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Trump Wins! Really?

Can Trump really win?

  • yes

    Votes: 26 74.3%
  • no

    Votes: 9 25.7%
  • other

    Votes: 0 0.0%

  • Total voters
    35
  • Poll closed .
While I hope not its always a possibility.
I didn't think he'd win last time and I thought Brexit was a bloody stupid idea so voted against it so I'm not exactly the Nostradamus of politics.

I also vote for the Lib Dems so I might actually be bonkers.
 
NO, he cannot really win, sadly.

The media, academia, and opportunistic politicians have been brilliantly successful in painting him as a "racist."
 
In the link below is real clear.politics no toss-up map. Can Trump really win?

RealClearPolitics - 2020 Election Maps - 2020 Electoral College Map

This was RCP's electoral college map (no toss ups) shortly before the 2016 election.

Opera Snapshot_2020-09-08_022708_www.realclearpolitics.com.jpg

We all know how that election turned out, right?

So, you'll understand when I tell you that RCP is a load of crap.
 
I voted No. Now I truly believe there is a chance that he will remain president. But much like last time, when he did not win either, I think there is a real chance he will steal the election again.

Joey
 
In the link below is real clear.politics no toss-up map. Can Trump really win?

RealClearPolitics - 2020 Election Maps - 2020 Electoral College Map

He could. Math still works.

But he ain’t. I’ve been arguing since 2017 he’s toast if for no other reason than the “normies” who don’t care about politics want very much to go back to not caring about politics. TRump demands attention 24/7 and because he doesn’t discern between bad press vs good, he’s as likely to inflict harm on us just to goose “ratings.”
 
Ok, and now on a more serious note. I do not think The Trumpet will win. The reason I think he will not win is actually very simple. Not full proof, but still. He won in 2016 with a rather slim margin. Well he actually lost the vote, but that's a detail in this context. Now since he has become president I have heard many times over that people who voted for him regret their vote and will next time not vote for him. At the same time I have never heard that someone said; I made a big mistake last time by not voting for The Trumpet and I will vote for him next time. I am not saying these people do not exist, but I have honestly not heard of this. And with the small margin last time, as in Clinton already having more votes than the Trumpet, I think the chances that he will pull it off this time with even less votes seems rather unlikely to me. Not impossible, just less likely.

At the same time, I am fully aware that he may pull something unexpected out of his trick hat at the last moment. He tried this desperately last time to only get some unexpected help at the last minute from Comey.

So lets just hope we actually get the result the day after the election and more importantly, let's hope that the results are not going to be challenged by The Trumpet and his band of clowns.

Joey
 
NO, he cannot really win, sadly.

The media, academia, and opportunistic politicians have been brilliantly successful in painting him as a "racist."

Maybe if he stopped saying and doing racist things people may stop calling him racist but that's just crazy old me I suppose.
 
In the link below is real clear.politics no toss-up map. Can Trump really win?

RealClearPolitics - 2020 Election Maps - 2020 Electoral College Map

Yeah, if he wants to catch up he needs to stop visiting two states a day giving hours long talks, and just lockdown himself in his basement for continual "resting" , acting confused about what words on the basement teleprompter are the instructions to him , as opposed to the actual words he is supposed to be lethargically mouthing.
Here is the real picture of what's going on in real time rickc dude:

TrumpNC2.jpg
 
This was RCP's electoral college map (no toss ups) shortly before the 2016 election.

View attachment 67294567

We all know how that election turned out, right?

So, you'll understand when I tell you that RCP is a load of crap.

Some people, like you obviously, don't understand probability models. If Clinton was given a 70% probability of winning and Trump 30% in 2016 the day before the election, then the model isn't wrong if Trump won, particularly when you consider that Trump won with a lower percentage of the vote than what Romney lost with just 4 years earlier.

If you go to the horse track and you win on a horse with 10 to 1 odds, it doesn't mean the odds were wrong.
 
Yeah, if he wants to catch up he needs to stop visiting two states a day giving hours long talks, and just lockdown himself in his basement for continual "resting" , acting confused about what words on the basement teleprompter are the instructions to him , as opposed to the actual words he is supposed to be lethargically mouthing.
Here is the real picture of what's going on in real time rickc dude:

View attachment 67294570

Why are those crowds so white?
 
People are way more excited about Joe and you can just feel it everywhere .
Especially when he announces he is taking no questions and will adjourning himself to his basement to try and figure out what words on his teleprompter are merely instructions to him, as opposed to words he is supposed to actually hem & haw his way thru .
Meanwhile that Darn Trump is killing his chances visiting 2 and 3 states a day giving hours long talks in each state .
Trump NC.jpg
 
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Some people, like you obviously, don't understand probability models. If Clinton was given a 70% probability of winning and Trump 30% in 2016 the day before the election, then the model isn't wrong if Trump won, particularly when you consider that Trump won with a lower percentage of the vote than what Romney lost with just 4 years earlier.

If you go to the horse track and you win on a horse with 10 to 1 odds, it doesn't mean the odds were wrong.

RCP's problem is that they base their predictions on bogus polls.

GIGO

Their electoral college prediction back in 2016 reflected this...and history is repeating itself.

btw...Romney is irrelevant. Different election. Different dynamics.
 
What is really going to clinch it for Joe is the overwhelming support & excitement he has inspired among the non-black African American community :
valid.jpg
 
Maybe if he stopped saying and doing racist things people may stop calling him racist but that's just crazy old me I suppose.

But he has never said or done "racist" things.

The likely next (nominal) President, however, said a lot of racist things when he was a Senator and even as a recent candidate.



Have a nice day!
 
The rousing endorsements that Joe is getting from his likeminded wealthy white privilege democrat socialist governors of states like Virginia cannot be beat :
blackface northam.jpg

You Go RALPHIEEEEE!
 
Joe's winning over the non-black African American Women is so key to his coming victory .
black.jpg
 
I voted No. Now I truly believe there is a chance that he will remain president. But much like last time, when he did not win either, I think there is a real chance he will steal the election again.

Joey

Steal the election???....oh boy...another one living in some strange alternate reality......He won....get over it!!!
 
Trump can win 55% of the vote, most since Reagan vs Mondale, which is a bit ironic. It all comes down to turnout and late deciding voters.

Late deciders don't hate Trump like the cultists we see here. If they did, then they would already be decided.
 
He could. Math still works.

But he ain’t. I’ve been arguing since 2017 he’s toast if for no other reason than the “normies” who don’t care about politics want very much to go back to not caring about politics. TRump demands attention 24/7 and because he doesn’t discern between bad press vs good, he’s as likely to inflict harm on us just to goose “ratings.”

It would be nice to return to a country where the presidency is something to be honored, instead of being argued over every single day.
 
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