- Apr 18, 2013
- Reaction score
- Political Leaning
The Kremlin has operatives already in Ukraine, laying the groundwork for an invasion, say Biden officials.
The Biden administration has information indicating Russia might soon launch a false-flag operation to provide a pretext for an invasion of Ukraine, a U.S. official told Politico. Per the official, Russia has already placed a group of operatives “trained in urban warfare and in using explosives” in eastern Ukraine. The intel suggests that this group might “carry out acts of sabotage against Russia’s own proxy-forces,” thereby providing the Kremlin a convenient excuse to send some or all of its 100,000 troops stationed outside of Ukraine over the border. The Russian military plans to start these activities “several weeks” before a potential invasion, which is estimated to begin sometime between mid-January and mid-February, the official continued. “We saw this playbook in 2014 with Crimea.” Top U.S. officials, including national security adviser Jake Sullivan and Secretary of State Antony Blinken, in recent days previewed that the U.S. had information suggesting that Moscow was setting the groundwork for another incursion. “Russia is laying the groundwork to have the option of fabricating a pretext for an invasion, including through sabotage activities and information operations, by accusing Ukraine of preparing an imminent attack against Russian forces in Eastern Ukraine,” Sullivan told reporters at the White House Thursday, promising the administration would share more details within the following 24 hours.
The Kremlin can't use the old and disproven "Ukraine is being mean to Russian speakers" as a casus-belli to invade Ukraine in 2022. In all liklyhood, the GRU and Spetznaz units are deciding on which of their proxy commanders to bomb and/or kidnap and blame it on Ukraine as its pretext for the coming invasion. A bombing which also kills civilians and children would be most helpful. The Kremlin is astute enough to realize that it can't invade Ukraine simply because on some unknown day in the future Ukraine may petotion NATO for membership. That rationale forinvasion (even though it is true) wouldn't play well on the international stage. So Moscow needs a different invasion rationale for both the international community and for the Russian masses. People will have to die. They'll need bodies, blood and gore for TASS and RT.