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Shocking win/loss predictions

Patriotic Voter

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Name a heavy underdog in either the Senate or House of Representatives (or both) who might defeat the more popular candidate and offer at least one reason why it could happen. Or you can do the reverse - name a heavy favorite who might loses and give a reason for that.

I am not saying it is likely such a scenario will occur, but we all know Doug Jones reportedly was not supposed to be elected in 2017. We all know to expect the unexpected on Election Day.
 
How about I name a state? Texas. For Biden. Unlikely. But an outside shot.
 
Chomsky said:
How about I name a state? Texas. For Biden. Unlikely. But an outside shot.
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This is the Congressional races forum. Do you have any bold predictions for Senate and/or House of Representatives upsets?
 
Hiral Tipirneni in the AZ 6th.
 
Cameron Webb (D) wins the Virginia 5th. Being Falwell's hand picked standard bearer months ago not gonna be such a plus on election day given all the happenings since.
 
Blue Donkey said:
This is the Congressional races forum. Do you have any bold predictions for Senate and/or House of Representatives upsets?
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Oops! Sorry! I came in through the front-page 'latest threads' field, and didn't realize where I was.

O.K., it might not be so bold anymore, but I would not be surprised to see Lindsey Graham get tossed. Especially, if Biden has a strong showing in the state. In fact, I believe many of the contested currently Red State Senate seats will be predicated upon Biden's showing in their respective states.
 
Blue Donkey said:
Is McCarthy expected to lose next week?
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No doubt Nancy is expecting to be speaker next year. My "shocking" predictions is she won't be. McCarthy will; when Republicans flip the house.
 
Eriech said:
No doubt Nancy is expecting to be speaker next year. My "shocking" predictions is she won't be. McCarthy will; when Republicans flip the House.
Click to expand...

You did not answer my question.
 
Chomsky said:
How about I name a state? Texas. For Biden. Unlikely. But an outside shot.
Click to expand...

I agree. The core demographics of Texas has it as purple. Texans, as a rule, however, just have not voted at the same level as most states.

There is reason to believe that Texas COULD flip this time round. Texas has been hit particularly hard by the pandemic with a pathetic response from its Republican leadership. The conditions for repudiation of Republican leadership is there; the turnout has been huge. T Texas already has exceeded the 2016 vote total.

Nothing would better promote the complete exorcism of Trumpism from the Republican party better than Texas flashing blue in 2020. America needs a healthy Republican / conservative policy that is founded in a coherent political philosophy that has a clear vision for the future. Trumpism is anything but that.
 
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Eriech said:
No doubt Nancy is expecting to be speaker next year. My "shocking" predictions is she won't be. McCarthy will; when Republicans flip the house.
Click to expand...

"Shocking" because there is absolutely no foundation for that as well over 210 seats are deemed solid blue. As such, your prediction is bordering on delusional. Perhaps you could lay out for all of us a cogent argument for this, but I am skeptical. It appears to be wishful thinking / fantasy.

You do realize the expectation is that democrats will pick-up 5-10 seats in 2020?

Pushing Deep Into G.O.P. Turf, Democrats Are Poised to Expand House Majority (Published 2020)

House Democrats are training their resources on once-solid Republican footholds in affluent suburban districts where voters feel alienated by President Trump.
www.nytimes.com

Democrats Could Pick up 20 House Seats, Most in Districts Trump Won in 2016

Fifteen of the races are in congressional districts that President Donald Trump won in 2016.
www.newsweek.com
 

First he needs to answer my question, which could not be more clearly asked.. People who fail to do that have no reasons to make claims such as McCarthy becoming Speaker of the House. of Representatives.
 
Tell me why the Democrats deserve to keep the majority recently won 2018? They have been an epic failure if stopping Trump was their mandete.

Speaker McCarthy.....you heard it here first
 
Eriech said:
Tell me why the Democrats deserve to keep the majority recently won 2018. They have been an epic failure if stopping Trump was their mandete.

Speaker McCarthy.....you heard it here first.
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I will not tell you anything until you answer my question. I know you can read the thread title perfectly, so there is no reason not to.
 
Pelosi will lose. Not her seat in the house but her majority. Not sure I can be more clear. The reason why is she does not deserve the majority and that there will be a red wave evidenced by the huge enthusiasm for Trump. If you want me to cite polls that have so thoroughly been discredited in 2016 I will not play.

You heard it hear first. Speaker McCarthy. Uou sought an out of the box prediction. This is mine.
 
Eriech said:
No doubt Nancy is expecting to be speaker next year. My "shocking" predictions is she won't be. McCarthy will; when Republicans flip the house.
Click to expand...
That will likely happen long after Nancy is no longer with us.
 
I think Texas has become purple enough to send a few more democrats to the house.
 
Thanks for a great response. I pretty much agree with everything.

Texas turning Blue would be an excellent Coda to this Trumpian opera.
 
upsideguy said:
America needs a healthy Republican / conservative policy that is founded in a coherent political philosophy that has a clear vision for the future. Trumpism is anything but that.
Click to expand...

Yes to this. Currently the only thing that can save me from the left is ... even crazier stuff on the right.
 

Did you even read the question I asked? I was very clear in my original post. Read it before responding.
 
Currently Mississippi is "likely Republican" on the 270towin map.
 
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