Breakdown of the for and anti-votes via the 2016 CNN exit polling.
https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls
2016 popular vote results: Clinton 48% Trump 46%, third party 6%.
Opinions of candidates, why they voted for the candidate broke down by total electorate percentages and then the percentage received by each candidate of that percentage group.
Strongly Favor 41% of the total vote, Clinton 53%, Trump 41% other 6%
Favor with reservations 32% of the total vote, Clinton 49%, Trump 48%, other 3%
Disliked opponent 25% of the total vote, Clinton 39%, Trump 50%, other 11%
With the above numbers we can figure out the percentage of Clinton’s and Trump vote share which fell into each category.
Strongly favor, Clinton 21.7% of her 48%, Trump 16.8% of his 46%
Favor with reservations, Clinton 15.7% of her 48%, Trump 15.4% of his 46%
Disliked opponent, Clinton 9.8% of her 48% who voted for her because they disliked Trump, 12.5% of his 46% who voted for him because they disliked Clinton.
This accounts for 47.2% of Clinton’s 48% of the vote and 44.7% of Trump’s 46%. Since 98% of the respondents listed one of these three reasons, 2% didn’t, so the vote total for Clinton and Trump won’t add up to exactly what they received. The other category is basically third party voters or those who refused to answer. Even so, we can see that 28% of Trump’s votes were anti-Clinton voters, not necessarily for him, but against Clinton. 21% of Hillary’s total of 48% were anti-Trump voters, not necessarily for her, but against Trump. If we subtract the anti-votes we find 38% of the total electorate voted for Clinton because they were either strongly for or for her with reservations. 33% of the total electorate voted for Trump because they were either strongly for or for him with reservations. Clinton won the for votes by 5 instead of 2 points counting the anti-votes. A lot more people were for Clinton than for Trump, but a lot more people were against or disliked Clinton than they did Trump.
I think this exercise proves Trump won on the backs of the anti-Clinton vote and not on the Pro-Trump vote. This is especially true when it came to the independent vote which Trump won 46-42 over Clinton. Independents were much more anti-Clinton than anti-Trump. The Anti vote for 2016 at 25% of all votes cast more than doubled the anti-votes of 2012 which was 11% of the total electorate. In 2012 people were voting for a candidate, in 2016, they were voting against a candidate or both candidates as seen in the 6% who voted third party against both major party candidates vs. 1.5% in 2012.
https://www.cnn.com/election/2016/results/exit-polls
2016 popular vote results: Clinton 48% Trump 46%, third party 6%.
Opinions of candidates, why they voted for the candidate broke down by total electorate percentages and then the percentage received by each candidate of that percentage group.
Strongly Favor 41% of the total vote, Clinton 53%, Trump 41% other 6%
Favor with reservations 32% of the total vote, Clinton 49%, Trump 48%, other 3%
Disliked opponent 25% of the total vote, Clinton 39%, Trump 50%, other 11%
With the above numbers we can figure out the percentage of Clinton’s and Trump vote share which fell into each category.
Strongly favor, Clinton 21.7% of her 48%, Trump 16.8% of his 46%
Favor with reservations, Clinton 15.7% of her 48%, Trump 15.4% of his 46%
Disliked opponent, Clinton 9.8% of her 48% who voted for her because they disliked Trump, 12.5% of his 46% who voted for him because they disliked Clinton.
This accounts for 47.2% of Clinton’s 48% of the vote and 44.7% of Trump’s 46%. Since 98% of the respondents listed one of these three reasons, 2% didn’t, so the vote total for Clinton and Trump won’t add up to exactly what they received. The other category is basically third party voters or those who refused to answer. Even so, we can see that 28% of Trump’s votes were anti-Clinton voters, not necessarily for him, but against Clinton. 21% of Hillary’s total of 48% were anti-Trump voters, not necessarily for her, but against Trump. If we subtract the anti-votes we find 38% of the total electorate voted for Clinton because they were either strongly for or for her with reservations. 33% of the total electorate voted for Trump because they were either strongly for or for him with reservations. Clinton won the for votes by 5 instead of 2 points counting the anti-votes. A lot more people were for Clinton than for Trump, but a lot more people were against or disliked Clinton than they did Trump.
I think this exercise proves Trump won on the backs of the anti-Clinton vote and not on the Pro-Trump vote. This is especially true when it came to the independent vote which Trump won 46-42 over Clinton. Independents were much more anti-Clinton than anti-Trump. The Anti vote for 2016 at 25% of all votes cast more than doubled the anti-votes of 2012 which was 11% of the total electorate. In 2012 people were voting for a candidate, in 2016, they were voting against a candidate or both candidates as seen in the 6% who voted third party against both major party candidates vs. 1.5% in 2012.