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Trump approval rate is 48% -- Rasmussen

Fishking said:
With modern media coverage, propaganda from Holllywood and TV, and propaganda from the education systems it's a shock it's not much lower than 48%.
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Actually, it probably is lower than 48%. Rasmussen is known to be heavily biased towards Republicans, and despite this your leader STILL can't muster up an approval rating above 50%, which shows what an embarrassment he is.

Not to mention the fact that his approval rating is massively boosted by unwavering support among GOP voters, who get their propaganda from Fox and Friends and talk radio. Would be much lower than that without that propaganda being spewed to the lemmings on a daily basis.
 
Puigb said:
Actually, it probably is lower than 48%. Rasmussen is known to be heavily biased towards Republicans, and despite this your leader STILL can't muster up an approval rating above 50%, which shows what an embarrassment he is.

Not to mention the fact that his approval rating is massively boosted by unwavering support among GOP voters, who get their propaganda from Fox and Friends and talk radio. Would be much lower than that without that propaganda being spewed to the lemmings on a daily basis.
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Doesn't change any of the points I made. It should be lower, much lower, with the near monopoly of propaganda distribution the left has.
 
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Juggernaut74 said:
48%? “Fabulous”? “Doing GREAT”?

This must be that “new math” I keep hearing about.

When I was a kid, 48% was well into “failing” territory.
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It's not new math. It's either W's fuzzy math or his brother jeb's common core math. This is the 'new' america where forty eight percent wins and fifty two percent loses.
 
Common Sense 1 said:
Yea.. because Trump is rated lower? Isn't this the poll that said Hillary would be president?
Rasmussen is the only poll that does a daily tracking poll now.
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1. Pollsters predicted Clinton would win the popular vote. They were correct. Time to move on from the BS myth that the pollsters were wrong.
2. Rasmussen is a right leaning organization that is often at odds with almost every other more reliable polling organization. When most informed news consumers hear “Rasmussen says”, they stop listening.
 
Trump approval rate is 48% -- Rasmussen
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As proved by the mid-term elections of 2018. :2rofll:
 
Common Sense 1 said:
Yea.. because Trump is rated lower? Isn't this the poll that said Hillary would be president?
Rasmussen is the only poll that does a daily tracking poll now.
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No it isn't the poll that said "Hillary would be president". Opinion polls are not the same as election polls. And also, Gallup did not do any 2016 Presidential election polls.
 
Common Sense 1 said:
Yea.. because Trump is rated lower? Isn't this the poll that said Hillary would be president?
Rasmussen is the only poll that does a daily tracking poll now.
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Not only that if you read the guts of the polls more Democrats and Independents are often polled in greater numbers. Trump's numbers dropped during the shutdown but have since come back and it is amazing his numbers are as good as they are considering the constant barrage of negative coverage he gets in the MSM.

The TDS sufferers do not see Rasmussen polls to be credible because they often are more favorable to Trump than say CNN and others. One really needs to look at the questions asked, how they were asked and the percentage of Democrats, Republicans, Independents polled because often the polls themselves are skewed.

The Democrats have had a couple of really bad weeks from scandals to their far leap to the left on policies that do not seem to be popular with the public while Trump's push for border security is gaining favorability and the economy keeps roaring along.
 
vesper said:
The TDS sufferers do not see Rasmussen polls to be credible because they often are more favorable to Trump than say CNN and others. One really needs to look at the questions asked, how they were asked and the percentage of Democrats, Republicans, Independents polled because often the polls themselves are skewed.
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One definitely does not need to draw conclusions from the percentage of Democrats, Republicans, and Independents polled. Party ID is a dynamic characteristic and should not be weighted for, which is why the best pollsters do not weight for them.

People do this every year, whoever is losing in the polls. In 2012 it was Dean Chambers. "Look how many more Democrats than Republicans are being polled. When I unskew them, (he created unskewedpolls.com), it shows that Romney will win in a landslide. Wait and see." The actual result? Obama won, and the polls, while fairly accurate, actually ended up with a slight Republican bias on average.

In 2014 it was all the Democrats. I read the Daily Kos as they have unparalleled coverage of election news, electoral data, and polling, but their analysis is often way off. There were so many articles and comments about how the polls were oversampling Republicans compared to past midterm exit polls and things like that. "Charlie Crist isn't really down by 2% in Florida because in 2010 41% of voters were Democrats. Blah blah blah." The result? Polls were mostly right and actually had a small Democratic bias.

In 2016 it was the Republicans again. And this is the one everyone brings up because of the overwhelming media narrative that Hillary was going to win in a landslide. The polls themselves didn't tell that story. Nationally, the polls were off by 1%. State polls, were generally nailed perfectly outside the upper midwest. It was there that the polls margins missed, although they had tons of undecided voters, didn't poll during the final weekend, and did not overestimate Clinton's actual percentages in those states, they just underestimated Trump's.

