- Joined
- May 5, 2019
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- 10,447
- Reaction score
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- Staten Island, NY USA
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- Political Leaning
- Other
Much has been written about markets. Extreme positions range from markets as casinos to markets as true reflections of the evaluation of available facts, resulting in accurate evaluations of the worth of, say, stocks. The US stock market, reflected in such indices as the Dow Jones Industrial and the Standard and Poor's 500, has shown a remarkable resistance to the 'fact' of the Covid-19 pandemic and its effect on the world of business. [Ref: Any chart of the DJIA or S&P's indices, not to mention such 'derivatives' as the DJIA p/e/ratio.]
How can this be reconciled with the extremes given above? That thought has interested me of late. I believe I've discovered a rational middle ground.
There is a huge amount of information available to investors. Once we've set insider trading aside, roughly the same information is available to all. This, though, does not mean that each investor weights each fact in the same way. That, I believe, is the key. There's a Zeitgeist, if you please, that causes many investors to skew the weighting of the available facts. This, in turn, can result in the stock market improperly reflecting the actual state of business.
Comments?
Regards, stay safe 'n well. Remember the Big 3: masks, hand washing and physical distancing.
How can this be reconciled with the extremes given above? That thought has interested me of late. I believe I've discovered a rational middle ground.
There is a huge amount of information available to investors. Once we've set insider trading aside, roughly the same information is available to all. This, though, does not mean that each investor weights each fact in the same way. That, I believe, is the key. There's a Zeitgeist, if you please, that causes many investors to skew the weighting of the available facts. This, in turn, can result in the stock market improperly reflecting the actual state of business.
Comments?
Regards, stay safe 'n well. Remember the Big 3: masks, hand washing and physical distancing.