The global wheat crisis

[joluoto]

India bans wheat exports amid severe heat wave​

Another large producer removed from the global market. With both Russia and Ukraine removed many had pinned their hopes to India. But with the current heat wave India has decided to ban wheat exports, in an attempt to make prices fall in their dimestic market. This will push the price of wheat even higher and contribute to the already ongoing global food crisis.

 

[Fabiusbile]

Personally, I question the first thesis, about "hot weather"... it happens not for the first time in India and Russia/Ukraine (suffice it to recall 2011-13, which were marked by drought) and the export ban was not accepted by anyone. And here is just the second part of the thesis, about the absence of exports from Ukraine/Russia's entry into the world market, which will lead to an increase in prices for most types of food, is just the same motive for India to limit its exports in order to really curb food inflation.

Well, what can I say... soon there will be fewer people in Africa. Someone will come to Europe fleeing from hunger... someone will die.

 

[Fabiusbile]

I'm afraid the ongoing war is designed for a long confrontation. And the Kremlin is hitting where its positions are strong, the West is causing damage to the Russian economy, the Kremlin is provoking a food crisis. Both sides end up hitting the wallets of ordinary citizens. The West certainly does not expect hunger riots, as I said, it's just that people will eat less in Africa... however, the fact that food will become more expensive for ordinary citizens is an upcoming fact... how much more expensive is also a very interesting question.

 

[multivita-man]

India bans wheat exports amid severe heat wave​

Another large producer removed from the global market. With both Russia and Ukraine removed many had pinned their hopes to India. But with the current heat wave India has decided to ban wheat exports, in an attempt to make prices fall in their dimestic market. This will push the price of wheat even higher and contribute to the already ongoing global food crisis.

This will push the price of food of all kinds higher. When a major grain gets more expensive, the demand for other grains/foods increases, causing a run on those foods as well. The world is in for some turbulent times, I'm afraid. And some regimes, be they authoritarian or democratic or something in between, are going to struggle to survive.

 

[multivita-man]

I'm afraid the ongoing war is designed for a long confrontation. And the Kremlin is hitting where its positions are strong, the West is causing damage to the Russian economy, the Kremlin is provoking a food crisis.

The food crisis has nothing to do with Russian strategy - like, at all. It's a natural consequence of anti-Russian sanctions, and Russia's bombardment and destruction of Ukraine.

Both sides end up hitting the wallets of ordinary citizens. The West certainly does not expect hunger riots, as I said, it's just that people will eat less in Africa... however, the fact that food will become more expensive for ordinary citizens is an upcoming fact... how much more expensive is also a very interesting question.

Any regime, whether it's an Arab kingdom or a Western democracy, faces pressure when people struggle to buy food or other commodities - things they take for granted. There's also a growing water and wildfire crisis in the Western United States that isn't getting nearly enough attention, but it's unfortunately well-timed.

 

[Fabiusbile]

The food crisis has nothing to do with Russian strategy - like, at all. It's a natural consequence of anti-Russian sanctions, and Russia's bombardment and destruction of Ukraine

In general, it is the Kremlin that has imposed a ban on the export of grain crops, and not Western sanctions do not allow them to be imported. As well as the ban on the export of fertilizers, the Kremlin's decision of December 2021.

Any regime, whether it's an Arab kingdom or a Western democracy, faces pressure when people struggle to buy food or other commodities - things they take for granted. There's also a growing water and wildfire crisis in the Western United States that isn't getting nearly enough attention, but it's unfortunately well-timed.

We live in a global world where the integration of countries into each other's economies is very significant, the policy of sanctions and restrictions primarily affects ordinary citizens... but I do not know a single politician in history who would defend the interests of an ordinary person.

There is a lot of sarcasm on this forum, from Americans and my fellow citizens to each other... but everyone will become poorer.

 

[multivita-man]

In general, it is the Kremlin that has imposed a ban on the export of grain crops, and not Western sanctions do not allow them to be imported. As well as the ban on the export of fertilizers, the Kremlin's decision of December 2021.

That's not really strategy; that's necessity from Russia's viewpoint. There's been absolutely nothing strategic about the war - it's been a total disaster for Russia. At the same time, yes, Russia is going to inflict a lot of misery on a lot of other countries, including the ones fighting her.

 

[Fabiusbile]

There's been absolutely nothing strategic about the war - it's been a total disaster for Russia.

