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The Trump Surge

Trump IIRC has 3 offices in Florida, 2 of them recent. HRC has 50 plus.

While that strategy may contribute to his downfall, it is important to note how much he is able to do with so little. No doubt that this is largely as a result of his celebrity and free publicity, but I think it also highlights the sheer force of being a major party's nominee and the other party's foe.
 
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Trump IIRC has 3 offices in Florida, 2 of them recent. HRC has 50 plus.

yes trump had far less than the other republican candidates... he won in a landslide.... the vote difference between republicans and democrats was several hundred thousand in favor of the repugs

republican gov rick scott has a big connection to all the counties in florida and will help trump greatly.. and same with senator rubio......also check the change in voting registrations.. since 2012.... republicans are plus 187k while democrats are minus 140 k..... looks really bad for democrats in florida

NC has a republican gov that will also help with the ground game and the issue of forcing NC against their own decisions on bathrooms will push NC to trump

OHIO a rust belt will go to trump

mich has a republican gov who can help with the ground game and its a rust belt state and a decent chance trump can squeeze out a win there

but its over in florida..... trump surprised everyone with his big vote totals there in the primaries

and all the facts about the corruption of democrats and the media NOW is surging thru the nation that cannot be stopped....

all of this looks really bad for hillary
 
Trump IIRC has 3 offices in Florida, 2 of them recent. HRC has 50 plus.


rubio had far more connections and county connections but trump beat him surprisingly easy

SAME thing in INDIANA... cruz had far more connections and even the gov... trump won in a landslide
 
While that strategy may contribute to his downfall, it is important to note how much he is able to do with so little. No doubt that this is largely as a result of his celebrity and free publicity, but I think it also highlights the sheer force of being a major party's nominee and the other party's foe.

TY Internet, Social Media. But the ground game, getting the voters out are key. HRC has screwed herself over the pneumonia issue. Their penchant for secrecy hit them hard on this as Trump has been campaigning about her health.
Next up is the debates, they are crucial to each candidate. Clear wins are needed.
Trump will be unscripted, and notes are from what I understand verboten and hurt a candidate. Time does not permit rustling thru notes looking for an answer. These demonstrate how well versed a person is on the issues and platforms not only for their party but the other party as well.

From what I understand there are only 3 debates, I would have liked 5, spread over a 6 to 7 week period.
 
rubio had far more connections and county connections but trump beat him surprisingly easy

SAME thing in INDIANA... cruz had far more connections and even the gov... trump won in a landslide

Primaries are not a good comparison.
 
trump cannot lose the debates... BECAUSE of how both the democrats and media has pushed hard for muslims

that makes it where trump cannot lose and a certainty that hillary will lose EVEN if the media lies and says she won

look at gallup poll on how the public distrust of the media is at the lowest on record

its over...the muslim issue and now the leaks issue showing how powell and obama and the clintons are a 3 ring circus of corruption and the media supporting... powell showed mad at hillary for losing his speaking money gig.... which is showing that powell and obama wanted hillary as sec of state in ORDER to work their crooked money agenda.... powell is mad at hillary for being stupid and exposing all this.... BUT powell was lazy with his emails that then got hacked


and now the nation knows just how corrupt the democrats and media are..

this makes it impossible for hillary to win the debate

its already over....
 
Primaries are not a good comparison.


primaries ARE when you look at the differences in the amount of votes for each party if it is a closed primary and if both have a contested contest...
 
Polls are weird this year, fluctuating pretty wildly for this late in the campaign. I think that, paradoxically, this election will end of being like a chess game: whoever makes the next-to-last mistake wins.
 
primaries ARE when you look at the differences in the amount of votes for each party if it is a closed primary and if both have a contested contest...

Primaries get the party faithful up, moving, motivated and interested. At the general election, in swing states, where it is close, the ground game is critical.
 
The subject was journalists and journalism, not Trump.

Yes, and the premise is that the media has been unfair to him, never gave him a chance to show us he's presidential.

Which is comical.
 
Primaries get the party faithful up, moving, motivated and interested. At the general election, in swing states, where it is close, the ground game is critical.

Hillary has no ground game whatsoever. She's an awful campaigner by her own admission.
 
Yes, and the premise is that the media has been unfair to him, never gave him a chance to show us he's presidential.

Which is comical.

The premise is **** Trump, if you are a journalist do journalism.
 
Primaries get the party faithful up, moving, motivated and interested. At the general election, in swing states, where it is close, the ground game is critical.


again TRUMP has a a ground game with the republican governors that will decide the election... but he does not need much ground game because he has more hidden votes on his side

INDIANA primary proves you are wrong.....

