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The political support argument doesn't help you because you're still left with a Congressional approval of 12.6%, and not even the most optimistic of us thinks Trump's approval will ever drop below the twenties.
That's the approval rate for Congress as a whole. Individual approval rates are different and typically much higher. I think the point is that Trump is in dangerous territory with an approval rate in the mid thirties. Your point that
he pretty much stopped his slide in May is well taken, but the slide he experienced between election day and then should not be overlooked.