A very controversial statement, I think time will tell who is right.
However, I believe that there are at least some possible options other than the Kremlin's victory. The military-industrial complex of Russia is self-sufficient, there is an established infrastructure of the rear, with a unified device of the repair base and fuel supply, with air supremacy, albeit not unconditional... whereas Ukraine's own military-industrial complex has been destroyed, the transport infrastructure is being destroyed, bridges are being destroyed under daily rocket attacks, the supply of fuel, ammunition, as well as equipment from the West, this is at the level of personal exploits... in the long term, Ukraine's margin of safety is lower, besides, the approaching humanitarian catastrophe will make itself felt.

 

[bluesmoke]

In general, it is the Kremlin that has imposed a ban on the export of grain crops, and not Western sanctions do not allow them to be imported. As well as the ban on the export of fertilizers, the Kremlin's decision of December 2021.


We live in a global world where the integration of countries into each other's economies is very significant, the policy of sanctions and restrictions primarily affects ordinary citizens... but I do not know a single politician in history who would defend the interests of an ordinary person.

There is a lot of sarcasm on this forum, from Americans and my fellow citizens to each other... but everyone will become poorer.

Biden defended the interests of the ordinary person by giving them pandemic relief money. How often has that happened?

Not everyone is becoming poorer. The rich are getting richer.

 

[Fabiusbile]

Not everyone is becoming poorer. The rich are getting richer

And people kill other people... in principle, yes, nothing new.
With one correction... in the coming events, people (ordinary) everywhere on the planet will live poorer at the same time.

 

[Bear5131]

Biden defended the interests of the ordinary person by giving them pandemic relief money. How often has that happened?

Not everyone is becoming poorer. The rich are getting richer.

Trump didn't do the same? Biden flown to Iowa to brag about using food for fuel (ethanol) a waste of valuable farm land knowing full well of the impending crisis

 

[joluoto]

Trump didn't do the same? Biden flown to Iowa to brag about using food for fuel (ethanol) a waste of valuable farm land knowing full well of the impending crisis

Everyone does that in Iowa, and everyone lies when doing it. It's part of the broken primary system where candidates have to pretend to care about Iowa.

 

[bluesmoke]

Trump didn't do the same? Biden flown to Iowa to brag about using food for fuel (ethanol) a waste of valuable farm land knowing full well of the impending crisis

How is growing corn for fuel a "waste of valuable farm land"? Corn grown for fuel has reached 40%of all corn grown, more than any other category incl animal feed. That's a business decision by private enterprise as to what is the value of farmland.

What has promoting biofuel have to do with Biden knowing "full well of the impending crisis"? An assumption you've no evidence of.

 

[Bear5131]

How is growing corn for fuel a "waste of valuable farm land"? Corn grown for fuel has reached 40%of all corn grown, more than any other category incl animal feed. That's a business decision by private enterprise as to what is the value of farmland.

What has promoting biofuel have to do with Biden knowing "full well of the impending crisis"? An assumption you've no evidence of.

So you and Biden don't know a lick of Ukraine's agricultural and it's shipping ports, what's happening?

 

[bluesmoke]

So you and Biden don't know a lick of Ukraine's agricultural and it's shipping ports, what's happening?

What is it about your allegation that has anything specific to do with what I said? Please clarify.

 

[Torus34]

The reduction in the availability of wheat, a major source of carbohydrate for many cultures, is due to a number of factors. One is weather. Another is war. Yet another is the political response to the situation in a number of countries. Also in the mix are the residual effects of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Those seeking a simplistic cause or, for that matter, solution will be confounded.

Regards, stay safe 'n well.

 

[bluesmoke]

The reduction in the availability of wheat, a major source of carbohydrate for many cultures, is due to a number of factors. One is weather. Another is war. Yet another is the political response to the situation in a number of countries. Also in the mix are the residual effects of the Covid-19 pandemic.

Those seeking a simplistic cause or, for that matter, solution will be confounded.

Regards, stay safe 'n well.

An add'l problem attributable to the war is that plantings are down 40%, besides the multi-causes of the -35% production in 2022, preventing fuel and fertilizer from getting to cropland while land mines and general warfare make it difficult to perform the job.

 

[Torus34]

An add'l problem attributable to the war is that plantings are down 40%, besides the multi-causes of the -35% production in 2022, preventing fuel and fertilizer from getting to cropland while land mines and general warfare make it difficult to perform the job.

Hi, bluesmoke.

Thank you for the additional information.

Stay safe 'n well.

 

[bluesmoke]

Hi, bluesmoke.

Thank you for the additional information.

Stay safe 'n well.

The Russian will get Ukraine wheat production back up themselves if Ukraine loses enough ground to the Russian.