advances provide it with an irreversible knowledge gain, suggesting that while losing experts or facilities may slow progress, the advances are permanent.

"Iran is a very sophisticated country in terms of nuclear technology," Grossi said. "So you cannot disinvent this. You cannot undo the knowledge that you have or the capacities that you have."...


``````````````````````````

In other words, the joint Israeli-US attack on Iran cannot be said to have "obliterated" or "eliminated" or "destroyed" Iran's ability to produce nuclear weapons.

It was not a "successful mission".
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Post #79

With the knowledge, the skill sets, the 60% enriched uranium, and an unknown number of centrifuges....Iran's ability to produce nuclear weapons may have been delayed for a few months, but it's not destroyed.

Moreover, with the USA's joining Israel in attacking the country, Iran's leaders now have more reason than before to argue for nuclear weapons capability.

The recklessness and impulsiveness of the Netanyahu and trump Governments have perhaps effected what they wanted to avoid.
 
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