CRUZ had all that oil money and had all the ground game and had the governor and he lost in a landslide??

why did he lose in a landslide when he had all the factors supporting him to win??? why because of the news of how corrupt the system was when it was found out how the voters votes can be changed by people with money to wine and dine delegates

THAT CORRUPTION pushed trump to a landslide over all other factors in favor of cruz

now its the SAME we now have proof of total corruption of the democrat party and the media

the gallup poll on the record distrust of the media PROVES people are waking up and now trumps polls are soaring..

its over folks.. .. democrats and media FOR MUSLIMS...... democrat party together as a TEAM of crooks ... powell... hillary and obama with the media....... its over folks


the same sudden change in indiana when the corruption news broke.. that sudden change is now here nationally
 
trump cannot lose the debates... BECAUSE of how both the democrats and media has pushed hard for muslims

that makes it where trump cannot lose and a certainty that hillary will lose EVEN if the media lies and says she won

look at gallup poll on how the public distrust of the media is at the lowest on record

its over...the muslim issue and now the leaks issue showing how powell and obama and the clintons are a 3 ring circus of corruption and the media supporting... powell showed mad at hillary for losing his speaking money gig.... which is showing that powell and obama wanted hillary as sec of state in ORDER to work their crooked money agenda.... powell is mad at hillary for being stupid and exposing all this.... BUT powell was lazy with his emails that then got hacked


and now the nation knows just how corrupt the democrats and media are..

this makes it impossible for hillary to win the debate

its already over....

I appreciate that you are a Trump cheerleader, but as someone who favors neither candidate I find it nonsensical. It is true that many Trump supporters rage against Muslims, and read into Trump's fake ban (since retracted) as a like minded crazy. None the less, Trump will likely continue his pivot (two faced con job) and prattle on about about how he only wants "extreme vetting" - I doubt that will be relevant to the public perception of his debate performance.

Moreover, debates are not judged by some partisan's mangled fantasy about Powell, Hillary or Obama. The public perception is shaped by the media, the polling of "who won" by viewers, and by those opinion shapers who tout their judgement. Most folks don't see the debates and rely on post-debate commentary by the MSM...even if they don't trust the MSM.

Most likely Hillary will pound on his erratic behavior, his really dumb comments about women, and the daffy claims (e.g. his bromance with Putin). She will force him to defend some nutty stuff.

On the other hand, Trump will try to dominate with his "stamina" and alpha male presence. He will pound on her record as Secretary of State, email, etc. Should she lure him into a spitting contest (e.g. over whether or not he can order generals to commit torture and war crimes) he will lose. On the other hand, if he comes off as reasonable, knowledgeable, etc. he will win.

With Trump you never know which one you will get.
 
again TRUMP has a a ground game with the republican governors that will decide the election... but he does not need much ground game because he has more hidden votes on his side

INDIANA primary proves you are wrong.....

CRUZ had all that oil money and had all the ground game and had the governor and he lost in a landslide??

why did he lose in a landslide when he had all the factors supporting him to win??? why because of the news of how corrupt the system was when it was found out how the voters votes can be changed by people with money to wine and dine delegates

THAT CORRUPTION pushed trump to a landslide over all other factors in favor of cruz

now its the SAME we now have proof of total corruption of the democrat party and the media

the gallup poll on the record distrust of the media PROVES people are waking up and now trumps polls are soaring..

its over folks.. .. democrats and media FOR MUSLIMS...... democrat party together as a TEAM of crooks ... powell... hillary and obama with the media....... its over folks


the same sudden change in indiana when the corruption news broke.. that sudden change is now here nationally

Are the Govs door knocking and making lists of R or D voters, who needs assistance to get to the polls? Who want to volunteer to go door knocking?
They should be careful otherwise they will like HRC catch pneumonia and stumble a tad or 2.
 
Are the Govs door knocking and making lists of R or D voters, who needs assistance to get to the polls? Who want to volunteer to go door knocking?
They should be careful otherwise they will like HRC catch pneumonia and stumble a tad or 2.



CRUZ with his big army of door knockers that came from his big oil money.... had plenty of time... had the governor.. had kasick to stop working indiana.... the news came out about the corrupt rigged system and suddenly cruz lost in a landslide

and now we have the news out.... democrats supports the muslims along with the media and the leaked emails shows how corrupt hillary and powell and obama are...... this makes it impossible for trump to lose now

and add to that hillary saying trumps voters are the deplorables.....

ITS OVER FOLKS !!
 
nate silver was DEAD wrong 2 weeks ago when he said trump has less than 50% chance to win ga AT THAT TIME

he was DEAD WRONG.... he needs to get more experience with history

Nate Silver's predictions on his election odds changes everyday with the changes in the polls. It is software that figures the odds so when the polls change the odds change.
 
