Interesting article on 538, co-written by Nate Silver, entitled “How Far Will Trump Go To Undermine the Election Results?”
Completely inappropriate on a website which media outlets use to reference polling averages, and make EC predictions.
You can stop pretending that Nate Silver is politically neutral lol. His EC predictions have now lost their credibility.
What’s inappropriate about it? Even the Republican controlled Senate unanimously feels that Trump has gone too far in trying to undermine the election results. They felt Trump way out of line. In a completely unprecedented move they passed the following resolution:
RESOLUTION
Reaffirming the Senate’s commitment to the orderly and peaceful transfer of power called for in the Constitution of the United States, and for other purposes.
Whereas the United States is founded on the principle that our Government derives its power from the consent of the governed and that the people have the right to change their elected leaders through elections;
Whereas our domestic tranquility, national security, general welfare, and civil liberties depend upon the peaceful and orderly transfer of power; and
Whereas any disruption occasioned by the transfer of the ex- ecutive power could produce results detrimental to the safety and well-being of the United States and its people: Now, therefore, be it
Resolved, That the Senate—
(1) reaffirms its commitment to the orderly and peaceful transfer of power called for in the Constitu- tion of the United States; and
(2) intends that there should be no disruptions by the President or any person in power to overturn the will of the people of the United States.
No one ever said that Nate Silver is politically neutral lol. Nate has an opinion just like everyone else and he has every right to publish it.
You are confused about the difference between the website’s opinion articles (in this case it’s not an article, it’s a video) and the forecasts. The forecasts are based on statistical models which have been fine tuned over time to give the most accurate predictions he can come up with. The predictions are not opinions. That doesn’t mean that they will always be right either, but Nate’s goal in his forecasts is accuracy, not political slant. His methodology is all laid out for anyone to examine.
Take Fox as another example, their opinion shows are basically just red meat for the radical right, but that doesn’t mean that they don’t publish well regarded polls (much to Trump’s dismay...his first tweet of the day today out of 46 so far as of 3pm was to complain about Fox’s polling). Trump loves the Fox red meat, but hates it when they publish polls that are based on mathematically sound methodology without some right wing nut job massaging the results.
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