In 2018 it was again the Republicans. "Blue wave is bull****. All these polls are oversampling Democrats. 2016 is proof." The results? Polling generally had a small Republican bias, although it was very strong overall. Slight Democratic bias in Florida. Polls that weight by Party ID, like Rasmussen, had horrible performances. Rasmussen had Republicans +1% in their final poll.

Every single time people try and unskew polls they end up being wrong. It is not a good statistic to weight by. The evidence is overwhelming that those who weight by Party ID perform worse than those who don't.
 
vesper said:
Not only that if you read the guts of the polls more Democrats and Independents are often polled in greater numbers. Trump's numbers dropped during the shutdown but have since come back and it is amazing his numbers are as good as they are considering the constant barrage of negative coverage he gets in the MSM.

The TDS sufferers do not see Rasmussen polls to be credible because they often are more favorable to Trump than say CNN and others. One really needs to look at the questions asked, how they were asked and the percentage of Democrats, Republicans, Independents polled because often the polls themselves are skewed.

The Democrats have had a couple of really bad weeks from scandals to their far leap to the left on policies that do not seem to be popular with the public while Trump's push for border security is gaining favorability and the economy keeps roaring along.
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Rasmussen always over counts Republicans in their polls and that is why no one listens to them.

Frank Newport, editor in chief of the Gallup Poll, pointed to Rasmussen’s use of a “likely voter” screen in its methods, something that most polling operations refrain from doing until closer to election dates.
“Most polls use national adults or registered voters and they use ‘likely voters’ which screens it down,” Newport said on Hill.TV. “That skews Republican because Republicans are more likely to vote than not.”
Historically speaking, demographic groups that tend to favor Democrats in recent elections have tended not to vote as often as groups that lean Republican.
“Likely voters are a small subset of registered voters. Many people in this country, particularly in mid-term elections or special elections, don’t vote,” Newall said.
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Pollster: Rasmussen Research has a pro-GOP bias | TheHill
 
Anagram said:
One definitely does not need to draw conclusions from the percentage of Democrats, Republicans, and Independents polled. Party ID is a dynamic characteristic and should not be weighted for, which is why the best pollsters do not weight for them.

People do this every year, whoever is losing in the polls. In 2012 it was Dean Chambers. "Look how many more Democrats than Republicans are being polled. When I unskew them, (he created unskewedpolls.com), it shows that Romney will win in a landslide. Wait and see." The actual result? Obama won, and the polls, while fairly accurate, actually ended up with a slight Republican bias on average.

In 2014 it was all the Democrats. I read the Daily Kos as they have unparalleled coverage of election news, electoral data, and polling, but their analysis is often way off. There were so many articles and comments about how the polls were oversampling Republicans compared to past midterm exit polls and things like that. "Charlie Crist isn't really down by 2% in Florida because in 2010 41% of voters were Democrats. Blah blah blah." The result? Polls were mostly right and actually had a small Democratic bias.

In 2016 it was the Republicans again. And this is the one everyone brings up because of the overwhelming media narrative that Hillary was going to win in a landslide. The polls themselves didn't tell that story. Nationally, the polls were off by 1%. State polls, were generally nailed perfectly outside the upper midwest. It was there that the polls margins missed, although they had tons of undecided voters, didn't poll during the final weekend, and did not overestimate Clinton's actual percentages in those states, they just underestimated Trump's.

In 2018 it was again the Republicans. "Blue wave is bull****. All these polls are oversampling Democrats. 2016 is proof." The results? Polling generally had a small Republican bias, although it was very strong overall. Slight Democratic bias in Florida. Polls that weight by Party ID, like Rasmussen, had horrible performances. Rasmussen had Republicans +1% in their final poll.

Every single time people try and unskew polls they end up being wrong. It is not a good statistic to weight by. The evidence is overwhelming that those who weight by Party ID perform worse than those who don't.
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I am not weighting anything. Polls taken are and that is a fact. In fact in national elections they will focus on pockets of certain voter ID regionally to obtain the polling results they want or desire.


Don't you dare not admit that the media will focus on one bad poll of Trump declaring disaster for a news cycle!
It's bull**** designed to change opinion or thwart momentum.
Polls taken often have worded questions skewed to reach a certain result set forth by the pollster.


Bottom line, Trump is doing just fine.
 
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vesper said:
I am not weighting anything. Polls taken are and that is a fact. In fact in national elections they will focus on pockets of certain voter ID regionally to obtain the polling results they want or desire.


Don't you dare not admit that the media will focus on one bad poll of Trump declaring disaster for a news cycle!
It's bull**** designed to change opinion or thwart momentum.
Polls taken often have worded questions skewed to reach a certain result set forth by the pollster.


Bottom line, Trump is doing just fine.
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Of course polls are harped on by the media to show a desired result. Far from not admitting it as you claim, I said for example there was an overwhelming media narrative that Hillary would win. Often from taking polls out of context.

But your point about oversampling Democrats is just plain wrong. And everyone that goes down that road, R and D, ends up being wrong every time.
 
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