galenrox said:
No, it's not like that at all.
It's true, once you reach a certain point at which the government provides basic stability, private property rights and the like, from that point on, the bigger slice of the pie you're taking, the smaller the pie you'll be taking it from. That's not voodoo economics at all, that's plain and simple logic.
Think of a graph, there's a line with a positive slope (tax rate), and there's a line with a negative slope (amount being taxed). You tax low, then the economy will do very well, but since the rate is low you still don't get very much (very small slice of a very large pie). If you tax too much, you get a very large portion of the pie, but it's not that big of a pie. There's obviously gotta be an equilibrium, at which point you maximize the IRS's revenue, or where the IRS gets the most pie. I don't see why it's any sort of a stretch to say then that it is possible, and tax receipts back this up, for tax rates to be too high to the point where they cause the IRS to get less revenue. MR has to equal MC, and tax revenues indicate that we were taxing too much, and we still might be taxing too much. You've gotta keep **** fluid, since conditions change the equilibrium rate, plus you've gotta find the equilibrium rate.
Standard supply side blather, cut taxes and the economy grows faster. Why haven't we seen this super growth when taxes were lower? Why was growth stronger in the 90s than now with the tax cuts? Why was growth stronger in 93-00 with a 39% rate than 81-92 when the rate was cut to 28% then 31%? Why did GDP grow faster in the 50s and 60s when the top marginal rates were 91% and 70%?
From BEA data -- I'll post the back up if you want.
Average annual real growth in the 50s = 4.15%.
Average annual real growth in the 60s = 4.44%.
Average annual real growth in the 70s = 3.26%.
Average annual real growth in the 80s = 3.07%
Average annual real growth in the 90s = 3.11%
Average annual real growth in the 00s = 2.49%
Average annual real growth during Reagan: 3.42%
Average annual real growth during Reagan & Bush1: 3.0%
Average annual real growth during Clinton: 3.71%
Average annual real growth during Bush2 (thru 2005): 2.49%
The facts don't support the claim that the tax rates we've had have had any impact on economic growth.
I don't think debt is a good thing. Up to a certain point I think it's excusable, but at this point we've obviously passed that. Raising taxes means we'll have less money to pay that off. It simply doesn't make any sense.
It only doesn't make sense if you assume that the higher tax rate results in a decrease in economic output that is marginally lower than it would have been without the tax increase. Or conversely, tax cuts will increase revenues only if the marginally greater economic output generates enough economic growth to make up for the revenues lost from what they would have been without the tax cuts.
What I'm saying is that tax rates over the past 6 decades have not had this marginal effect. GDP growth has not been marginally greater with lower taxes. It hasn't been any greater at all.
If you cut the tax rates, and as a result there is no greater economic growth, the result is that relative revenues fall. And they have fallen by hundreds of billions a year over the past 5 years, and that is the biggest reason why the nation is another $3 trillion in debt.
Cutting taxes without corresponding spending cuts has meant we are just digging the nation into an ever deeper hole.
It just doesn't make sense.