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Neil Ferguson, the scientist who first sounded the lockdown alarm bells over COVID sounds more pessimistic than he did at the onset of lockdowns...
Neil Ferguson. Photograph: Antonio Olmos/The Observer
Yep, sounds like those lockdowns didn't save the UK from the inevitable, with or without vaccines. Perhaps finally learning to live with.
Neil Ferguson. Photograph: Antonio Olmos/The Observer
Covid cases could hit 200,000 a day in the UK this year and cause “major disruption” to the NHS, according to the scientist whose initial modelling helped shape Britain’s coronavirus lockdown strategy.
Prof Neil Ferguson said it was “almost inevitable” that Monday’s final phase of unlocking would bring on 100,000 daily cases, with about 1,000 hospitalizations – despite roughly half the UK being fully vaccinated.
“The real question is do we get to double that – or even higher,” he told BBC One’s Andrew Marr Show on Sunday,. “And that’s where the crystal ball starts to fail. I mean, we could get to 2,000 hospitalizations a day, 200,000 cases a day – but it’s much less certain.”
Daily hospitalizations surpassing 2,000 a day is equivalent to the level in the week leading up to Christmas. Although people currently being hospitalized do not fall as severely ill, and are much less likely to die, Ferguson said that “if you have enough cases, you can still have quite significant burden on the healthcare system … major disruption of services and cancellation of elective surgery and the backlog in the NHS getting longer and longer.”
UK Covid cases could hit 200,000 a day, says scientist behind lockdown strategy
Prof Neil Ferguson says 100,000 cases after England unlocks are ‘almost inevitable’ and may double
www.theguardian.com
Yep, sounds like those lockdowns didn't save the UK from the inevitable, with or without vaccines. Perhaps finally learning to live with.