The most likely outcome in the presidential race: Gridlock
The growing Wall Street consensus is that neither candidate will have a mandate.
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While anxious voters mull which of the two highly unpopular candidates has the better plan — or at least will do less damage — there's a growing sense on Wall Street that the end result will be simply more of the same. Washington will remain in a partisan standoff, with the result being growth at a marginally faster pace that will bring inflation and higher interest rates.

Polls agree that Clinton is the likely 45th president, but they've been narrowing. The Real Clear Politics average gives Clinton a 2.4-point edge in a four-person race. The widely watched FiveThirtyEight forecast still gives Clinton a 68.2 percent chance of winning, though that's down sharply from 89.2 percent on Aug. 14.

How Trump Could Win The White House While Losing The Popular Vote

Donald Trump arrives to a round table on child care before delivering a policy speech on Tuesday in Aston, Pennsylvania.
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1. College-educated whites. Poll after poll shows Trump performing abysmally for a Republican among whites with a college degree, particularly women. But according to my analysis of census and exit poll data, whites with a degree exceed 35 percent of the likely electorate1 in just a dozen states (plus Washington, D.C.): Colorado, Connecticut, Kansas, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Nebraska, New Hampshire, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island and Vermont.

Of those states, only Colorado and New Hampshire are considered swing states, and Colorado doesn’t even look that competitive right now. Trump would love to win New Hampshire, but he doesn’t need to carry it in order to obtain 270 electoral votes — it ranks relatively low on FiveThirtyEight’s tipping-point ratings, with only a 2.9 percent chance of providing the winner the decisive electoral vote. So if Clinton wins historic margins among well-educated whites, they could help her win by millions of additional votes in states that won’t decide the Electoral College victor.

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2. Hispanics/Latinos. According to the Census, only 48 percent of 23.3 million eligible Latinos turned out to vote in 2012, and the Pew Research Center estimates 27.3 million will be eligible this year. With Trump atop the ballot, Latinos could be poised to break records for turnout and Democratic support. But they’re woefully underrepresented in Electoral College battlegrounds and provide Clinton with millions of superfluous votes in California, New York and Texas.

Of the battlegrounds, Latinos exceed 15 percent of the likely electorate in only Arizona, Florida and Nevada. Trump doesn’t need Nevada, and by itself, a Latino surge likely won’t be big enough to erase the GOP’s 9 percentage point 2012 margin in Arizona. By far, Latinos are most potent in Florida. However, Florida was Obama’s narrowest win in 2012, and even if Trump were to underperform Mitt Romney by 5 points among Florida’s Latinos, he could flip the state by winning whites by an additional 3 points.

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Nate Silver's predictions on his election odds changes everyday with the changes in the polls. It is software that figures the odds so when the polls change the odds change.

he was dead wrong on ga..... 2 weeks ago and he is still dead wrong on ga NOW.... he says 75% chance for trump to win ga.... nope it is around 95%.... and silver said 2 weeks ago that trump had less than 50% chance to win ga.... DEAD WRONG he was


ga has always been at least 90% chance for trump after how they voted for him in the primaries....

silver must have some serious issues that makes him DEAD WRONG...
 
These are results I do not believe for Ohio. Democrats and Republicans are overrepresented.
 
That seems pretty minor compared to things that Trump has said and done.

Perhaps it is. However when you only get 1 shot and you tank with that one shot it has a much larger impact.
 
Perhaps it is. However when you only get 1 shot and you tank with that one shot it has a much larger impact.

Hillary is starting to remind me of Elphaba as she melted to death at the end of The Wizard of Oz.
 
Hillary is starting to remind me of Elphaba as she melted to death at the end of The Wizard of Oz.

this change is exactly what happened to cruz when people saw how the system was RIGGED so the ones with the money can buy off delegates to stop the will of the people

THEN indiana was a strong cruz state and he lost in a landslide and he dropped out so fast in order to STOP THE UNDERSTANDING OF THE CORRUPTION FROM SPREADING

RIGHT NOW is exactly the same with hillary and the democrat party and the media... their corruptness is now understood and spreading fast like it did with finding out about CRUZ

trump is soaring and distrust in the media is soaring to record levels... this means people now know who their enemy is

the media and the democrat party and the clintons.. powell and obama
 
When Donald ****ing Trump the Antichrist is tied with anyone, that anyone represents a massive ****ing mistake in the flesh.

Democratic bedwetting, while inevitable, gets tedious so quickly. If you've got this much nervous energy coursing through you, go phonebank or knock on doors or something.

Otherwise, Frankie say relax.

 
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