Yes, something's clearly not working. They were doing so well too, such a shame things are going backwards.
Although the virus appears to be on the rise again around Europe, so it's not just the Spanish who are doing things wrong.
Yes, a lot focus on Spain, and yet yesterday the UK and France had more cases... Guess the UK has to ban its self now?
What surprised me was how cases didn't start rising back in July due tourism for Spain - being a top destination for its sunshine. So this second wave doesn't appear to be the fault of tourism, which was also considerably down by all accounts.
Well we know that the incubation period is 3 to 14 days... average around 5 days. The lock down ended 21st of June (as in the state of alarm ended), but we had been in deescalation for over a month. Now the problem was there was a rush in some areas to get out of lock down, and one of those areas was up north in Aragon/Catalonia. And it is here the problem resurfaced so to say. The first signs of problems were "official" around the 17th of July, which is 3 weeks after the end of state of emergency. Now there is a lag between the official "oh ****" moment and when the problem actually started.. lets say a week or two. And suddenly it starts to make a bit more sense no? They basically never got the problem under full control in Aragon/Catalonia and specifically the city and area of Lleida the epicentre of the breakout.
Now we are in a situation where we have 2-3k a day... but everything is relative. Today's numbers tell an interesting tale.
Madrid had 984 cases out of 3168 cases. A familiar pattern over the last week and a half...
Basque country had 260+370+98 which is 728 cases. Same pattern over the last week and a half.
Andalusia had 304 cases.
Aragon had 208 cases
Catalonia had only 147 cases, which is interesting because a place like Galicia had 176 cases.
Point is Madrid and the Basque country combined had about 50% of all cases. Madrid is yet again a hell hole of infection. Considering that Madrid only late last week started to implement restrictions yet again is kinda wtf? Of course it is a PP (conservative) run area that has a long history of mis-management and corruption and yet the people of Madrid keep reelecting them.
In Andalusia, a relative large portion of the new infections are employees going back to work. The Andalusian Junta has tested all school teachers and workers in schools and luckily found relatively few cases. 135 out of 87000 tested. But Malaga leaders have said that if the infection numbers dont start to fall very soon, then they will pull the trigger on some sort of lock down. Quite the difference in leadership considering they also are PP...
But there is a theory floating around why Spain has such a hard problem getting it under control and it might have some validity. Spain has 8 of the highest population density cities in Europe.
1) L'Hospitalet de Llobregat - South of Barcelona
5) Barcelona
8) Cadiz - Andalusia
9) Bilbao - Basque region
17) A Coruna - Galicia
20) Valencia
21) Madrid
24) Seville - Andalusia
Now that list is interesting, because at the moment the high infection areas are Basque region, Galicia, Andalusia, and Madrid.. all on the list. The theory kinda falls apart some what, when you go into detail... Cadiz has not had high occurrence of the virus and was for quite a while virus free during the lock down. Seville had less cases than Malaga who is not on the list. Valencia also had relatively low numbers. But the theory is interesting.
Now hospitalisations are critical and they are up with the increase in cases. However as far as I can see or understand, they are relatively low compared to similar times in March and April. ICU numbers are the same, even though one in ICU is too much imo.
We shall see how the numbers will change once the wave of workers being tested by companies has gone over.. so this week or next will be key.
But as always, the main problem is the asymptomatic people and it is not their fault.... getting a hold on that is key and it is hard. Of course when you have certain parts of the population that does not care, then you got a ****ty combination.