UK Covid cases could hit 200,000 a day, says scientist behind lockdown strategy

[maxparrish]

I'll read your link in detail later; however it concentrates on America. Lockdowns worked, in Britain, because we had a high percentage of compliance with restrictions while Americans spent their time bickering and whining about 'freedom', and complaining that their 'rights' were being abused by being asked to wear a mask.

When you find time to read, you might find these additional three of equal interest to the three already mentioned:

Study
(A country level analysis ...factors on COVID-19 mortality and related health outcomes)

Covid-19 Mortality: A Matter of Vulnerability Among Nations Facing Limited Margins of Adaptation

Context: The human development territories have been severely constrained under the Covid-19 pandemic. A common dynamics has been observed, but its propagation has not been homogeneous over each continent. We aimed at characterizing the non-viral parameters that were most associated with death...

www.frontiersin.org

COVID-19 pandemic-related lockdown: response time is more important than its strictness

The rapid spread of SARS-CoV-2 and its threat to health systems worldwide have led governments to take acute actions to enforce social distancing. Previous studies used complex epidemiological models to quantify the effect of lockdown policies on infection rates. However, these rely on prior...

www.medrxiv.org