I was watching Bloomberg TV this morning and they had a guest analyst on (didn't get his name) that stated that without a shadow of a doubt that the upcoming recession (due to arrive either later this year or next year) was caused by Trump's Trade War.
I tried to find some recent article that supports that statement but I was unable to do so. Nonetheless, I did find a couple of articles from 2020 and 2019 that do talk about the subject
I do know that recessions are not something that happens overnight. There is usually some "root" cause that gets the ball rolling and sometime over the next couple of years, lo and behold a recession is occurring.
There are certainly established guidelines that talk about the repercussions of trade wars that makes the scenario highly probable. Here is one such example of what Trump's trade war actually did to our economy:
How has trade war affected US economy?
Our trade war escalation and decoupling scenario sees the
US economy produce $1.6 trillion less in real GDP terms over the next five years and results in 732,000 fewer jobs in 2022 and 320,000 fewer jobs in 2025.
As such, it can now be safely stated and assumed that Trump's Trade War was a huge miscalculation (mistake) made by our former president.