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Would take a radical and massive shift in french society for Le Pen get elected. The numbers are against her.
1) She is under investigation for corruption...not sure she can run with a conviction.
2) The French left and right have traditionally banded together to defeat FN candidates in run offs.
3) She would have to be hitting near 40+% of the vote in the first round to even have a hope of winning. She got 21.3% in the last presidential election in the first round. Macron got 24%. In the second round she only got 33% while Macron got 66%.
So unless there is a change in election laws or a dramatic shift in French society... the Le Pen has no chance. She was lucky to get to the second round last time... we are talking over 1/3 of all french voters switching to FN.. not impossible but highly unlikely.
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The last election, but Bolsonaro wouldn’t have won in Brazil even 5 years ago. Things change in politics, especially if problems persist and mainstream leaders consistently fail to deliver