• This is a political forum that is non-biased/non-partisan and treats every persons position on topics equally. This debate forum is not aligned to any political party. In today's politics, many ideas are split between and even within all the political parties. Often we find ourselves agreeing on one platform but some topics break our mold. We are here to discuss them in a civil political debate. If this is your first visit to our political forums, be sure to check out the RULES. Registering for debate politics is necessary before posting. Register today to participate - it's free!

Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy

Hoplite

Technomancer
DP Veteran
Joined
Feb 6, 2010
Messages
3,779
Reaction score
1,077
Location
California
Gender
Male
Political Leaning
Moderate
The Texas Sharpshooter Fallacy « You Are Not So Smart

The Misconception: You take randomness into account when determining cause and effect.

The Truth: You tend to ignore random chance when the results seem meaningful or when you want a random event to have a meaningful cause.

This is a great read for ANYONE who does anything with any sort of discussion, online or real life.
 

Councilman

DP Veteran
Joined
Apr 25, 2009
Messages
4,454
Reaction score
1,654
Location
Riverside, County, CA.
Gender
Male
Political Leaning
Conservative
Very interesting and accurate.

On my Radio show I was privileged to interview a great number of people who were made famous by Art Bell on Coast to Coast AM on a wide variety of subjects and a couple of them were sold on Nostradamus being the most accurate visionary in human history, but then others would argue that it's Edgar Cayce.

These people who believe will not entertain any thought other than it's all some divine miracle that these men could see clearly into the future.

It was sometimes very hard not to argue with some of these people because this becomes almost like a religion to them.

I have also talked with people about Bigfoot that had the same fanatical beliefs in this mythical creature.

I say mythical because until I see one living or dead it's mythical like unicorns.

Excellent post I enjoyed it immensely. It show me required reading in schools in a class that teaches logic, critical thinking, and how to be analytical.
 

Andalublue

Hello again!
DP Veteran
Joined
Feb 2, 2010
Messages
27,099
Reaction score
12,353
Location
Granada, España
Gender
Male
Political Leaning
Libertarian - Left

Diogenes

DP Veteran
Joined
Jul 11, 2005
Messages
4,980
Reaction score
3,059
Gender
Undisclosed
Political Leaning
Undisclosed
Excellent find!

The opening quote you picked perfectly describes global warming and all sorts of other conspiracy theories. Thank you!
 

Whovian

Banned
Joined
Oct 5, 2010
Messages
7,153
Reaction score
2,250
Location
dimensionally transcendental
Gender
Male
Political Leaning
Conservative
I have also talked with people about Bigfoot that had the same fanatical beliefs in this mythical creature.

I say mythical because until I see one living or dead it's mythical like unicorns.

bigfoot-unicorn.jpg
 
Top Bottom