- Jan 29, 2015
- Reaction score
- North East
- Political Leaning
The Stupidest Argument of the Week
I want to tell you about my favorite equation in the world. It goes like this: E = P × V That's read as "the expected value of an event is the value of the event times the probability the event happens." It's amazing how often that comes up – especially in discussions about insurance, computer security, and the famous wall.... Now, let us assume for the sake of argument that each illegal immigrant comes with an associated cost. That means the expected cost of illegal immigration is basically proportional to how hard it is to get into the country as an illegal immigrant.... into the country as an illegal immigrant.... Here's the fact that clearly has been kept secret from these city folk, who I'm sure have never dug so much as a post hole: digging tunnels is hard. Digging tunnels secretly is really hard. (Go watch "The Great Escape" or read about the Tunnel 57.)… Drug dealers can dig tunnels because drug dealers make lots and lots of money and so can afford to pay peónes to dig their tunnels. But then, drug dealers have enough money that they're building submarines to smuggle drugs.... And if it's harder, the likelihood of that happening is smaller. So yes, a wall will deter illegal immigration — as well as all of the other things that cross the border — even though it is possible to dig a tunnel.
Hmm.... Imminent domain = red herring. 3 ft. thick wall, 10 ft. wide dirt road, maintained by others. Hell of a cattle fence. Better a wall then the illegals crossing your land or worse, you dying on your land at the hands of an illegal or dying on your land.
When it comes to fencing off the Rio Grande River Dems will note that property owners water rights may be infringed upon. However, the nice thing is that, because water rights issues already have a legal infrastructure around them, cattle watering can be taken care of. Not without cost, but not ludicrous, either. Irrigation diversions upstream can be allocated and eminent domain established.
Who owns the line? Federal government. How wide is the line? Who owns the legal access to the border? How wide is the access to the federally owned line? Can a private individual deny federal access? Red herring stands.
You know the world is upside down when Progressive Marxist Socialist Democrats worry about protecting private property rights.