• This is a political forum that is non-biased/non-partisan and treats every person's position on topics equally. This debate forum is not aligned to any political party. In today's politics, many ideas are split between and even within all the political parties. Often we find ourselves agreeing on one platform but some topics break our mold. We are here to discuss them in a civil political debate. If this is your first visit to our political forums, be sure to check out the RULES. Registering for debate politics is necessary before posting. Register today to participate - it's free!
  • Welcome to our archives. No new posts are allowed here.

Texas congressional district 3 - Biden with a 3 point lead

BlueTex

DP Veteran
Joined
Jan 15, 2019
Messages
49,084
Reaction score
40,886
Location
Texas
Gender
Male
Political Leaning
Slightly Liberal
This is pretty amazing and if it holds and is accurate, spells trouble for Trump in Texas...

Screen Shot 2020-09-17 at 9.28.49 AM.jpg

Trump won this district by 14 points in 2016..
 
More interested in the massively "****ed up" gerrymandered districts around Austin. Yea this one is also pretty screwy made, but the incumbent only won by 4 percentage points last election, so it is not exactly a solid GOP seat. Now if the Austin districts start to flip, then the GOP got a problem.
 
More interested in the massively "****ed up" gerrymandered districts around Austin. Yea this one is also pretty screwy made, but the incumbent only won by 4 percentage points last election, so it is not exactly a solid GOP seat. Now if the Austin districts start to flip, then the GOP got a problem.

Texas Congressional District 3 is the most conservative district in Texas... It's the Dallas northern suburbs...
 
Texas Congressional District 3 is the most conservative district in Texas... It's the Dallas northern suburbs...

Not if you look at the last election. Van Taylor only won by 54% to 46%. If that goes for "solid conservative" in Texas, then the problem is way bigger. Now the 1st district is "solid" GOP district.

However as I said, the GOP has to be worried if districts like the 10th, 21st and 25th start to flip in unison, since they have be specifically designed as safe GOP seats and to curb Democratic power from Austin. I mean the 10th is sooooo ****ed up as it stretches from Austin to Huston!

But yes, if district 3, and 10, 21 and 25 flip in Texas then the GOP and Trump is in trouble big time.
 
Not if you look at the last election. Van Taylor only won by 54% to 46%. If that goes for "solid conservative" in Texas, then the problem is way bigger. Now the 1st district is "solid" GOP district.

However as I said, the GOP has to be worried if districts like the 10th, 21st and 25th start to flip in unison, since they have be specifically designed as safe GOP seats and to curb Democratic power from Austin. I mean the 10th is sooooo ****ed up as it stretches from Austin to Huston!

But yes, if district 3, and 10, 21 and 25 flip in Texas then the GOP and Trump is in trouble big time.

Screen Shot 2020-09-17 at 10.28.36 AM.jpg
Screen Shot 2020-09-17 at 10.29.22 AM.jpg
 

Very interesting. The 25th was won by 9 points in 2018 by the incumbent over the same challenger. If that is down to 2 points.. then wow. Of course lots can happen in 2 months.

The 21st district win margin was only 3 points in 2018 so it flipping was with in range already back then. It is the growth in population in Austin and San Antonio that is slowly flipping that district so this might be the year. Guessing they will be redistricted next year or so, so that the GOP will win again.
 
This is pretty amazing and if it holds and is accurate, spells trouble for Trump in Texas...

View attachment 67295632

Trump won this district by 14 points in 2016..

Assuming this holds true. I rather suspect that many voters will switch back to republican after this election. It's not that Biden is fantastic, it's that Trump revolts their Republican sensiblities, even though he's running as a republican
 
Back
Top Bottom