Ziggae_6
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Stage 7 -- and into the Alps we go...
Not considered a full-fledged mountain stage, there is a cat 4 sandwiched by two cat 3 climbs before three cat 2 climbs including one to finish the stage. Normally, I think the GC contenders would wait until tomorrow's stage to make a move, but I would not be surprised if one of the GC contenders made a move today. If any of them do, I think there are two leading contenders to make a surprise, if pre-planned move on the last climb today.
1. Lance Armstrong -- he needs to make up some time. He lost a lot on the cobbles and he has the team to support him both up the hill and in terms of peloton management. Radio Shack has riders who can control the pace up hills while Lance goes off.
2. Cadel Evans -- Of the GC contenders, he is in the best shape, but not many people are taking him seriously yet (so it seems). If he could make a break and take the yellow (out of Lance's reach today, but in Cadel's), that could mark him as a contender for the race.
I think Contador and Schleck will wait until a true mountain stage. Contador has an overall weaker team, though he is the world's best climber. I don't know what is going through Schleck's mind after losing his brother and arguably his best domestique (especially for the hills). It will be interesting to see how he reacts if their is an Armstrong or Evans breakout on the last cat 2.
Should be an interesting stage which unfortunately I won't watch until the end because I have a combined bike/run training session early tomorrow morning.
I looked ahead a little and there are a few climbs coming up for the next few days. They're have a day off on Monday and Thursday is back to being more flat and sprinter friendly but everything else looks like daily climbing. So it will be interesting to see what strategies are used among the GC riders. I think you're right that Lance needs to take some chances and cut away at the deficit he is facing regarding GC contenders. Not insurmondable, but will be tough. The announcers are blaming the timing of his flat for the cobblestone loss because they think Lance is in good physical condition.
Definitely time to shake up the leader board and see who's legit and who's team is most helpful on the climbs. Versus coverage started at 7:30am today. Nice to see them giving us as much live coverage as possible. One other note, I noticed Denis Menchov the Russian from Rabobank is only 9 seconds behind Contador and tied with Wiggins. This is a guy who has had much potential but looked extremely bad last year right after he won the Giro D'Italia. This year he stated that he was worn down from that the GDI and would be concentrating the TdF only. He would be a definitely darkhorse, but a possible contender.
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